A stochastic approach to nonlinear unconfined flow subject to multiple random fields

In this study, the KLME approach, a moment-equation approach based on the Karhunen–Loeve decomposition developed by Zhang and Lu (Comput Phys 194(2):773–794, 2004), is applied to unconfined flow with multiple random inputs. The log-transformed hydraulic conductivity F, the recharge R, the Dirichlet boundary condition H, and the Neumann boundary condition Q are assumed to be Gaussian random fields with known means and covariance functions. The F, R, H and Q are first decomposed into finite series in terms of Gaussian standard random variables by the Karhunen–Loeve expansion. The hydraulic head h is then represented by a perturbation expansion, and each term in the perturbation expansion is written as the products of unknown coefficients and Gaussian standard random variables obtained from the Karhunen–Loeve expansions. A series of deterministic partial differential equations are derived from the stochastic partial differential equations. The resulting equations for uncorrelated and perfectly correlated cases are developed. The equations can be solved sequentially from low to high order by the finite element method. We examine the accuracy of the KLME approach for the groundwater flow subject to uncorrelated or perfectly correlated random inputs and study the capability of the KLME method for predicting the head variance in the presence of various spatially variable parameters. It is shown that the proposed numerical model gives accurate results at a much smaller computational cost than the Monte Carlo simulation.     

岩石失稳破裂的综合刚度和综合能量准则

Cook刚度准则考虑了试验机内弹性应变能释放对岩石试样失稳破裂的影响,基于弹性能指数和冲击能指数的剩余能量法考虑了岩石内贮存的弹性能对岩样失稳破裂的影响。鉴于岩样失稳破裂时试验机和岩石内都有弹性能释放,建议将两者结合,综合考虑试验机和岩石内贮存的弹性能释放对岩样失稳破裂的效应,称之为岩石失稳破裂的综合刚度和综合能量准则,可以更为合理地确定岩石失稳破裂起始点、终止点位置、给出岩石失稳破裂时试验机-岩样系统（或一般岩体系统）的弹性能释放量计算关系,并可以用几何形式表示这些关系。     

贵阳息烽县阳郎排洪工程水量效应分析——以鱼简河水库至底赛寨为例

在没有河谷水文监测资料的情况下,利用洪丰期水量及引洪流量和河谷断面水文参数,计算出引洪前后鱼简河断面水位、流量的变化,并与河岸农田、村舍等地物分布高程对比,进而评估引洪产生的受灾情况。结果表明在阳朗坝排洪412 m3/s的条件下,鱼简河A-A、C-C地段河谷断面承载流量分别为491.091及476.219 m3/s,相对安全,而B-B、D-D地段,河谷断面承载流量分别为365.002及160.675 m3/s,将有可能被洪水淹没成灾。      

2015年尼泊尔8.1级大地震前后喜马拉雅带地震活动图像演变

针对2015年4月25日尼泊尔M8.1地震后喜马拉雅造山带的未来地震危险性问题,通过对喜马拉雅带历史大地震应变能释放和在尼泊尔地震发震前后的区域地震活动图像进行了分析研究。结果发现喜马拉雅带很可能已进入新-轮的地震活跃期。此次尼泊尔大地震不足以将喜马拉雅带中段的地壳应变能全部释放,喜马拉雅带中段的地震活动和藏南裂谷带地震活动具有密切的关联,在喜马拉雅带中段和藏南裂谷带还将有大地震活动。同时研究结果还显示现今在喜马拉雅带的东段存在阿萨姆围空区和不丹围空区,在喜马拉雅的西段出现噶尔围空区,喜马拉雅西段新德里和西藏接壤地区以及喀喇昆仑断裂上噶尔县地区地震危险性很高,喜马拉雅东段林芝山南地区以南的阿萨姆和不丹地区危险性很高,应引起重视。     

2004年12月26日印尼北苏门答腊以西近海Ms9.0地震与地震的类临界点模型

使用哈佛CMT资料， 研究了2004年12月26日印尼北苏门答腊以西近海MW9.0地震前的长期地震活动. 这次地震前， 在1/4世纪的时间尺度、 1 500 km的空间尺度上， 存在加速矩释放（AMR）现象. 在这一空间尺度范围内，MW9.0地震仍落在分段的幂律分布上. 因此, 从地震的类临界点模型的角度考虑， 对这次特大地震的发生和地震的大小既无预测、 亦无预报的情况， 并非由物理上的ldquo;不可预测性rdquo;所致.      

福建省地震局政务信息网站的设计与实现

本文介绍了福建省地震局政务信息网站的建设,提出了一个基于ASP的网站系统,介绍了系统的总体结构,主要功能模块,开发环境及开发工具,实现了新闻在线发布、多栏目管理等主要功能。     

泥沙污染物起动再悬浮释放机理

底泥再悬浮时,颗粒和孔隙水会交替影响底泥污染物的释放通量。通过循环水槽实验,分别以氯化钠和磷来代表典型的非吸附性污染物和吸附性污染物,研究了再悬浮颗粒和孔隙水释放污染物的不同特征。研究表明,再悬浮磷的释放对底面切应力的反应要比氯化钠迟缓,但前者释放通量要比后者大。恒定水流下底泥再悬浮污染物释放过程可以分为两个显著阶段:起动初期2 h内,颗粒和孔隙水共同作用,两者对上覆水体中水溶性污染物的贡献之比最高为3:1,此时悬浮颗粒处于解吸污染物状态;2 h后,悬浮颗粒转为吸附污染物状态,释放通量时正时负。长期悬浮时泥沙颗粒始终为负释放状态,而孔隙水对总通量的贡献之比最高可达到60:1。上覆水体中吸附性污染物液固相浓度比值先增大后减小,悬浮后期始终处于较低值。推导了底泥释放通量的理论公式,理论结果是线性缓慢增加的,而实验值的增加趋势是先快后慢。     

矿井涌水量动态预测非稳定释水-断面流法

我国北方煤田上覆地下水系统含水层以砂岩为主,是矿井主要充水水源。除浅部、露头区外,上覆砂岩地下水系统总体上构成非径流型蓄水构造,弹性贮存是其地下水主要赋存状态,压力传导、局部渗流为地下水动力学模式,矿井涌水主要为承压含水层弹性释放。非充填开采,煤层上覆地层周期性冒裂形成冒裂二元结构体,其自身释水(弹性、重力)与其外侧含水层断面弹性释水叠加形成矿井涌水。冒裂二元结构体释水随冒裂周期发生,时间短暂。外侧含水层断面释水可用非稳定流定降深沟(渠)流方程描述,进而获得外侧含水层断面释水单宽流量。外侧含水层释水断面随冒裂周期性延展累积,迭代更新,矿井涌水流量随之变化。在研究、刻画外侧含水层释水断面延展、迭代时空规律基础上,给出含水层断面释水流量预测方法、公式,与冒裂二元结构体自身周期性释水流量叠加,获新的矿井涌水量预测方法—非稳定释水-断面流法。     

Collaborative research: Development of a manual on elasmobranch handling and release best practices in tropical tuna purse-seine fisheries

The reduction of by-catch mortality is an objective of the ecosystem approach to fisheries and a request made by consumers. Elasmobranchs, an important component of the French tropical tuna purse seine fishery by-catch, are currently thrown back into the sea. Fishers interact with various types of elasmobranchs that range widely in size, weight and shape, and could pose various degrees of danger to the crew. A diversity of discarding practices within the fleet were reported, some practices were considered suitable, others needed to be adapted and improved and others simply had to be banned. The majority of the crews were likely to improve their handling practices if they were presented with practical suggestions that were quick and easy. Combining scientific observations and empirical knowledge from skippers and crew, a manual, providing appropriate handling practices to ensure crew safety and increase the odds of survival for released animals has been developed and disseminated. Bringing these good practices onto the decks of fishing vessels should contribute to the reduction of the fishing mortality of some vulnerable species. It would be positively viewed by consumers as an act that reduces fishing's footprint on the environment and promoting animal welfare which would improve the image of fishing industry. Mitigation research is by definition an iterative process and different complementary methods must be carried out at different levels of the fishing process to significantly reduce the mortality of the by-catch.