华北地区强震活动状态研究

华北地区历史强震活动频繁, 但自1998年张北6.2级地震后至今6级以上地震平静近22年。 大家对该区域未来6级以上地震危险趋势非常关注, 且有不同观点。 本文分析了该区6级以上地震活跃—平静周期性, 运用小波变换技术对周期成分进行了定量计算; 对比研究了活跃期与平静期之间的过渡阶段(本文称其为过渡幕)地震活动特点及其持续时间; 从1999—2018年地震应变释放率与第Ⅲ、 第Ⅳ活跃期、 第3平静期和第Ⅳ活跃期内第3、 第4平静幕的对比、 平静幕持续时间的统计特征、 当前华北地区显著的5级地震平静以及该区6级和7级以上地震前5级以上地震活动状态等方面进行了研究。 结果显示, 支持当前华北地区进入平静期的依据相对较多。     

基于北斗卫星的气象灾害预警发布系统设计和应用

北斗卫星系统是我国具有自主知识产权的第一代卫星导航定位系统,具有授时、定位、短报文的三大功能。介绍基于北斗卫星预警发布系统的应用需求分析、功能流程设计与实现、系统应用实验和效果检验。通过该系统的设计和应用,有效解决了偏远农村、山区预警发布"最后1公里"的瓶颈问题,扩大了预警发布的覆盖面;弥补了城市密集区预警信息手机短信发布延迟和信息阻塞的缺陷,极大提高了预警发布的时效性;实现了灾情实时上传,形成了发布、接收、反馈于一体的预警发布体系,为北斗卫星在我国应急体系建设中的应用提出了建议。     

强震前后广义地震应变释放过程的丛集特征

利用基于小波变换的多重分形奇异谱估计方法,研究了部分强震前后地震活动广义应变.释放过程的多重分形特征。结果表明,晨中区附近- -定范围内地展活动广义应变释放过程具有多重分形特征,但多重分形维数谱随7变化复杂,在强震发生前多重分形维数谱没有明显的变化。广义地震应变释放过程的多重分形奇异谱形态和Hausdorff奇异指数范围能提供更多关于地屣活动过程的信息,特别当η取较大值时Hausdorff奇异指数范围在强晨前明显变窄。研究还表明深源地展和浅源地晨发生前广义应变释放过程多重分形特征存在明显不同。     

An experimental study on temperature increasing mechanism of satellitic thermo-infrared

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Riparian alder fens — Source or sink for nutrients and dissolved organic carbon? — 1. Effects of water level fluctuations

The biogeochemistry of riparian alder wetlands was studied from 1995 to 1997. Nutrient and DOC chemistry was related to water level changes. The spatial and temporal patterns of nutrients (P and N) and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) were measured in the surface water flowing through a riparian alder fen and in the adjacent creek. Nutrient and DOC concentrations were extremely variable temporally but not spatially within the wetland. In the wetland and the adjacent creek concentrations of NO₃-N, PO₄-P and DOC were homogenous during high-flow periods and frozen conditions. After low-flow conditions water bodies were isolated from the creek. The concentration of NH₄-N, PO₄-P and DOC in these isolated water bodies was significantly higher than in the adjacent creeks due to low oxygen levels.

Enclosures of different sizes were installed in the wetland to study possible release rates. A large enclosure experiment in the flooded alder fen showed the same concentrations as after high-flood conditions except for DOC. The DOC concentrations were enriched in the large enclosure after decomposition from leaf litter during fall season. Small enclosures with low oxygen levels confirmed data obtained from low-flow conditions. The release rates were calculated for low-flow conditions from small enclosure experiments for 2 months a year when the alder fen is not flooded. The rates for July and August were 11.6 kg/ha NH₄-N, 8.6 kg/ha PO₄-P and 57.6 kg/ha DOC. The DOC concentrations for fall estimated from the large enclosure-experiments were 168.2 kg/ha for the months September and October.

This means possible output rates of N, P and DOC during the summer and DOC during fall in the adjacent river system. This can cause eutrophication and organic pollution depending on the length of the low-flow conditions and the size of the alder fen. Water level changes must be regarded as important for the management of riparian wetlands such as alder fens. The riparian alder system may vary from a nutrient sink to a nutrient source at different times of a year depending on high or low water levels.     

The cycle of instability: stress release and fissure flow as controls on gully head retreat

Gully head and wall retreat has commonly been attributed to fluvial scour and head collapse as a result of soil saturation, sapping or piping. The empirical evidence to substantiate these conceptual models is sparse, however, and often contradictory. This paper explores the hydrological and mechanical controls on gully head and wall stability by modelling the hydrology, stability and elastic deformation of a marl gully complex in Granada Province, south‐east Spain. The hydrological and slope‐stability simulations show that saturated conditions can be reached only where preferential fissure flow channels water from tension cracks into the base of the gully head, and that vertical or subvertical heads will be stable unless saturation is achieved. Owing to the high unsaturated strengths of marl measured in this research, failure in unsaturated conditions is possible only where the gully head wall is significantly undercut. Head retreat thus requires the formation of either a tension crack or an undercut hollow. Finite‐element stress analysis of eroding slopes reveals a build up of shear stress at the gully head base, and a second stress anomaly just upslope of the head wall. Although tension cracks on gully heads have often been attributed to slope unloading, this research provides strong evidence that the so called ‘sapping hollow’ commonly found in the gully headwall base is also a function of stress release. Although further research is needed, it seems possible that ‘pop out’ failures in river channels may be caused by the same process. The hydrological analysis shows that, once a tension crack has developed, throughflow velocity in the gully headwall will increase by an order of magnitude, promoting piping and enlargement of this weakened area. It is, therefore, possible to envisage a cycle of gully expansion in which erosion, channel incision or human action unloads the slope below a gully head, leading to stress patterns that account for the tension crack and a stress‐release hollow. The tension crack promotes faster throughflow, encouraging hollow enlargement and piping, which undercut the gully head. The tension crack permits the development of positive pore‐water pressures behind the gully head, leading either to failure or contributing to toppling. Finally the debris may be eroded by fluvial action, unloading a new section of slope and completing the cycle of gully head retreat. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On the limits of linear moment-tensor inversion of teleseismic body wave spectra

The limits of linear moment-tensor inversions from long-period teleseismic body waves are analysed in detail, using inverse methods. We focus our attention on single-station and few-stations methods. Information on the feasibility of full or deviatoric moment-tensor determinations prior to inversion are deduced from the system conditioning. The resolution and correlation of the momenttensor components are analysed using the resolution matrix. Conclusions on the importance and independence of the data are drawn from the information matrix. The single--station case and its implications are discussed in greater detail, as well as possible constraints on the inversion.     

Distribution of the energy release, b-values and seismic hazard in Egypt

A review of the seismicity and seismic history of Egypt indicates areas of high activity concentrated along Oligocene-Miocene faults. This supports the idea of recent activation of the Oligocene-Miocene stress cycle. There are similarities in the spatial distribution of recent and historical epicenters. Destructive earthquakes in Egypt are mostly concentrated in the highly populated areas of the Nile Valley and Nile Delta. Some big earthquakes located near the plate boundary as far away as Turkey and Crete were strongly felt in Egypt. The distribution of the energy release shows a possible tectonic connection between active zones in Egypt and the complicated tectonic zones in Turkey and Crete through geologically verified fault systems. The distribution of intensity shows a strong directivity along the Nile Valley. This is due to the presence of a thick layer of loose sediments on top of the hard rock in the Nile Valley graben. The distribution of b-values indicates two different zones, comparable with stable and unstable shelf areas. Stress loads in the northern Red Sea and northern Egypt are similar. Geologically, northern Egypt is a part of the Unstable Shelf area. The probability to have an earthquake with intensity V or larger within 94 years is more than 80% in the Nile Valley and Nile Delta areas, Egypt-Mediterranean coastal area, Aswan High Dam area, Gulf of Aqaba-Levant Fault zone and in the oil fields of the Gulf of Suez. The maximum expected intensity in these areas and within the same period is V–VI for a 80% probability and VII–VIII+ for a 10% probability. Intensity VIII–IX has been reported for several earthquakes in both historical and recent time.     

西安地裂缝近期超常活动因素及其量化分析

西安地裂缝近期超常活动，主要是长期过量抽汲深层承压水，引发地裂缝两侧地面不均匀沉降叠加到地裂缝正常活动过程中造成的。不均匀沉降量由地裂缝两侧土体松动程度不同造成的裂隙释水压密差异与两侧粘性土层厚度不同造成的孔隙释水压密差异共同构成。研究计算表明，地裂缝现今垂直活动量中，土体松动程度不同造成的裂隙释水压密量占有较大比例，而粘性土层厚度不同造成的孔隙释水压密差异所占有比例相对较小。