Impacts of land use and land cover changes on hydrological processes and sediment yield determined using the SWAT model

Land use and land cover (LULC) changes strongly affect local hydrology and sediment yields.The current study focused on a basin in the Brazilian Amazon and had the following three objectives:(1) to perform an effective diagnosis of flow and sediment yield,(2) to evaluate the impacts of LULC changes over the last 40 years on the hydro-sedimentological variables,and (3) to investigate the impacts of the possible trends or breaking points in the flow,surface runoff,and sediment yield series.The Soi...     

基于Hoek-Brown的岩石横观各向同性屈服准则研究

为了描述岩石强度的各向异性特征,通过引入材料的微结构张量,考虑单轴抗压强度σ_cβ随层理倾角β而变化,提出了基于微结构张量的修正Hoek-Brown屈服准则。开展不同层理倾角(0°、15°、30°、45°、60°、75°和90°)的页岩试样不同围压(0、5、10、15和20 MPa)下的三轴压缩试验,结果显示,页岩峰值强度与层理倾角β呈"U"形曲线关系,在围压较低时呈"肩"形曲线关系,弹性模量E_t和泊松比ν对围压不敏感,其平均值随层理倾角β的变化关系分别呈倒"U"形、"肩"形。页岩的微观和宏观破坏图像表明,其破坏模式受围压和层理倾角双重控制。试验值与模型预测值的对比表明,修正的Hoek-Brown屈服准则可较好地对页岩强度的各向异性进行模拟。同时,采用Koteshwar千枚岩、Koteshwar板岩、绿泥石片岩等层状结构岩石的单轴和三轴压缩试验数据,进一步验证了提出的修正Hoek-Brown屈服准则对多数具有层理结构的横观各向同性岩石峰值强度模拟具有普遍适用性,并对屈服准则在试验数据较多和较少情况下的峰值强度模拟效果进行了评价。     

含气软黏土的不排水抗剪强度计算模型

含气软黏土广泛分布在世界五大洲,大量离散气泡的存在对软黏土的不排水抗剪强度具有强化或损伤作用,然而目前仍缺乏能综合考虑气相强化与气相损伤竞争机制的含气土不排水剪切强度解析表达式。结合临界状态土力学理论,基于笔者提出的含气土屈服函数,建立了v-lnp¢ 空间下临界状态线截距与土体含气特性(u_{w 0},y₀)的数学关系,进而推导了含气软黏土在三轴应力状态下不排水抗剪强度s_u的理论显式表达式。同时,采用所提出的含气软黏土不排水抗剪强度理论计算公式,分别对比了3种典型的含气软黏土在不同含气特性下的不排水抗剪强度理论预测与试验结果,包括马来西亚高岭土、Combwich 黏土和高岭黏土。另外,对比分析了4种不同的含气软黏土不排水抗剪强度理论计算模型的预测误差百分比,证明了提出的基于改进的含气软黏土本构模型的不排水抗剪强度理论计算式的合理性,能够更加准确地同时考虑含气软黏土的气相强化与气相损伤双重效应。     

青龙县某铁矿矿区水文地质特征分析及矿坑涌水量预测

从区域水文地质、矿区水文地质两方面分析了矿区的水文地质特征,确定该矿区水文地质条件为简单,主要含水层(带)为第四系含水层、基岩风化裂隙含水带、构造破碎裂隙含水带。通过对矿床充水因素和矿坑边界条件的分析,提出利用承压水完整井结合大井法的计算方法,预测矿坑涌水量为9 283.6 m3/d,为后续矿山露采转地下开采提供依据。     

剪切速率对结构性吹填软土力学特性影响试验研究

黏土在剪切变形过程中,剪切速率的不同会对其结构破坏产生不同影响,从而影响其力学特性.本文以天津滨海新区吹填软土为研究对象,在对吹填软土关于结构性讨论的基础上,开展了剪切速率对其力学性状影响的三轴试验研究,分析其剪切速率力学效应.试验结果表明:随着剪切速率的提高,在低围压条件下,吹填软土的强度及其结构屈服应力均先减小后增大,存在临界剪切速率,而在高围压条件下,强度及其结构屈服应力则逐渐增大,与剪切速率呈正相关关系,临界剪切速率逐渐消失; 吹填软土的黏聚力在不同围压下随剪切速率提高均呈现减小趋势,内摩擦角在低围压条件下随剪切速率提高呈现增大趋势,在高围压条件下则随剪切速率提高呈现减小趋势; 在剪切过程中,孔隙水压力均随着轴向应变的增大到某一值然后稳定下来,随着围压的进一步加大,孔隙水压力的稳定值会随剪切速率的提高呈减小趋势.     

复数域总体最小二乘平差

在复数域最小二乘的基础上提出了复数域总体最小二乘平差方法,推导了复数域总体最小二乘和复数混合总体最小二乘的相关公式。通过算例比较分析了复数观测值的残差的模的平方和最小(平差准则1)下及残差的实部和虚部的平方和分别最小(平差准则2)下的复数最小二乘、复数观测值和系数矩阵的残差的模的平方和最小(平差准则3)下及残差的实部和虚部的平方和分别最小(平差准则4)下的复数总体最小二乘方法的优劣。试验结果表明:平差准则1下复数最小二乘较平差准则2下得到的结果更加合理,平差准则3下复数总体最小二乘较平差准则4下得到的结果更为准确;当顾及系数矩阵误差时,平差准则3下复数总体最小二乘要优于平差准则1下复数最小二乘。     

近25 a气候变化对江苏省粮食产量的影响

利用1986-2010年江苏省63个气象站的常规气象数据和粮食单产统计资料,分析了苏北、苏中、苏南地区和江苏全省三种时间尺度的气候变化特征;基于自助抽样(bootstrap)和一元线性回归的方法,研究了各区和全省粮食产量对作物年(11月一次年10月)、夏粮—秋粮生长季(11月-次年5月和6-10月)和月尺度气候要素的响应;并定量评价了过去25 a气候变化对各区和全省粮食产量的影响以及各气候要素的贡献.结果表明:1)在作物年、夏粮—秋粮生长季以及月尺度上,三区和全省各气候要素均发生了不同程度的变化,且存在一定的时空差异.在不断发展的农业管理措施和技术以及气候的共同作用下,三区和全省粮食单产显著(p＞0.01)增加,其中,全省增加趋势为66.89 kg·hm-2·a-1.2)除苏南地区对作物年尺度上的气候变化响应不显著外,粮食产量对降水的不随时间变化的负响应关系(即随降水的增加而减小,减小而增加)均在不同时间尺度和地区得到了体现,说明降水对这些地区粮食生产的影响十分重要;其中,苏北、苏中和全省粮食产量随作物年降水的增加(减少)而减小(增加),平均速率分别为0.19％·(10 mm)-1、0.09％·(10 mm)-1和0.11％·(10 mm)-1.3)三类模型结果均显示气候变化使得苏北、苏南和江苏粮食产量减小,但结果略有差异,其中,利用月气候要素建立的模型C的结果显示气候变化对粮食单产(总产)的影响最大,其均值分别为-6.51％·(10 a)-1(-11.28×108kg· (10 a)-1)、-3.27％·(10 a)-1(-2.36×108 kg·(10 a)-1)和-1.34％·(10 a)-1(-4.45×108kg·(10 a)-1).另外,为了系统而全面地评估气候变化对粮食产量的影响,考虑月尺度的气候变化的影响是十分必要的.     

Comparison of infiltration models

Fourteen popular, representative infiltration models, some physically based, some semi‐empirical and some empirical, were selected for a comparative evaluation. Using the Nash and Sutcliffe efficiency criterion, the models were evaluated and compared for 243 sets of infiltration data collected from field and laboratory tests conducted in India and the USA on soils ranging from coarse sand to fine clay. Based on a relative grading scale, the semi‐empirical Singh–Yu general model, Holtan model and Horton model were graded respectively as 6·52, 5·57 and 5·48 out of 10. The empirical Huggins and Monke model, modified Kostiakov and Kostiakov model were graded as 5·57, 5·30 and 5·22, respectively. The physically based non‐linear and linear models of Smith–Parlange were graded as 5·48 and 5·22, respectively. Other models were ranked lower than these models. All the models generally performed poorly in field tests on Georgia's sandy soils, except the Robertsdale loamy sand. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Spatial patterns of suspended sediment yields in a humid tropical watershed in Costa Rica

An Erratum has been published for this article in Hydrological Processes 16(5) 2002, 1130–1131. Humid tropical regions are often characterized by extreme variability of fluvial processes. The Rio Terraba drains the largest river basin, covering 4767 km², in Costa Rica. Mean annual rainfall is 3139±419_sd mm and mean annual discharge is 2168±492_sd mm (1971–88). Loss of forest cover, high rainfall erosivity and geomorphologic instability all have led to considerable degradation of soil and water resources at local to basin scales. Parametric and non‐parametric statistical methods were used to estimate sediment yields. In the Terraba basin, sediment yields per unit area increase from the headwaters to the basin mouth, and the trend is generally robust towards choice of methods (parametric and LOESS) used. This is in contrast to a general view that deposition typically exceeds sediment delivery with increase in basin size. The specific sediment yield increases from 112±11·4_sd t km^?2 year^?1 (at 317·9 km² on a major headwater tributary) to 404±141·7_sd t km^?2 year^?1 (at 4766·7 km²) at the basin mouth (1971–92). The analyses of relationships between sediment yields and basin parameters for the Terraba sub‐basins and for a total of 29 basins all over Costa Rica indicate a strong land use effect related to intensive agriculture besides hydro‐climatology. The best explanation for the observed pattern in the Terraba basin is a combined spatial pattern of land use and rainfall erosivity. These were integrated in a soil erosion index that is related to the observed patterns of sediment yield. Estimated sediment delivery ratios increase with basin area. Intensive agriculture in lower‐lying alluvial fans exposed to highly erosive rainfall contributes a large part of the sediment load. The higher elevation regions, although steep in slope, largely remain under forest, pasture, or tree‐crops. High rainfall erosivity (>7400 MJ mm ha^?1 h^?1 year ^?1) is associated with land uses that provide inadequate soil protection. It is also associated with steep, unstable slopes near the basin mouth. Improvements in land use and soil management in the lower‐lying regions exposed to highly erosive rainfall are recommended, and are especially important to basins in which sediment delivery ratio increases downstream with increasing basin area. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Short‐term spatial and temporal patterns of suspended sediment transfer in proglacial channels,small River Glacier,Canada

Alpine glacial basins are a significant source and storage area for sediment exposed by glacial retreat. Recent research has indicated that short‐term storage and release of sediment in proglacial channels may control the pattern of suspended sediment transfer from these basins. Custom‐built continuously recording turbidimeters installed on a network of nine gauging sites were used to characterize spatial and temporal variability in suspended sediment transfer patterns for the entire proglacial area at Small River Glacier, British Columbia, Canada. Discharge and suspended sediment concentration were measured at 5 min intervals over the ablation season of 2000. Differences in suspended sediment transfer patterns were then extracted using multivariate statistics (principal component and cluster analysis). Results showed that each gauging station was dominated c. 80% of days by diurnal sediment transfer patterns and ‘low’ suspended sediment concentrations. ‘Irregular’ transfer patterns were generally associated with ‘high’ sediment concentrations during snowmelt and rainfall events, resulting in the transfer of up to 70% of the total seasonal suspended sediment load at some gauging stations. Suspended sediment enrichment of up to 600% from channel storage release and extrachannel inputs occurred between the glacial front and distal proglacial boundary. However, these patterns differed significantly between gauging stations as determined by the location of the gauging station within the catchment and meteorological conditions. Overall, the proglacial area was the source for up to 80% of the total suspended sediment yield transferred from the Small River Glacier basin. These results confirmed that sediment stored and released in the proglacial area, in particular from proglacial channels, was controlling suspended sediment transfer patterns. To characterize this control accurately requires multiple gauging stations with high frequency monitoring of suspended sediment concentration. Accurate characterization of this proglacial control on suspended sediment transfer may therefore aid interpretation of suspended sediment yield patterns from glacierized basins. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.