GPS观测数据的模拟研究

主要研究了地面基准站GPS观测值模拟情况,分析了GPS观测值模拟的意义、原理及流程、用到的数学模型等,并用编写的模拟软件模拟了武汉站的GPS观测值情况。结果表明,本模拟方法所模拟的GPS观测值和实测值很接近,能满足不同层次人员对GPS模拟观测值的需要。     

北方冬小麦冬季冻害及播期延迟应对

全球变暖背景下, 我国北方冬麦区冬季冻害是否仍是主要气象灾害,冬小麦播期延迟是否能作为应对气候变化的措施,成为当前亟待解决的科学问题。研究表明：1981—2000年北方冬麦区偏北地区冬季冻害指数与冬小麦减产率相关系数为0.62(达到0.001显著性水平),即2000年前冬季冻害是冬小麦减产的主要气象灾害之一;2000年后冻害与冬小麦减产率相关不显著,即冬季冻害已不再是冬小麦减产的主要影响因子。2018—2021年的冬小麦分期播种试验分析表明：山东泰安和陕西咸阳主栽的冬小麦品种播期推迟,冬前积温和生长季积温明显减少,导致冬小麦植株高度、地上总干重和叶面积指数减小;播期推迟对产量结构造成不利影响,有效穗数、穗粒数和千粒重均分别减少,导致减产,播期推迟10 d平均减产22%,推迟20 d平均减产40%。因此,冬小麦推迟播期并未产生积极效应, 可能原因是当前冬小麦播期和主栽的冬小麦品种已适应当地气候变化。     

一次飞机严重积冰的天气条件和云微物理特征

利用2021年2月28日机载探测资料, 结合欧洲中期天气预报中心ERA5再分析资料、陕西省延安站探空资料, 分析飞机发生严重积冰的天气背景和云的宏微观结构特征。此次严重积冰天气是受高空槽、低空切变线、低空急流和地面冷锋共同影响的结果。ERA5再分析资料表明:过冷水大值区主要分布于锋区前部暖侧的700 hPa至600 hPa高度。探空资料表明:飞机探测区环境温度为-9~-3℃, 温度露点差为0℃, 具有发生严重积冰的温度和湿度条件。飞机遭遇严重积冰期间环境温度为-8~-5℃, 云粒子探头观测的液态水含量平均为0.35 g·m-3, 最大为0.7 g·m-3;总水含量仪观测的液态水含量平均为0.5 g·m-3, 最大为0.85 g·m-3, 有11 min大于0.45 g·m-3;云粒子中值体积直径平均为20.3 μm, 云粒子数浓度平均为149.3 cm-3;云粒子数浓度由低层到高层呈增大趋势, 而云粒子中值体积直径变化趋势与之相反。计算表明:国王350飞机在穿云作业时, 云中过冷水含量分别高于0.04 g·m-3, 0.15 g·m-3和0.45 g·m-3时可能遭遇轻度积冰、中度积冰和严重积冰。     

基于Slepian方法和地面重力观测确定时变重力场模型: 以2011—2013年华北地区数据为例

时变重力场是研究地球系统内部物质运动和时空演化过程的有效途径.目前广泛使用的GRACE时变重力场模型受限于其空间分辨率（约400 km）,难以探测较小空间尺度的重力变化.本文首次尝试利用Slepian局部谱分析方法和多期地面重力观测确定更高空间分辨率的时变重力场模型.Slepian方法通过构建研究区域内的正交基函数,将信号能量集中在研究区域内部,是构建球面局部重力场模型的理想方法.本文根据Slepian方法的特点给出了区域重力场建模及参数优化的步骤,以我国华北地区为例,基于2011—2013多期地面观测确定了区域时变重力场模型,并与同区域由Slepian方法和GRACE卫星数据确定的重力变化进行了对比分析.结果表明：（1）贝叶斯信息量准则可作为确定Slepian展开最佳截断数的有效手段;（2）基于研究区域内现有重复测点数据,能够恢复120阶时变重力场,空间分辨率（半波长）约150 km;（3）2011—2013年间研究区域内GRACE估计结果与120阶地面结果在时空分布的显著趋势上存在较好的对应,证明了本文利用Slepian方法和地面观测所得时变重力场模型的可靠性.本文研究结果可为区域重力场建模提供新的参考,也可为华北地区水资源变化监测、构造活动分析以及地震风险性评估等研究提供高分辨率的时变重力场模型支撑.

     

黑河流域临泽盐碱化草地网格尺度多层土壤水分时空稳定性分析

定量分析半干旱环境下盐碱化草地类型土壤水分的时间稳定性,是开展土壤水分尺度时空转换的前提,同时也是水文研究的重要组成部分。基于"黑河遥感—地面同步试验"干旱水文试验区临泽草地加密观测区16个土壤水分剖面的逐日持续观测数据,利用平均相对偏差及相关系数方法,对网格尺度上多层土壤水分的时间稳定性进行了分析。初步表明:①在土壤水分监测点布设上,在相对长的时期内,能代表网络水平上平均土壤水分最优观测的点是存在的,最优观测点位置的选择需要先密后稀,并根据事先的加密观测结果进行稳定性分析,保留平均相对偏差接近于0且其标准差最小的点开展长期观测。②在90 m×90 m的网格尺度上,土壤水分的空间结构在40 cm深度以上各层的时间稳定性是类似的,但稳定程度不同,表层最不稳定。在40 cm以下基本上趋于稳定,空间异质性降低。③研究区所在环境下网格尺度土壤水分空间分布在时间上强烈相关,观测刚开始的几天与其它时期的相关性比较低,在平稳期相关性较好,不稳定性主要由降水或灌溉事件引起。同时,由于环境的复杂性及观测的误差,这种特殊类型土壤水分的时间稳定特征还需要进一步研究。     

地脉动水平/竖向谱比表征地震动场地效应的有效性及其修正

近年来,地脉动水平/竖向谱比法广泛应用于获取场地卓越频率工作中,但在指示地震动放大系数方面是偏小的。利用KiK-net台网403个台站共21万余组数据,通过对比分析地脉动水平/竖向谱比MHVR和地震动水平/竖向谱比EHVR,发现二者的谱形和峰值频率基本一致,但幅值存在差异。根据MHVR谱形将场地分为6类,建立将MHVR修正为EHVR的经验方法。当MHVR有可解释的峰值时,实测EHVR和修正后MHVR预测值一致性提高。地震动峰值加速度在40 cm/s2以下时,EHVR受场地非线性的影响较小,利用MHVR及其修正方法可有效估计EHVR。     

Accuracy of tretyakov precipitation gauge: Result of wmo intercomparison

The Tretyakov non-recording precipitation gauge has been used historically as the official precipitation measurement instrument in the Russian (formerly the USSR) climatic and hydrological station network and in a number of other European countries. From 1986 to 1993, the accuracy and performance of this gauge were evaluated during the WMO Solid Precipitation Measurement Intercomparison at 11 stations in Canada, the USA, Russia, Germany, Finland, Romania and Croatia. The double fence intercomparison reference (DFIR) was the reference standard used at all the Intercomparison stations in the Intercomparison. The Intercomparison data collected at the different sites are compatible with respect to the catch ratio (measured/DFIR) for the same gauge, when compared using mean wind speed at the height of the gauge orifice during the observation period. The Intercomparison data for the Tretyakov gauge were compiled from measurements made at these WMO intercomparison sites. These data represent a variety of climates, terrains and exposures. The effects of environmental factors, such as wind speed, wind direction, type of precipitation and temperature, on gauge catch ratios were investigated. Wind speed was found to be the most important factor determining the gauge catch and air temperature had a secondary effect when precipitation was classified into snow, mixed and rain. The results of the analysis of gauge catch ratio versus wind speed and temperature on a daily time step are presented for various types of precipitation. Independent checks of the correction equations against the DFIR have been conducted at those Intercomparison stations and a good agreement (difference less than 10%) has been obtained. The use of such adjustment procedures should significantly improve the accuracy and homogeneity of gauge-measured precipitation data over large regions of the former USSR and central Europe.     

Inversion Reconstruction of Gravity Potential Based on Gravity Gradients

A new method was developed for the inversion reconstruction of gravity potential. This method offers the possibility to determine the potential function and all of its important derivatives using the common inversion of gravity gradients and the first derivatives of potential. Gravity gradients can be originated from Torsion balance measurements, while the first derivatives of potential can be derived from the deflections of the vertical data. Different fields having great importance can be originated from this reconstructed potential function at any points of the investigated area. The advantage of this method is that the solution can be performed by a significantly over-determined inverse problem. Test computations were performed for the inversion reconstruction of gravity potential. There were 248 torsion balance measurements and 13 points where the deflections of the vertical are known in our test area. This inversion algorithm is rather stable. Gravity potential, the first and the second derivatives of the potential were determined for the test area by this suggested method. This method gives a good possibility for a useful geodetic application; deflections of the vertical based on torsion balance measurements can be determined for the whole area for each torsion balance stations.     

Fine-Scale Measurements Of Turbulence In The Lower Troposphere: An Intercomparison Between A Kite- And Balloon-Borne, And A Helicopter-Borne Measurement System

Two state-of-the-art, high-resolution, in situ turbulence measurement systems, which can be deployed at altitudes well above the atmospheric surface layer, are compared: the Tethered Lifting System (TLS) of the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES)at the University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, and the helicopter-borneturbulence measurement system HELIPOD of the Technical UniversityBraunschweig, Germany, and the University of Hanover, Germany. Whilethe CIRES TLS is a fixed-point platform, HELIPOD is a moving platform.On the basis of data taken with the two systems in separate field campaigns,the system capabilities are quantified and discussed. Criteria for instrumentalrequirements are presented. It is shown that both the CIRES TLS and HELIPODare well suited for measuring fine-scale turbulence that is characterized by very small temperature structure parameters 10⁶ K² m^–2/3 and smaller) and very small energy dissipation rates (10^-7 m² s^-3 and smaller). The authors are not aware of any other turbulence measurement systems that have similar capabilities and can be deployed at altitudes of up to several kilometres. The HELIPOD is ideal for high-resolution horizontal measurements while the TLS is ideal for high-resolution vertical measurements using multiple sensors attached to a suspended line.     

STUDY ON APPLICATIONS OF C-BAND DUAL LINEAR POLARIZATION RADAR IN METEOROLOGY

Theoretical study and development of a dual linear polarization weather radar in China are briefly presented.Also discussed are the potential uses of the new radar system in improving the accuracy of areal rainfall measure-ments and analysing the spacial structure of storms and distribution of hydrometecrs in clouds based on theradar observational data from the field experimcnts during the summers of 1987—1989. The results indicatethat a C-band dual polarization weather radar, after considering the microwave attenuation correction, may beemployed to quantitatively measure rainfall and to monitor heavy rain and flood events and becomes an impor-rant means to study storm structure.