流域系统的泥沙灾害类型及其划分原则

泥沙灾害按驱动力、灾害发生的地貌学系统、灾害的表现形式及具体灾害系统，分层次逐级划分成自然动力与人为动力泥沙灾害2个灾列；流域水质，沟道坡面、河道及平原河口海岸4个泥沙灾害类：侵蚀型、输移（搬运）型、堆积型、复杂型及关联型5种泥沙灾害型；最后分别列出2系列的49个及54个灾种。这是一种比较综合、系统的分类原则和类型划分。从流水地貌、泥沙运动及灾害学相结合来看，泥沙灾害具有自然地理地带性、垂直分带性、群发性、继发性和周期性、渐发性和突发性，以及复杂性和非线性等特征。     

基于梯度原理的寒潮预报系统

对表片冷空气强度的气象要素极值自动扫描采集，结合寒潮预报区内指标站相应的气象要素值施行梯度运算，得到了指向寒潮预报区的相应气象要素梯度值，从而实现了冷空气强度及其变化的动态监测。     

The Principles and Methods of Division of Potential Seismic Regions for Moderately Strong Earthquakes in Northeast and North China

The uncertainty of potential seismic regions for moderately strong earthquakes has a great effect on the results of seismic hazard analysis in weak seismicity regions,so it is the basement of seismic zoning and seismic hazard assessment for engineering sites by correctly dividing the potential seismic regions for moderately strong earthquakes.By taking Northeast and North China as examples,the authors compiled and systematically analyzed a large amount of basic data and then suggest the principles and methods of potential seismic regions for moderately strong earthquakes based on a great number of case studies.The practical division of potential seismic regions in the Changchun and Jilin areas shows that these principles and methods show better suitability.Moreover,the authors also discuss in this paper the progress obtained and put forward some problems that should be solved in the future.     

利用热带降雨测量卫星的微波成像仪观测资料反演陆地降水

利用热带降雨测量卫星的微波成像仪资料，结合淮河流域试验加密观测期的阜阳地面天 气雷达雨量资料，建立了以散射指数和极化订正温度为主要参数的降水反演算法。对文 中所做反演试验与日本ＮＡＳＤＡ用微波成像仪和星载测雨雷达反演的雨强进行了比较。结果表明 ，文中所用的方法在反演陆地下垫面的降雨强度的分布和降雨区域的确定是比较成功的。     

中国湖泊综合分类原则、级别划分及分类程序之初探

在略述了国内外湖泊分类研究现状的基础上.探讨了开展我国湖泊综合分类的原则、级别划分以及综合分类所应遵循的程序。主导因素与综合因素相结合,建立分类的主导标志,是湖泊综合分类系统中高层次分类的关键;区域相似性(相对一致性)与差异性的对比分析是低层次分类的重要环节。在此基础上.还应充分考虑到人类经济活动的方式与强度对湖泊诸自然因素的影响,以便使湖泊综合分类工作既具有理论上的意义,同时又具有实用价值。级别划分应从以下标准衡量:分类结果是否能充分揭示或反映出湖泊所具有的区域综合特性以及地貌、水文、化学、生物等各因子之间的有机联系和相互影响;能否展示出湖泊的动态变化和今后的演变趋势;是否简明扼要,便于实际应用。工作程序可大致分解为四个相对独立又彼此有着紧密联系的阶段,即系统搜集与占有资料、资料分析整理与单因子分类、综合分类、理论诠释。     

我国东北和华北地区中强地震潜在震源区的划分原则和方法

中强地震潜在震源区的不确定性，对弱地震活动区地震危险性分析结果的影响较大。因此，正确二划分中强地震潜在震源区，是地震区划加和工程场地地震安全性评价的基础。本文以东北和华北地区为例，较为系统地整理了大量基础资料，从众多典型震例分析结果中提出了该地区中强地震潜在震源区的划分原则和方法，对长春，吉林等地区进行了实验划分结果表明，本文所提出了划分原则和方法具有较好的适应性。与此同时，还对本文取得的进展和有     

Simplified Method and Improved Solution for Deriving Fifth Order Stokes Wave

As the solution of the two equations for determining the existing fifth order Stokes wave de-rived by Skjelbreia is complex and tedious,the two equations are simplified into one equation for deter-mining d/L,i.e.,f(H,T,d/L)=0.According to this simplified method,three cases of the solution forthe Skjelbreia equations have been found:one accurate solution;more than one accurate solution and noaccurate solution(but there exists the optimum approximate solution in the area of satisfying Skjelbreiaequations).As to the case of more than one accurate solution,the reasonable solution can be judged fromthe method of variational principle,by means of which an optimum solution improved from the solutionof Skjelbreia equations in the area of satisfying the original mathematical equations of non-vortex andnonlinear wave theory,i.e.,the optimum fifth order Stokes wave,is given.     

双通道高光谱地物波谱仪测量水体的遥感反射率

遥感反射率是描述水体光谱特征的重要参数之一，是海洋水色遥感的基础物理量。高光谱地物波谱仪具有通道多、覆盖波长广、通道带宽窄等优点，在水体水色特性研究方面具有独特的优势，文章在简要介绍水体遥感反射率测量原理基础上，对几个关键技术问题进行讨论，最后给出一些应用效果。     

Postbuckling Analysis for Offshore Pipelines with Residual Stresses

Based on the finite displacement theory of elastic shells, the postbuckling behaviour of submarine pipelines with residual stresses is investigated by using a new finite element formula. The corresponding complementary energy functional is first constructed, and then a geometrical stiffness matrix suitable for the postbuckling of a cylindrical shell is derived. In this matrix the effects of initial stresses and harmonic coupling terms have been considered. The formulation presented in this paper can be used to solve a significant class of problems in the analysis of elastic shells.     

Sustainable development, sustainable decisions and the precautionary principle

One of the key foundations of sustainable development is the precautionary principle, a concept that has given rise to a considerable amount of controversy. For some, it is a barrier to technological progress and development, for others a means of preventing potentially harmful applications of science. What does this principle actually mean? What is its contribution to sustainable development in general and to decision-making in response to natural hazards in particular? How should it be applied? This paper will consider whether an examination of the relationship between science and law can assist in answering questions such as these, and thus provide some greater clarity about this important principle.