青藏高原东边缘山区极值风速推算方法的研究

利用1971—2001年青藏高原东边缘地区12个气象台站风资料,分析了影响极值风速的主要因子,通过对地形的参数化处理,建立了极值风速随海拔高度和地形参数变化的拟合模型,可推算该地山区的极值风速,并利用山区临时观测资料对拟合模型进行了检验。结果表明,利用引入地形参数所建立的极值风速拟合模型来推算山区极值风速具有一定的可行性。     

京西北地区地应变观测与小震震源机制解一致性研究

以京西北地区作为研究区域,采用应变参数方法解算定点地应变观测数据,将所得应变参数时间序列作为研究对象,利用该结果与研究区内同期小震震源机制解进行一致性分析,研究得出呈拉张性质的定点观测最大主应变方位与震源机制解最大拉张变形方向（T轴）水平投影具有良好的对应性,整体以NNW—NE向为主,且自西向东排布的测点最大主应变方位与震源机制解最大拉张变形方向均表现为逐渐东向偏移的趋势,与华北平原块体北部发生顺时针旋转活动的特征相吻合,结果进一步检验了地应变观测反映区域应变场信息的能力。     

甘肃近40年来气温变化的研究

利用 196 0～ 1999年甘肃省 15站的月平均气温 ,平均最高、最低气温 ,极端最高、最低气温等资料 ,对近 4 0年来甘肃省气候变化特征作了分析研究。结果显示 :1985年以前甘肃年平均气温变化是平稳的 ,以后急剧增温 ,且增温并不是主要由冬季增温造成的。1985年以前是平均最低气温升高 ,以后平均最高气温也在升高 ,所以 1985年以后的气温变暖不完全是以最低气温变暖为主形成的     

黄土微观参数指标与阻尼比关联度研究

对岷县地震台、庆阳黄土塬2~12m深度土层的粉土、粉质黏土样品,利用室内动三轴试验和扫描电镜试验,测定阻尼比和微观结构特征,研究了粉土、粉质黏土的阻尼比随深度的变化及应力应变关系,采用灰色关联度方法,分析了黄土竖向（沉积方向）和横向（垂直于沉积方向）的微观结构参数对阻尼比影响的主次关系及其权重。研究结果表明:小应变下,粉土和粉质黏土阻尼比随着深度的增加而减小;粉土和粉质黏土的微观参数与阻尼比有一定的关联性,粉土竖向的微观参数对阻尼比的影响较为敏感;粉质黏土横向的微观参数对阻尼比的影响更加敏感;影响权重方面,粉质黏土的平均形状系数影响权重最大,对阻尼比的影响最大;粉土的平均形状系数、分形维数和概率熵影响权重最大,对阻尼比影响最敏感。平均面积无论在关联度还是影响权重方面对阻尼比影响最小,该结论粉土与粉质黏土保持一致。     

川东地区古生界主要泥页岩最高古温度特征

泥页岩的热演化过程与其经历的古温度史相关,最高古温度决定它的最终热演化程度.本文利用古温标方法恢复了川东地区古生界主要泥页岩层系经历的最高古温度.研究结果表明,它们在距今80—90Ma时达到最高古温度,龙潭组顶面最高古温度150~220℃,龙潭组底面最高古温度160~230℃,龙马溪组顶面最高古温度160~250℃,五峰组底面最高古温度170~260℃,筇竹寺组顶面最高古温度210~320℃,筇竹寺组底面最高古温度210~320℃.各层最高古温度平面展布特征相似,最高温出现在涪陵—丰都一带,向南与向北温度均呈降低趋势,在达州—开江一带局部出现较高温.此外,结合川东地区古热流史分析认为,川东古生界泥页岩热演化过程具有阶段性,现今处于高-过成熟状态,达到最高古温度后生烃作用停止.川东地区经历较高的最高古温度随后快速抬升剥蚀有利于页岩气的成烃与成藏.     

Late Pleistocene–Holocene environmental and climatic history of a freshwater paramo ecosystem in the northern Andes

This study presents the first multi-proxy palaeoenvironmental and palaeoclimatic history for northern South America based on the palaeolimnological reconstruction of a pond located in a dry paramo at 3570 masl. During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), the study area was under glacial conditions, then during global events Heinrich Stadial 1 (HS1), Bølling–Allerød (BA), and the Younger Dryas (YD), the pond expanded, accumulation rates and proxies for erosion reached the highest values, indicative of humid conditions, with maxima in humidity during the BA and YD. Dry conditions and pond desiccation occurred in the Greenlandian–Northgrippian and by 6010 cal a bp the area was transformed into the mire of today. Comparisons with records from other sites in South America indicate that changes in humidity are most likely controlled by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, mainly during the glacial and postglacial, and by changes in the Pacific Ocean, more pronounced after the YD.     

AN AGCM SSiB MODEL SIMULATION ON CHANGES IN PALAEOMONSOON CLIMATE AT 21 KA BP IN CHINA

The numerical simulation experiment of climate at Last Glacial Maximum (LGM.21 ka BP)in China is made by using an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) coupled with landsurface processes (AGCM SSiB) and earth orbital parameters and boundary forcing conditions at21 ka.The modeled climate features are compared with reconstructed conditions at 21 ka frompaleo-lake data and pollen data.The results show that the simulated climate conditions at 21 ka inChina are fairly comparable with paleo-climatological data.The climate features at 21 ka in Chinafrom the experiment are characterized by a drier in the east and a wetter in the west and in theTibetan Plateau as well.According to the analysis of distribution of pressure and precipitation,aswell as the intensity of atmospheric circulation at 21 ka,monsoon circulation in eastern Asia wassignificantly weak comparing with the present.In the Tibetan Plateau,the intensity of summermonsoon circulation was strengthened,and winter monsoon was a little stronger than the present.The simulation with given forcing boundary conditions,especially the different vegetationcoverage,can reproduce the climate condition at the LGM in China,and therefore providesdynamical mechanisms on the climate changes at 21 ka.     

青藏高原末次冰期最盛时的冰川与环境

在１６－３２ｋａＢｐ的末次冰期最盛时，青藏高原较现代降温７℃左右，降水为现代的０３－７０％。极地型冰川广泛分布，高原内部平衡线较下降值减至５００－３００ｍ以内，高原东部，南缘及西缘可能以亚极地型冰川为主，并有小部分温冰川，平衡线下降８００ｍ以至１００－１２００ｍ。初步统计，包括周围高山在内冰川面积在３５×１０＾４ｋｍ＾２左右，为现代冰川的７．５倍，冰储量相当于全海平面变化２４．２ｃｍ。其时，多年冻     

Maximum snowfall at long-term stations in the U.S./Canadian Great Lakes

Heavy snowfalls can pose natural hazards in the North American Great Lakes region. Maximum annual snowfalls are presented from an extensive data base at 82 long-period-of-record stations. In the absence of site-specific information, these data should be useful to designers, planners, and resource managers in the region. A relationship exists between maximum snowfalls and latitude because the northern Great Lakes climate is cooler and drier than the climate of the southern Great Lakes. A relationship between longitude and maximum snowfalls appears to be based on the longitudinal variation of precipitable water vapor aloft. No apparent relationship exists between maximum snowfall and elevation when station data are analyzed without regard to data from lake-effect zones. However, when one lake-effect region was analyzed in detail, an orographic effect was clearly evident in both maximum and average annual snowfalls.     

井间层析成像的最大熵方法

本文研究最大熵图像重建用于地球物理学中井间观测问题,着重研究了剑桥算法.对算法中拉格朗日乘子的确定给出了新方法;解决了算法的收敛条件和收敛范围;提出了减少算法计算量和内存量的方法,并编制了实用程序MECT.通过数值模型的研究,最后重建出了某矿区的剖图,与BPT和ART方法的结果进行了比较.证明最大熵图像重建法的优越性在于能有效地抑制噪声,分辨率高,边界影响程度小.若改善观测条件,将提高最大熵成像法的分辨率.