加强地震监测预报工作应密切关注的几个问题

目的，科技进步和社会发展对防震减灾部门提出了更高的工作目标和要求。在未来的一段时期内，一方面需要把地震预报工作从经验基础预报向完善的物理模型推进，另一方面要切实加强地震台网的优化工作，保证研究工作的顺利开展。纵观当前的政治经济形势和地震科学研究现状，文章提出了在“十五”期间应特别关注的几个问题：①正确处理“继承和发展”的关系，努力造就跨世纪的监测预报人才；②监测台网优化和监测技术的发展必须重视预报对监测技术的需求；③分析预报工作的基础建设对提高预报工作质量的作用不容忽视。     

隐伏断层灾害的研究与地震保险

简要介绍了近年来一些国家地震灾害造成的经济损失占这些国家国内生产总值的比例；主要介绍了多震地区开展地震断层探测研究的概况以断层活动为基础的地震保险试验的内容及研究进展。     

中国数字化地震观测系统

介绍了中国地震局“九五”重点项目中国数字化地震观测系统，特别重点介绍了中国数字化地震台网、国家标准数字化地震台、中国地震局卫星数据通信网、中国数字地震台网中心的建设规模、设计思路、技术参数、设备结构、服务功能，以及中国数字地震台网的运行流程和运行状况。     

Crustal structure in and around the region of the 1995 Kobe Earthquake deduced from a wide-angle and refraction seismic exploration

Abstract The 1995 Kobe (Hyogo-ken Nanbu) earthquake (M_JMA 7.2, M_w 6.9) occurred on Jan. 17, 1995, at a depth of 17 km, beneath the areas of southern part of Hyogo prefecture and Awaji Island. To investigate P-wave velocity distribution and seismological characteristics in the aftershock area of this great earthquake, a wide-angle and refraction seismic exploration was carried out by the Research Group for Explosion Seismology (RGES) . The profile including 6 shot points and 205 observations was 135 km in length, extending from Keihoku, Northern Kyoto prefecture, through Kobe, to Seidan on Awaji Island. The charge of each shot was 350–700 kg. The P-wave velocity structure model showed a complicated sedimentary layer which is shallower than 2.5 km, a 2.5 km-thick basement layer whose velocity is 5.5 km/s, overlying the crystalline upper crust, and the boundary between the upper and lower crust.
Almost all aftershock hypocenters were located in the upper crust. However, the structure model suggests that the hypocenters of the main shock and some aftershock clusters were situated deeper than the boundary between the upper and lower crust. We found that the P-velocity in the upper crust beneath the northern part of Awaji Island is 5.64 km/s which is 3% lower than that of the surrounding area. The low-velocity zone coincides with the region where the high stress moment release was observed.     

Quaternary vertical offset and average slip rate of the Nojima Fault on Awaji Island, Japan

Abstract Drilling was carried out to penetrate the Nojima Fault where the surface rupture occurred associated with the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake. Two 500 m boreholes were successfully drilled through the fault zone at a depth of 389.4 m. The drilling data show that the relative uplift of the south-east side of the Nojima Fault (south-west segment) was approximately 230 m. The Nojima branch fault, which branches from the Nojima Fault, is inferred to extend to the Asano Fault. From the structural contour map of basal unconformity of the Kobe Group, the vertical component of displacement of the Nojima branch–Asano Fault is estimated to be 260–310 m. Because the vertical component of displacement on the Nojima Fault of the north-east segment is a total of those of the Nojima Fault of the south-west segment and of the Nojima branch–Asano Fault, it is estimated to total to 490–540 m. From this, the average vertical component of the slip rate on the Nojima Fault is estimated to be 0.4–0.45 m/10³ years for the past 1.2 million years.     

Crack-filling clays and weathered cracks in the DPRI 1800 m core near the Nojima Fault, Japan: Evidence for deep surface-water circulation near an active fault

Abstract Crack-filling clays and weathered cracks were observed in the Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University (DPRI) 1800 m cores drilled from the Nojima Fault Zone, which was activated during the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake (Kobe earthquake). The crack-filling clays consist mainly of unconsolidated fine-grained materials that fill opening cracks with no shear textures. Most of the cracks observed in the DPRI 1800 m cores are yellow-brown to brown in color due to weathering. Powder X-ray diffraction analyses show that the crack-filling clays are composed mainly of clay minerals and carbonates such as siderite and calcite. Given that the top of the borehole is approximately 45 m above sea level, most of the core is far below the stable groundwater table. Hence, it is suggested that the crack-filling clays and weathered cracks in the cores taken at depths of 1800 m were formed by the flow of surface water down to the deep fractured zone of the Nojima Fault Zone during seismic faulting.     

导致古森林沉没于海的福建深沪湾古地震研究

福建深沪湾海底古森林是强古地震遗迹。研究结果表明 ,全新世早期该处海底古森林生长在由松散的晚更新世含砾砂粘土构成的低凹洼地内。距今 70 0 0a左右的强古地震导致古森林沉没于海并形成泻湖环境 ,约距今 2 0 0 0a的又一次强古地震使海底古森林沉没到更深的海底 ,推测这两次古地震的震级都超过 7级     

Anisotropy of the apparent resistivity variation rate near the epicentral region for strong earthquakes

IntroductionThe geo-electrical anisotropy before earthquake is of special significance for the prediction of earthquake location and for the research on crustal stress status near the epicentral region. The anisotropy has been studied from various aspects (CHEN, et al, 1983; QIAN, et al, 1985, 1996; LU, et al, 1990a; MAO, et al, 1995; RUAN, et al, 1999). But the anisotropic phenomena presented by geo-electrical data are not practically satisfactory and not clear as compared with the res…     

青海省河南M_S5.1和玛沁M_S5.0地震后库玛断裂带的地震活动趋势研究

根据地震活动特征、大武地震台尾波持续时间及长宁、湟源和西宁 3个台水氡异常变化 ,讨论了 1 999年河南MS5 .1和玛沁MS5 .0地震发生后库玛断裂带的地震活动趋势 .结果表明 ,河南—玛沁地区的中强地震活动与库玛断裂带上的强震活动有明显的对应关系 ;在库玛断裂带中东段存在一个由ML ≥ 3.0地震围成的空区 ;上述2次地震发生后大武地震台尾波持续时间异常依然存在 ,长宁、湟源和西宁台水氡趋势异常仍然持续 .据此认为库玛断裂带存在发生强震的背景     

清水李沟井与礼县石桥井流量异常变化与地震的关系

分析了清水李沟井与礼县石桥井汉量变化与邻近地区发生的中强地震的对应关系。发现在邻近地区发生的部分中强地震前半年左右2口井的流量开始出现上升或波动现象，异常变化的幅度最大可达3．75mL/s，对震级较小，而且距离较远的地震无明显的异常反映。2口井流量异常对5级地震的映震范围为250km，6级地震为350km，7级地震为500km。