Dimension and entropy in the soil-covered landscape

Both the Hausdorff dimension and the K-entropy supply a measure of the irregularity of the landspace surface. The relationship between the two measures is investigated over a variety of terrains in Britain and a method of calculating the entropy is checked against an independent estimate of the dimension with reasonable agreement. The calculation of the K-entropy requires that the landscape surface be represented by an homogenous ergodic random field. This condition is satisfied by the tendency of soil-covered terrains to progressively approximate to a form well represented by a Gaussian field. Gaussian random fields can either be very smooth, possessing derivatives of all orders at every point or they are highly irregular and non-differentiable everywhere. Within the regular conceptualization the Rice-Kac theory is used to predict the numbers of crossing points and the extent of excursion sets. These predictions are tested against an example terrain from the High Weald of East Sussex with very good agreement, apart from predictions of local maxima. A worked example of the calculation of the K-entropy is given as an appendix. The potential role of information theory in geomorphology extends beyond the use made of entropy in this investigation. In particular ergodic theory has important practical and theoretical implications.     

断裂对地下水力扩散的影响及其与诱发地震关系的讨论

本文重点讨论了断裂规模、断裂相交网络和断裂力学的性质对地下水力扩散的影响,及其与诱发地震的关系。指出断裂密集成带的地方,水力扩散大。根据流体流动规律,水力扩散沿断裂方向流体流速大,断裂越长越深,沿断裂方向水力扩散距离就越大。而水力扩散随深度的变化,由于不同深度上岩性变化和应力状态的不同,有的深度上的岩类可能出现扩容而增大水力扩散。因此它并不是随围压的增大而单值地减少。 文章指出断裂的末端和断裂的交汇处是地下水富集的地方,在水富集地方的四周,水力扩散比其它地方要大。另外现代活动的张性和张扭性断裂比压性和压扭性断裂的水力扩散大。文章还提出水沿断裂扩散是水库诱发地震的直接原因。水力扩散大的断裂,水库诱发地震的可能性大,规模大而活的断裂诱发地震的震级可能大。     

Cost-effective network design for groundwater flow monitoring

The extensive use of groundwater resources has increased the need for developing cost-effective monitoring networks to provide an indication of the degree to which the subsurface environment has been affected by human activities. This study presents a cost-effective approach to the design of groundwater flow monitoring networks. The groundwater network design is formulated with two problem formats: maximizing the statistical monitoring power for specified budget constraint and minimizing monitoring cost for statistical power requirement. The statistical monitoring power constraint is introduced with an information reliability threshold value. A branch and bound technique is employed to select the optimal solution from a discrete set of possible network alternatives. The method is tested to the design of groundwater flow monitoring problem in the Pomona County, California.     

Fractal properties of simulated bed profiles in coarse-grained channels

Bed roughness characteristics in coarse-grained channels are fairly complex. A hierarchy of roughness elements can be observed, ranging from variable particle sizes and shapes and small-scale sedimentary structures, to large-scale bedforms such as riffle-pool sequences. The effects of these scales of roughness on the flow geometry still remain to be thoroughly investigated. The semivariogram has been suggested in the past as a means of quantifying bed roughness effects on streamflow, as well as for distinguishing between scales of roughness. However, field measurements are rather time-consuming. The low number of bed profiles measured in the field precludes the identification of generally applicable relationships between the statistical properties derived from the semivariograms (such as the Hausdorff dimensions and the scale of autocorrelation corresponding to each fractal band) and the bed configuration itself (geometrical and sedimentological properties). Simulation results of gravel-bed profiles are, therefore, presented in order to complement the original investigation of Robert (1988a). The simulation experiments, based on grain characteristics of sizes and shapes and on morphological properties of small-scale bedforms, yield very significant information on boundary roughness at the microscale and give insight into the interpretation of empirical semivariograms (derived from field measurements). Bed-material sorting, variable grain shapes, and height and spacing of cluster bedforms control the fractal dimensions obtained from the semivariograms, as well as the location of the break of slope and the range of the process.     

沙漠化评价基本理论初探

沙漠化评价的原则、内容和方法紧密联系。沙漠化研究内容决定其评价内容。沙漠化地图的合适信息负载量，决定各种比例尺的沙漠化评价指征的详细程度，也决定沙漠化分级数与分类数。分级数的下限是沙漠化允许值。     

建设数字地震 促进防震减灾

本文提出了“数字地震”的概念 ,讨论它的主要内容和问题 ,并对建设“数字地震”提出若干建设性意见。     

“广义信息维”在首都圈地震中期预报中的应用

给出了“广义信息维”的计算公式和计算方法，研究了首都圈和周期地区的广义时间分维和华北地区的广义空间分维。结果表明，在该地区Ｍｓ≥５．３地震前０．５－３ａ，时间分维都有一个较明显的降维过程；空间分维也有较好的对应效果，但是存在漏现象。     

有序性分析与新疆7级强震预测

自然数可以视为反映世界客观本质的一种重要秩序，即信息，它不因加法处理而失真［１］。强地震在一定的时空范围内重复出现的现象称为有序性。自１７１６年以来，新疆及其邻区７级以上强震在时间上具有良好的有序性，有些强震在空间上亦表现出一定的有序性。强地震时间间隔值以６０、３０、４１、１９和１１年占据主导分布，并且相互之间关系密切。根据强震活动的有序性结构可进行预测：该地区未来Ｍ≥７强震可能发生在２００４年和２０１５年前后。     

地理信息系统支持下的坡面太阳辐射计算

本文介绍了在地理信息系统(GIS)的空间数据席支持下的区域坡面太阳辐射计算方法。使用该方法,可用计算机按地表实际的地形参数计算山区地表接受太阳总辐射,直接辐射和散射辐射的日、月、年总量,揭示其空间分布规律。这对区域的自然与生态环境研宄具有更要价值。     

民房震害预测专家评定统计模型的探讨

本文针对专家评定意见有一定伸缩性的特点,将专家意见表示为评定论域上的模糊子集,利用可能性相加原理,对专家意见进行了统计分析,得出综合性的意见。结果表明,利用伸缩性提供的丰富信息,可以较好地总结专家意见。基于几种模型的仿真可靠性分析结果,本文推荐可靠性最高的模型作为城市平房震害预测统计手段。