Interevent Time Distribution in Seismicity: A Theoretical Approach

This paper presents an analysis of the distribution of the time τ between two consecutive events in a stationary point process. The study is motivated by the discovery of unified scaling laws for τ for the case of seismic events. We demonstrate that these laws cannot exist simultaneously in a seismogenic area. Under very natural assumptions we show that if, after rescaling to ensure Eτ =1, the interevent time has a universal distribution F, then F must be exponential. In other words, Corral’s unified scaling law cannot exist in the whole range of time. In the framework of a general cluster model we discuss the parameterization of an empirical unified law and the physical meaning of the parameters involved. An erratum to this article is available at .     

A review on advances in seismology in Mexico after 30 years from the 1985 earthquake

The 19 September 1985 (M_w8.1) earthquake, located on the Michoacán coast, Mexico, generated great damage in Mexico City, more than 300 km away from the epicentral area. Other important cities near the coast and in central Mexico also suffered severe damage. Thirty years after this important event, the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), the Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada, Baja California (CICESE) and other institutions organized a conference to discuss the scientific advances, particularly in seismology, that had taken place in Mexico since then.     

滇西北地区M≥5.0地震地震学短期预报指标及其预报效能研究

在滇西北地区(25°~28°N,99°~101.5°E)用不同的统计窗长和滑动步长,对当前常用的地震学参数进行分析研究,最终确定了6个预报指标:频度N、缺震、能量E、断层总面积ΣE、空间集中度C值、地震活动度S值。这6项指标对滇西北地区及周边区域1990年发生的M≥5.0地震有较好的短期映震能力,但丽江7级地震前,6个指标只有缺震出现了明显异常,达到预报指标,其余5个指标都无异常显示。这种结果一方面说明6项指标对6级左右地震有较好的对应关系,但对6.7级以上地震没有控制能力;另一方面也说明,丽江7.0级地震最显著的特征是短期阶段孕震区中小地震活动异常平静。因此,仅仅依靠地震学指标实现短临预报是不够的,还应结合其它方法和手段。     

南粤古驿道历史建筑数字化保护与VR场景构建

南粤古驿道遗留了众多文化遗产,具有较高的历史、艺术、科学价值,但历史建筑损坏较为严重.为推进南粤古驿道活化利用,本文采用精细三维建模技术与虚拟现实(VR)技术实现了南粤古驿道的数字化保护.首先对南粤古驿道遗址进行了分析,然后从数据采集、点云数据处理、几何模型加工、纹理贴图等方面阐述对历史遗迹进行精细三维建模和VR场景构...     

差分法计算地震动旋转分量

旋转地震学是一门研究由地震、爆破以及工程振动等引起的地球介质运动的新兴学科.旋转运动的研究由来已久,但是由于缺少高精度的旋转分量地震仪,所以旋转运动的研究大多仅限于理论方面.差分法作为利用平动分量获取旋转分量的一种计算方法,在理论研究方面较为成熟,但是缺乏实际数据的验证.通过在对旋转运动研究现状充分调研的基础上,利用模...