上海热浪与健康监测预警系统

用1989～1998年上海逐日4次气象观测资料,应用美国特拉华大学的SSC天气分类方法确定逐日天气类型,形成了10年逐日天气类型日历。并通过天气类型与死亡率的对比分析,确定MT+类型是上海地区形成热浪的“侵人型”气团,是具有最高死亡率的天气类型。采用逐步回归方法建立了MT+类型下因受热浪侵袭而超正常死亡数的回归方程。在此基础上建立了上海热浪与健康监测预警系统。通过1999年气象和死亡实况资料检验,系统对热浪及因此引起的死亡具有较好的监测和预警效果。     

敦密断裂带盆地群油页岩特征及成矿差异分析

古近纪敦密断裂带上分布一系列的含油页岩盆地群。根据盆地间构造-沉积充填、岩石组合和油页岩赋存特征,初步确认盆地群中油页岩沉积于湖盆鼎盛阶段,均形成于古近系始新统路特阶。盆地群间油页岩矿床特征存在明显的差别,由西南向东北,油页岩厚度逐渐变小,其沉积环境由深湖到半深湖,再到湖沼,而有机质来源则由湖泊生物为主,到湖泊生物和陆源有机质双向来源,过渡为以陆源高等植物为主。结合含油页岩层系形成于同一时期和相似的古气候背景下,盆地沉降和沉积充填作用是影响油页岩矿床差异的关键因素。长期处于欠补偿环境,可容纳空间大的湖盆利于巨厚油页岩的形成,随着可容纳空间的减少、陆源碎屑供给的增多,油页岩厚度减薄,分布也变得相对局限。深湖和湖沼成因油页岩品质较好,半深湖油页岩品质较差。     

Correlation between plate age and layer separation of double seismic zones

Global seismicity catalogs are sufficient for characterizing double seismic zones (DSZs) in subducting slab and facilitate to estimate layer separation without inconsistent uncertainties as local catalogs.Previous studies have shown the correlation between DSZs layer separation and plate age while correlation for those younger than ～60 Ma is suspicious.The lacking of DSZs with layer separation less than 10 km further makes it difficult to precisely estimate such correlation.Thus,we incorporate eight DSZs data determined through local seismicity into globally-determined dataset and reexamine such correlation.The best fitting results show that both a linear model and a square root of plate age can mathematically fit the layer separation well.However,it is difficult to distinguish these two models when plate age is greater than ～20 Ma since their difference is less than 2 km.However,if extrapolation is possible,both models should provide physical information thatDSZs will not form if there is no subducting lithosphere.As a result,the DSZs cannot be produced until the oceanic lithospheric age becomes greater than 0.9 Ma in the square root model while the linear model gives a misleading result.As such the square root model demonstrates the relationship physically better than the linear one,it still needs further test in the future with more available data,nevertheless,our study might also provide evidence for the suggestion that the plate age is a primary control factor of the DSZs geometry as well as the subducting process which disregards any local tectonic stresses.     

Determination of 3-D Velocity Anomalies of the Nanbei Tectonic Zone of China Based on Local Earthquakes

In this paper, 3-D velocity images of the crust and upper mantle beneath the Nanbei tectonic zone of China are constructed using P-wave travel time residuals of earthquakes, with the data supplied by China's seismic networks and the International Seismic Centre.During the model parameterization in the tomographic inversion the interpolation function of grid node velocities is used as the space function of velocity, and the velocity function is allowed to be discontinuous. The difficulties caused by large memory demand and high computing cost in solving the system of equations are avoided by utilizing the least squares QR decomposition algorithm. Thus, the stability of the algorithm is ensured. Though resolution images are not derived in the inversion process based on the resolution theory of Backus and Gilbert, a covariance resolution method is put forward by the authors. The resolution analyses have proved the reliability of the image results. 3-D ray tracing is conducted to obtain the ray paths in a s     

轨道扣件病害自动化检测研究及应用

传统扣件检查基本采用人工检查方式,不仅工作效率低、劳动强度大,而且人为干扰因素多、检查采样率低.针对以上问题,本文提出了一种基于线结构光传感器的轨道扣件损伤和松动检测方法,并开发了轨道扣件智能监测系统以实现扣件病害自动检测.最终将研究成果应用于徐州市某地铁区间轨道扣件检测,验证了该方法的可行性和准确率,为地铁轨道扣件检...     

昌宁-孟连缝合带干龙塘-弄巴蛇绿岩地球化学及Sr-Nd-Pb同位素组成研究

本文对三江古特提斯昌宁-孟连带中段弄巴-干龙塘蛇绿混杂岩进行了详细的主量、微量元素及Sr-Nd-Pb同位素地球化学研究。结果表明,弄巴玄武岩包括拉斑系列和碱性系列,弄巴拉斑玄武岩具有高TiO2和低K2O的特征,(La/Yb)N介于1.87～2.38之间,岩石的Sr-Nd-Pb同位素组成和典型MORB十分相似,结合岩石较高的Th/Yb和低的Zr/Nb值,可以认为弄巴拉斑玄武岩具有富集型洋脊玄武岩(E-MORB)的特征,可能起源于富集的地幔源区或是亏损地幔源区和地幔柱发生交代作用的结果。弄巴碱性玄武岩具有较高的TiO2(2.38%)和K2O(2.37%)含量,(La/Yb)N=11.19,富集轻稀土,表现出典型的碱性OIB的特征,可能是大洋板内热点浅部熔融的产物。干龙塘拉斑玄武岩具有高TiO2、Mg#,低K2O和亏损轻稀土等特征,表现出N-MORB的地球化学特征,岩石的Sr-Nd-Pb与MORB相似,表明岩石起源于亏损的地幔源区。     

基于网络分析的区域铁路公司建构方法与实证

区域铁路公司是铁路运输市场组织的重要模式之一,也是铁路改革中的焦点问题之一。基于经济地理学功能区（结节区）的网络分析方法,对1991～2005年我国城际铁路货流的空间组织特征进行了系统分析,发现我国铁路货物运输联系形成了较为稳定的功能区划,形成北京、广州、上海等城市枢纽节点。基于合理运输组织和减少交易成本的组织理念,提出建立东北、华北、西北、华中、华东、中南和西南7大区域铁路公司。该研究可以为铁路市场化改革提供决策支持。     

高温高压实验弹性波速研究及其地球动力学意义

本文在收集，整理国内外有关高温高压实验岩石，矿物弹性波速研究资料的基础上，对高温高压实验弹性波速研究的目的，内容进行了概述，并对国内外这一领域研究的历史，现状及有关实验技术方法进行了综述，其中重点介绍了我国在高温高压岩石波速研究方面的进展及所取得的成就，并对高温高压弹性波速研究的地球动力学意义进行了讨论。     

山西断裂带断层现今活动特征及与中强震关系浅析

断层的运动方式与滑动速率是断层活动性分析的主要内容,本文利用山西地区的10处 跨断层流动场地和4处定点台站的观测资料,计算了断层垂直升降累积量、断层垂直活动速 率,定量地给出断层现今活动性质与背景活动方式,然后采用主成分分析方法对所有的资料进 行综合分析,给出区域内断层活动的总体活动水平。结果表明：山西断裂带大多数断层活动为 张性正断层活动,南部断层累积活动量较大,中北部相对较小。断层垂直活动速率综合指标反 映出山西断裂带断层总体活动具有较好的趋势性特征,活动规律明显,并且在中强地震前出现 显著异常变化,其与山西地区及周边的5.0级以上地震有较好的对应。断层活动在2013年又 一次出现了破趋势的异常变化,本文认为对此应引起注意并加强跟踪分析。     

Thermo-tectonic history of Ryoke Basement in Hohi volcanic zone, northeast Kyushu, Japan: Constraints from fission track thermochronology

Abstract Apatite and zircon fission track ages from Ryoke Belt basement in northeast Kyushu show late Cretaceous, middle to late Eocene, middle Miocene and Quaternary groupings. The basement cooled through 240 ± 25°C, the closure temperature for fission tracks in zircon, mainly during the interval 74-90 Ma as a result of uplift and denudation, the pattern being uniform across northeast Kyushu. In combination with published K-Ar ages and the Turonian-Santonian age of sedimentation in the Onogawa Basin, active suturing along the Median Tectonic Line from 100-80 Ma, at least, is inferred. Ryoke Belt rocks along the northern margin of Hohi volcanic zone (HVZ) cooled rapidly through ∼100°C to less than 50°C during the middle Eocene to Oligocene, associated with 2.5-3.5 km of denudation. The timing of this cooling follows peak heating in the Eocene-Oligocene part (Murotohanto subbelt) of the Shimanto Belt in Muroto Peninsula (Shikoku) inferred previously, and coincides with the 43 Ma change in convergence direction of the Pacific-Eurasian plate and the demise of the Kula-Pacific spreading centre. Ryoke Belt rocks along the southern margin of HVZ have weighted mean apatite fission track ages of 15.3 ± 3.1 Ma. These reset ages are attributed to an increase in geothermal gradient in the middle Miocene combined with rapid denudation and uplift of at least 1.4 km. These ages indicate that heating of the overriding plate associated with the middle Miocene start of subduction of hot Shikoku Basin lithosphere extended into the Ryoke Belt in northeast Kyushu. Pleistocene apatite fission track ages from Ryoke Belt granites at depth in the centre of HVZ are due to modern annealing in a geothermal environment.