Incorporation of parameter uncertainty into spatial interpolation using Bayesian trans-Gaussian kriging

Quantitative precipitation estimation(QPE) plays an important role in meteorological and hydrological applications.Ground-based telemetered rain gauges are widely used to collect precipitation measurements. Spatial interpolation methods are commonly employed to estimate precipitation fields covering non-observed locations. Kriging is a simple and popular geostatistical interpolation method, but it has two known problems: uncertainty underestimation and violation of assumptions.This paper tackles these problems and seeks an optimal spatial interpolation for QPE in order to enhance spatial interpolation through appropriately assessing prediction uncertainty and fulfilling the required assumptions. To this end, several methods are tested: transformation, detrending, multiple spatial correlation functions, and Bayesian kriging. In particular, we focus on a short-term and time-specific rather than a long-term and event-specific analysis. This paper analyzes a stratiform rain event with an embedded convection linked to the passing monsoon front on the 23 August 2012. Data from a total of 100 automatic weather stations are used, and the rainfall intensities are calculated from the difference of 15 minute accumulated rainfall observed every 1 minute. The one-hour average rainfall intensity is then calculated to minimize the measurement random error. Cross-validation is carried out for evaluating the interpolation methods at regional and local levels. As a result,transformation is found to play an important role in improving spatial interpolation and uncertainty assessment, and Bayesian methods generally outperform traditional ones in terms of the criteria.     

氡气测量方法在礼贤断裂勘查中的应用

利用氡气测量方法对礼贤断裂的位置进行勘查,通过对测量数据的分析,圈定氡气浓度的异常区,从而作为判定礼贤断裂位置的重要依据。     

人类活动引起的营养物质输入对海湾生态环境的影响机理与调控原理

近几十年来,高强度人类活动导致海湾生态环境恶化、生态系统失衡,已严重威胁到海岸带地区经济和社会的可持续发展。营养物质输入是人类活动影响海湾生态环境的关键因素。海湾营养物质来源多样,形态转化多变,生态过程及其效应复杂,营养物质在海湾的迁移转化规律及其对海湾生态环境的影响过程与机理,是国际海洋生态环境研究的前沿。目前,国际海湾生态环境研究主要呈现出如下发展趋势:1从环境质量、生物群落结构等现象研究转向环境变化机理、生态系统结构与功能的响应机制研究;2从对海湾生态环境某个环节的研究转向对海湾生态系统的全过程、系统性研究;3从单纯研究海湾水体转向陆海相互作用的完整性研究,并从管理上提出海陆统筹的要求;4从对海湾生态环境某个时段变化的研究转向生态系统长期连续变化规律的研究。未来应重点开展的研究包括:营养物质在半封闭性海湾长期滞留聚集条件下的迁移转化规律;营养物质变化对海湾生态系统结构与功能的影响过程与机制;基于生态系统水平的海湾综合管理理论体系。     

地理学视角下数字创业生态系统的理论框架和研究展望

中国数字经济方兴未艾,推动数字创业生态系统发展成为社会各界关注的热点议题。在系统梳理有关创业研究的相关文献基础上,建构地理学视角下的数字创业生态系统研究框架,探究数字化嵌入到创业过程中各行动主体的构成,以及新要素建构创业生态系统的空间过程和机制,并且分析总结数字创业生态系统与地方发展的交互动态。最后基于中国情境,着眼于中国创业发展的地方实践,提出未来的研究展望,以期为数字化时代创业地理学研究提供新的理论视角,也为指导中国创新创业发展提供实践指引。     

Land consolidation: An indispensable way of spatial restructuring in rural China1简

The implementation of new type industrialization and urbanization and agricultural modernization strategies lacks of a major hand grip and spatial supporting platform, due to long-term existed ＂dual-track＂ structure of rural-urban development in China as well as un- stable rural development institution and mechanism. It is necessary to restructure rural pro- duction, living and ecological space by carrying out land consolidation, so as to establish a new platform for building new countryside and realizing urban-rural integration development in China. This paper develops the concept and connotation of rural spatial restructuring. Basing on the effects analysis of industrialization and urbanization on rural production, living and ecological space, the mechanism of pushing forward rural spatial restructuring by carry- ing out land consolidation is probed. A conceptualization of the models of rural production, living and ecological spatial restructuring is analyzed combining with agricultural land con- solidation, hollowed villages consolidation and industrial and mining land consolidation. Fi- nally, the author argues that a ＂bottom-up＂ restructuring strategy accompanied by a few ＂top-down＂ elements is helpful for smoothly pushing forward rural spatial restructuring in China. In addition, the optimization and restructuring of rural production, living and ecological space will rely on the innovations of regional engineering technology, policy and mechanism, and mode of rural land consolidation, and more attentions should be paid to rural space, the foundation base and platform for realizing urban-rural integration development.     

土地整治:中国乡村空间重构的必由之路(英文)

The implementation of new type industrialization and urbanization and agricultural modernization strategies lacks of a major hand grip and spatial supporting platform, due to long-term existed "dual-track" structure of rural-urban development in China as well as unstable rural development institution and mechanism. It is necessary to restructure rural production, living and ecological space by carrying out land consolidation, so as to establish a new platform for building new countryside and realizing urban-rural integration development in China. This paper develops the concept and connotation of rural spatial restructuring. Basing on the effects analysis of industrialization and urbanization on rural production, living and ecological space, the mechanism of pushing forward rural spatial restructuring by carrying out land consolidation is probed. A conceptualization of the models of rural production, living and ecological spatial restructuring is analyzed combining with agricultural land consolidation, hollowed villages consolidation and industrial and mining land consolidation. Finally, the author argues that a "bottom-up" restructuring strategy accompanied by a few "top-down" elements is helpful for smoothly pushing forward rural spatial restructuring in China. In addition, the optimization and restructuring of rural production, living and ecological space will rely on the innovations of regional engineering technology, policy and mechanism, and mode of rural land consolidation, and more attentions should be paid to rural space, the foundation base and platform for realizing urban-rural integration development.     

基于卡方变换的中分辨率遥感影像土地覆盖变化对象识别方法

该文旨在探讨中分辨率遥感影像的土地覆盖变化对象识别方法。首先基于植被-不透水层-土壤(VIS)模型,参考OIF指数的信息量进行对象特征指标选取,基于过分割和欠分割指数确定最优分割尺度,对两期SPOT影像进行多时相分割,然后利用卡方变换方法自动选择阈值,进行植被、不透水层、土壤和水体4种土地覆盖类型之间的变化对象识别。精度评价表明,随着对象特征指标包含信息量的不断增加,检测结果的总精度不断提高,其中对影像所有特征指标进行主成分分析并选择前3个主成分作为特征指标组合对土地覆盖变化对象进行识别的总精度最高,为93.9%,Kappa系数为0.824,证明了该方法的有效性。     

新基因功能验证技术及其在微藻基因克隆中的适用性分析

微藻是指1群真核、单细胞、行光合作用的生物。微藻种类多,分布广泛,有关键生态学功能,也有水产、生物能源应用价值。与模式生物和经济动植物一样,新基因克隆是微藻生物学研究的主要内容。基因组注释、转录组分析和基因分离等依据序列和结构同源性,是从已知到已知的过程;而新基因克隆需锁定序列和验证功能,其中,功能验证是基因克隆的最重要内容。已有的基因功能验证方法有基因敲除、基因沉默、插入突变、基因组编辑等。多种微藻已有遗传转化技术,有望直接采用模式生物和经济动植物的基因功能验证技术克隆新基因。本文归纳了已有新基因功能验证技术,并分析了它们在微藻新基因克隆中的适用性,以促进微藻新基因克隆研究。     

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