River flow forecasting using wavelet and cross‐wavelet transform models

In this study, short‐term river flood forecasting models based on wavelet and cross‐wavelet constituent components were developed and evaluated for forecasting daily stream flows with lead times equal to 1, 3, and 7 days. These wavelet and cross‐wavelet models were compared with artificial neural network models and simple perseverance models. This was done using data from the Skrwa Prawa River watershed in Poland. Numerical analysis was performed on daily maximum stream flow data from the Parzen station and on meteorological data from the Plock weather station in Poland. Data from 1951 to 1979 was used to train the models while data from 1980 to 1983 was used to test the models. The study showed that forecasting models based on wavelet and cross‐wavelet constituent components can be used with great accuracy as a stand‐alone forecasting method for 1 and 3 days lead time river flood forecasting, assuming that there are no significant trends in the amplitude for the same Julian day year‐to‐year, and that there is a relatively stable phase shift between the flow and meteorological time series. It was also shown that forecasting models based on wavelet and cross‐wavelet constituent components for forecasting river floods are not accurate for longer lead time forecasting such as 7 days, with the artificial neural network models providing more accurate results. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

JFFS2文件系统的移植分析与实现

介绍了JFFS2文件系统以及与其相关技术,分析了与μClinux内核接口的关键函数.然后以NOR Flash芯片SST39VF6401B为例,详细介绍了如何构建JFFS2文件系统的关键过程.主要涉及相关源代码和重要数据结构的分析和修改,内核的配置过程以及JFFS2文件系统镜像的制作和挂载的方法.实际测试结果表明了该移植的正确性.     

中国暖季短时强降水分布和日变化特征及其与中尺度对流系统日变化关系分析

基于湖北省地面加密自动站2010-2015年的分钟雨量数据,利用滑动累积的小时雨量识别短时强降水事件,对比分析了鄂东南、鄂东北、武汉、江汉平原、鄂西北和鄂西南等六个预报区域的短时强降水日数、频次的时空分布特征,并对极端短时强降水进行初步探讨。结果表明：（1）短时强降水年均日数有明显的局地特征,强降水中心主要集中在鄂东南、鄂东北、武汉、鄂西南等区域;月变化呈显著单峰型特征,峰值在7月。（2）短时强降水的频次分布也具有明显的月变化和日变化特征。从月变化上看,江汉平原、鄂东南呈双月峰值分布（6月和7月）,武汉和鄂东北地区的主峰在7月、次峰在6月,鄂西北和鄂西南地区的主峰在7月、次峰在8月;从日变化上看,鄂西北（04时和19时,北京时,下同）、鄂西南（01时和17时）、鄂东北（08时和16时）、鄂东南（07时和16时）呈双峰分布,江汉平原呈单峰分布（07时）,武汉呈多峰分布（07-14时）。（3）极端短时强降水阈值范围为53~124.8 mm,具有夜发性特征,峰值在午后15时到凌晨01时,空间分布较为零散,相对而言,武汉地区观测到极端短时强降水的可能性最大,鄂西南和鄂西北最小。

     

An assessment of engineered log jam structures in response to a flood event in an upland gravel‐bed river

Engineered log jams (ELJs) are employed to address river restoration goals and a range of river management problems including coarse sediment movement. In the Bowmont Water, a dynamic wandering gravel‐bed river in the Scottish Borders, 33 previously untested ELJs primarily designed to capture and store coarse sediment, were installed on a trial basis. Using repeated topographical surveys and field observations, the performance of the ELJs in response to a 5–10 year recurrence interval flood that occurred on the 25 September 2012 was evaluated at two reaches with catchment areas of 28 km² and 57 km². Three of the structures were damaged due to scour of surrounding material that exposed the pile anchors and all the timbers of one structure were completely displaced downstream. Sixteen structures induced geomorphic responses and only four induced significant deposition (>0.3 m) above that which would occur naturally within the adjacent active gravel bar deposition zones. The placement in gravel bars, minor channel blockage ratio created by the structures and their porous nature limited the hydraulic interference and in turn geomorphic responses. Therefore the ELJ placement goal of increasing sediment storage was not fully met. This study contributes to the empirical evidence base for ELJ performance evaluation of different designs in a range of physiographic settings needed to validate performance and refine design. Using these initial findings and knowledge gained from other studies, recommendations for improving the design and placement strategy are proposed. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Photogrammetric and laser altimetric reconstruction of water levels for extreme flood event analysis

This paper assesses the feasibility of estimating water levels using digital photogrammetry. A common problem during an extreme flood event is that automated water level recorders do not record the highest water levels, as a result of instrument malfunctioning. This paper explores two possible solutions to this problem based upon data acquired using synoptic remote sensing methods. The first method requires: (a) high-resolution elevation data (for example, in the form of a digital elevation model for the floodplain); and (b) information on the planimetric position of the maximum flood extent, such as from debris lines (known as wrack lines) visible on aerial imagery flown after the event. The planimetric data can then be used to segment the topographic data in order to identify water level elevations. The second method uses a digitial photogrammetric approach and is suitable where no topographic data are available, but aerial imagery is available, flown after the event. Provided this imagery is of the right scale, digital photogrammetric analysis may be used to identify the elevations of wrack lines visible on the imagery. In this paper, the second of these options is compared with the first. The research shows that desktop photogrammetric methods, using 1:4500 scale imagery, can yield water level estimates that are precise to ±0·147 m, on the basis of check data obtained from lidar data. This is a worst possible estimate of the acquired precision given uncertainties in the lidar data. When compared with the first option, based upon segmenting lidar data using flood outlines, the photogrammetric approach was found to be preferable given both the quality of the lidar and uncertainties over how to segment it.     

Comparison of fish populations in riffles of three braided rivers of Canterbury,New Zealand

Populations of small fish were sampled in 12–20 riffles of the lower reaches of 3 braided rivers in Canterbury, New Zealand, during periods of low, stable flows. In the Ashley, which has been least affected by floods in recent years, the standing stock of fish was severalfold higher than in the Hurunui and Rakaia Rivers, which experienced large floods over much of the time, particularly the Rakaia River. Mean abundance + 1 standard deviation (S.D.) of all species combined, amounted to 5.95 + 2.76 fish m ² for 10 species in the Ashley, 0.59 + 0.60 fish m ² for 7 species in the Hurunui, and 0.23 + 0.11 fish m ²for 6 species in the Rakaia. Mean biomass was 24.85 + 9.59, 2.11 + 1.19, and 2.50 ± 3.60 g m ²in the Ashley, Hurunui, and Rakaia Rivers, respectively. The more common species in the Ashley and Rakaia Rivers were torrentfish, longfinned eel, blue‐gilled bully, and upland bully. The same dominant species complex prevailed in the Hurunui River except that the common river galaxias was present instead of the bluegilled bully. The adverse effects of floods on fish, either directly, indirectly, or both, are considered to be a major limiting factor offish populations in braided rivers characterised by highly unstable flows and river beds, and a lack of suitable cover for fish.     

基于Flash技术的多媒体电子地图的实现

提出了基于Flash技术制作多媒体电子地图的解决方案及实现过程，最后结合实例介绍用Flash技术制作多媒体电子地图的具体实现方法。     

Characterization of subsurface fluxes at the plot scale during flash floods in the Valescure catchment,France

This study focuses on a 10-m² plot within a granitic hillslope in Cevennes mountainous area in France, in order to study infiltration and subsurface hydrological processes during heavy rainfalls and flash floods. The monitoring device included water content at several depths (0–70 cm for the shallow soil water; 0–10 m for the deep water) during both intense artificial and natural rainfall events, chemical and physical tracers, time-lapse electrical resistivity tomography. During the most intense events, the infiltrated water was estimated to be some hundreds of millimetres, which largely exceeds the topsoil capacity (≤40 cm deep in most of the cases). The weathered/fractured rock area below the soil clearly has an active role in the water storage and sub-surface flow dynamics. Vertical flow was dominant in the first 0–10 m, and lateral flow was effective at 8–10 m depth, at the top of the saturated area. The speed of the vertical flow was estimated between 1 and 10 m/hr, whereas it was estimated between 0.1 and 1 m/hr for the lateral flow. The interpretation of the experiments might lead to a local pattern of the 2D-hydrological processes and profile properties, which could be generic for most of the mountainous catchments under Mediterranean climate. It suggests that fast triggering of floods at the catchment scale cannot be explained by a mass transfer within the hillslope, but should be due to a pressure wave propagation through the bedrock fractures, which allows exfiltration of the water downstream the hillslope.     

Local flash floods in Central Europe: A case study of Poland

Bryndal, T. 2015. Local flash floods in Central Europe: A case study of Poland. Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift–Norwegian Journal of Geography. Vol. 69, 288–298. ISSN 0029-1951.

The article focuses on the seasonality, geographical distribution, and hydrometeorological aspects of local flash floods in Poland, in Central Europe. Scientific articles describing local flash flood events were studied and a database of such floods in Poland was developed and analysed. The results revealed that local flash flood events were usually generated by rainfall lasting less than two hours, with a mean intensity in the range 20–80 mm·h^-1. The triggering threshold for local flash floods was P = 20 mm·h^-1. Local flash floods may occur from April to October, with higher frequencies in May, June, and July. The floods usually affect mountain and uplands areas differently to lowland and basins regions, and this might be explained by heavy rainfall distribution and topographical conditions. The maxima of the unit discharge (Qs) describe an envelope curve according to the equation Qs = 47A^-0.4 (where A is the catchment area in km²). The maxima appear very consistent with envelope curves proposed for other inland continental European countries. The authors conclude that local flash floods in Poland are similar to those recorded in inland continental areas of Europe, but differ from the floods in the Mediterranean part of the continent.     

Effectiveness of monsoon floods on the Tapi River, India: role of channel geometry and hydrologic regime

Geomorphic effects of floods are a function of several controlling factors, such as magnitude, frequency, rate of sediment movement, flood power, duration of effective flows, sequence of events and the channel geometry. In this paper, these measures of effectiveness have been evaluated for the monsoon-dominated, flood-controlled and incised Tapi River, India by defining four flow categories: low flows, moderate flows, floods and large floods. Ratios between effectiveness parameters of moderate flows on one hand and the floods, large floods and maximum floods on the other, were computed to understand the relative importance of moderate and large flows. In addition to this, stream-power graphs for large floods were constructed, and the changes in channel form were analyzed by using multi-date cross-sections. The results of the study indicate that the morphological characteristics of the bedrock as well as the alluvial channels of the monsoonal and incised Tapi River are maintained by large-magnitude, but low frequency floods that occur at long intervals. Because the channel is incised the effectiveness of large flows is accentuated. The incised channel form enhances the role of large floods by reducing the width–depth ratio, and by increasing the velocity as well as the energy per unit area. The low and moderate flows are superior to high-magnitude flows, only in terms of suspended sediment transport and frequency of occurrence. Another conclusion is that the suspended sediment carried by flows may not be the most appropriate criterion for measuring the geomorphic effectiveness of flows, particularly for monsoonal rivers.