华南滨海断裂带地震危险性的数学模拟

华南滨海断裂带是南海北部规模巨大的活动断裂，其地震危险性的确定将为地震几地震工程提供地质背景依据，应用二维有限元分析和正交设计法反演南海北部及其今近地区的构造应力场，探讨可能发震的危险地段。研究结果表明，滨海断裂带的某些地段，尤其是滨海断裂带被ＮＷ向断裂切割的部位有一定的地震危险性。南海北部地区最主要的地震威胁来自巴士系断裂带和珠江口盆地南缘的ＮＷＷ向断裂带，对华南滨海断理解带潜在的地震危险性不宜     

裂隙各向异性介质波场VSP多分量记录的数值模拟

从各向异性介质中最为普遍的裂隙各向异性介质出发，推导了同零井源距ＶＳＰ三分量观测方式相一致的一维三分量波动方程．为了更符合实际观测，引入了坐标旋转，可以模拟井中任意方位的多层各向异性介质的波场响应．用有限元方法进行了波场数值模拟，重点突出了获得凡Ｒ_３×３矩阵剖面的方法，同时对Ｒ_３×３，矩阵剖面进行了一般性的分析解释，事实证明，Ｒ_３×３矩阵剖面含有介质丰富的各向异性信息．     

印度与欧亚大陆碰撞构造变形数值分析

在全面考虑了大陆构造变形三重非线性特征的基础上，用动态有限元法研究了藏东对印度与欧亚大陆碰撞作用的大变形响应。数值模拟结果显示了明显的纵向收缩变形，变形主轴多具有顺时针转动的趋势，但横向位移在总体上并不显著。其最大值正位于红河和鲜水河断裂之间，这一结果论证了印度板块对欧亚大陆的碰撞可能是川滇菱形块体向南东运动的动力来源。红河、鲜水河、昆仑及阿尔金活断层在碰撞作用下发生了顺时针的旋转变形；而且，计算结果模拟出了红河断裂由左旋变为右旋，另３条断裂始终左旋的运动特征     

发震时深浅构造相互作用导致横向断层致锁的有限元分析

本文利用三维有限元方法，研究和计算了大震发生前、发生时，发生后震源断层面与深部同面立接断层之间的相互作用以及发震后促使深部断层发生错动从而对震源区近场横向活动断层致锁的结果，得到以下结果：（１）临近大震前震源断层面端部调整单元下方的深部断层有较高的剪应力水平，造成震时对震源断层面发生底辟作用的条件，即调整单元区对应的深部断层单元首次满足破裂条件并发生破裂。（２）震源端部的调整单元和具有蠕能力的横向     

TWO DIMENSIONAL FINITE ELEMENT-BOUNDARY ELEMENT COUPLING MODEL OF MAGNETOTELLURIC SOUNDING

This paper describes how to apply the boundary element method to solve 2-D magneto-telluric sounding problem and then couple the BEM with finite element method to deal with inhomogeneous geological structure and its relation to regional stress regime. The BEM is able to calculate precisely the derivative of field variables. Such a new approach can more flexibly than others set up the upper boundary condition of the air region. Two practical examples are given. One is the study of topographical effect on the MT fields using boundary element method. There is an inverse relationship between the change of apparent resistivity and the topographical variation. The other is a coupled model of a basin in Nei Monngol Autonomous Region. A lower resistivity zone must exist in the crust and should be thicker below the central portion of the basin. This seems to agree with the regional stress regime changed from extension in Mesozoic to compression in Cenozoic     

Elastic models of seismic failure in the Valley of Mexico

Restricted parts of the Valley of Mexico have been plagued by swarms of small earthquakes during recent years. The cause of these events is puzzling, but they may relate to massive artificial changes in the hydrology of the lake-bed which underlies most of Mexico City. If the valley responds elastically, plane strain finite element calculations can be used to relate geologic and seismic structure to observed seismicity and overall stability of the valley. These calculations show that unstable zones and areas of local seismicity coincide if the triggering mechanism of the seismicity is related to variations of pore pressure and water load.In order to make such a connection it is necessary to ascribe the generating mechanism of the seismicity to the density and elastic modulus anomalies associated with the valley structure, and to suggest that the phenomenon that triggers this seismicity is related to changes in water content of the near surface formations.     

Digital modeling studies for evaluation of hydrogeological characteristics in Shadnagar granite basin,Andhra Pradesh,India

The use of digital models has increased significantly in recent years with the accessibility of fast computing machines. A variable dimensioned digital model was constructed for the Shadnagar granite basin using SPECTRUM-7 micro computer to integrate various hydrogeological characteristics and for their quantitative evaluation. The basin has an areal extent of 437 sq km and is demarcated with clear water divides in all directions. Transmissivity, recharge and discharge at each cell of the basin area were estimated by trial and error simulation of the hydrogeological phenomenon under steady state condition. Dynamic simulation at representative nodes facilitated the estimation of storage coefficient. The capability of the constructed model was established by the conformance of the simulated hydrographs with the actual behaviour of the ground water system. The entire studies ammended the earlier arrived estimates of various input/output hydrogeological parameters and evolved a methodology for efficient processing of aquifer simulation data     

IAP AGCM中短波辐射方案的改进研究II·短波辐射方案的改进

在Version 2的基础上,对短波辐射方案进行进一步的改进:引入了新增非灰体气体吸收效应、冰晶粒子形状效应和尺度效应以及云的不均匀性效应(称为Version 3)。数值模拟试验结果表明:Version 3能更好地模拟出全球冬、夏季的降水场、海平面气压场及地表气温场的主要分布特征,并且能相当准确地反映出这几个场的季节性变化特征。Version 3对这3个场的模拟能力明显优于原版本(Version 1)。此外,它对东亚地区的季风降雨具有很好的模拟能力,能较好地反映东亚区域降水的季节性变化。可见,Version 3为进一步研究云-辐射相互作用提供了很好的模式基础。本工作还清楚地表明,模式的进一步发展必须进行对相关物理过程中各个因子的更精确刻画,只有这样,模式才能得到更好的模拟能力。     

关中地区地磁比值Rq的变化与地震关系的分析

应用小波分析空间差分法分析了泾阳台、乾陵台、周至台和郑州台的Z分量的地磁磁静日Rg值的变化规律，结果显示，各台的磁静日Rg值有较一致的年变规律。分析泾阳台与其它各台的磁静日R。差值分析和小波变换，发现1998年1月5日泾阳4．8级地震前4个月内存在较明显的异常变化。可能反映了泾阳地震的震磁效应。对远离泾阳台、乾陵台的青海昆仑山口西8．1级地震，震前也有明显异常变化。