城市居民出境旅游风险感知维度选划——以上海市为例

伴随着中国公民出境旅游的持续增长,出境旅游风险频度也不断升级,危害程度不断加剧。依据旅游风险感知维度相关研究成果与实地抽样调查数据统计分析,以上海市为例,选划城市居民出境旅游风险感知维度,并结合政府部门出境提示预警、游客对出境旅游的有效投诉、企业出境旅游产品风险等级测评等相关数据,分别从出境旅游服务需求方和提供方视角对出境旅游风险感知维度进行甄别及差异校验,旨在为城市居民出境旅游风险管控与可持续发展决策提供科学依据。     

环嵩山地区史前时期聚落选址与水系关系研究

采用GIS空间分析方法,按照裴李岗、仰韶、龙山、夏商4个时期对环嵩山地区史前时期聚落选址与水系关系进行分析。结果表明:聚落选址与水系存在密切的关系:(1)聚落选址偏好最强的地区位于距河流水平距离为200~300 m的地区,聚落分布数量随着距离水系水平距离的增大而减少,而且聚落选址距离水系的水平距离基本不超过3 km。(2)距离水系垂直距离为20 m的范围内是聚落选址偏好程度最强的地区,聚落分布数量随着距离河流垂直距离的增加而减少,距离水系垂直距离太大,不利于古人取水,垂直距离超过40 m无聚落分布,说明聚落选址对距离水系垂直距离的偏好度在40 m以内。(3)聚落选址偏好随着水系级别的增大而降低,裴李岗时期、龙山时期、夏商时期3级水系附近聚落密度最大,而仰韶时期1级水系附近聚落密度最大。有可能因为在仰韶时期,气候属于暖湿期,相对于其他3个时期来说,降水较多,3级水系水流量可能较大,没有1级水系附近的居住环境稳定。     

基于KL-ISOMAP的高光谱图像彩色可视化

标志点等距映射（L-ISOMAP）作为一种降维方法,在高光谱图像可视化中极具潜力.针对L-ISOMAP算法标志点代表性不足以及计算代价较高的问题,提出了基于K-medoids聚类算法的改进型L-ISOMAP算法（KL-ISOMAP）,进而形成可视化方法.该可视化方法由以下几部分组成：1）通过改进型K-medoids算法选择标志点;2）根据相似度剔除相似像元;3）实现剩余像元的非线性降维;4）完成降维结果的可视化.实验结果表明,KL-ISOMAP算法一方面有效地提高了标志点的内在结构代表性,进而取得了更好的可视化效果;另一方面可通过对相似阈值的设置,加快算法的运算速度.由此形成的可视化方法有着较好的视觉效果、距离保持特性以及像元可分性.     

毛乌素沙地固沙造林针叶树种选择的研究

选择樟子松、油松等五种针叶树种在毛乌素沙地进行栽植试验,通过对成活率与保存率、生长量、蓄积量、抗逆性等14年的观测,从单项及多指标综合选优及排序,确立樟子松为毛乌素沙地针叶树造林的优选树种。     

近海多功能混凝土平台选型与优化

提出了一种适合近海边际油田开发的多功能混凝土平台型式,并对其进行了优化设计.分析了各约束对平台造价的影响,确定了平台的应用范围.优化分析中采用了约束单调性分析、初始点自动给定等方法,加快了优化的迭代收敛速度,并对初稳性高度GM值采用了模糊优化方法,考虑了影响GM值的主观因素.     

Selection between the generalized Pareto and kappa distributions in peaks-over-threshold hydrological frequency modelling

Hydrologists use the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution in peaks-over-threshold (POT) modelling of extremes. A model with similar uses is the two-parameter kappa (KAP) distribution. KAP has had fewer hydrological applications than GP, but some studies have shown it to merit wider use. The problem of choosing between GP and KAP arises quite often in frequency analyses. This study, by comparing some discrimination methods between these two models, aims to show which method(s) is (are) recommended. Three specific methods are considered: one uses the Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit (GoF) statistic, another uses the ratio of maximized likelihood (closely related to the Akaike information criterion and the Bayesian information criterion), and the third employs a normality transformation followed by application of the Shapiro-Wilk statistic. We show this last method to be the most recommendable, due to its advantages with sizes typically encountered in hydrology. We apply the simulation results to some flood POT datasets.

EDITOR D. Koutsoyiannis; ASSOCIATE EDITOR E. Volpi     

A multidirectional conditional spectrum

This paper presents a procedure to generate multidirectional conditional spectra (MDCS) that allow for the characterisation of seismic demands at different angles of incidence. Being conditional on a particular period and its direction of maximum response, it is considered to be a natural evolution of the conditional spectrum to account for the effects of directionality, that is, the variation of seismic demands as a function of the angle of incidence of ground motions, which can have a significant effect on the performance of different kinds of structures. The three main components needed for the generation of MDCS are explained in detail. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted using different sampling methods to assess the effects of incorporating the correlation between demands at different orientations for the same oscillator period, and a novel correlation model is proposed for this purpose. The statistical characteristics of MDCS, their relation with the conditional spectrum, the advantages of the MDCS over previous definitions of orientation‐specific spectra, and prospective future developments are discussed.     

Further results for astrophysics from the cosmology within the framework of the Projective Unified Field Theory

Recently the 5‐dimensional Projective Unified Field Theory (PUFT) of the author (Schmutzer 1995a, Schmutzer 1995b) has been applied to a closed homogeneous isotropic cosmological model with the result of a cosmology without big bang (Schmutzer 1999a, Schmutzer 1999b). Continuing this approach, in this paper following subjects are treated: recalculation of numerical values of cosmological quantities, exact solution of the field equations to a point‐like body, motion of a test body in such a field, definition of the empirical effective gravitational factor (“constant”), Einstein effects compared to the empirical situation, adiabatic approximation of the motion of an orbiting testbody under the influence of the expanding cosmos (transition of the ellipses to circles, decrease of the radius of the orbiting bodies, decrease of the excentricity, increase of the frequency of orbiting objects etc.), heat production in a moving body induced by the cosmological expansion with application to various cosmic objects.     

一种基于高斯马尔可夫随机场的异常目标探测方法

利用高斯马尔可夫随机场模型描述像元的邻域相关性信息,并将这种邻域信息引入到局域异常探测器中,提出了一种顾及邻域信息的高光谱遥感影像局域异常目标探测算法。实验证明,该方法克服了传统异常探测方法仅仅利用光谱信息的不足,比经典的RX算法的探测效果更好,并且可以更有效地探测出大于一个像元的异常目标。     

野外车辆定位监控系统设计研究

面向野外作业的需求,设计了一种野外车辆定位监控系统,该定位与监控系统采用分布式体系结构,设置监控总中心、监控分中心、车载终端;采用树状结构构成车辆信息交互系统,通过车载无线通信模块自动上报位置信息,达到实时定位与监控的目的。