地震序列早期参数估计和余震概率预测中截止震级Mc的影响：以2013年甘肃岷县—漳县6.6级地震为例

针对“时空传染型余震序列”（英文简称ETAS）模型在地震序列参数的早期特征和余震短期概率预测研究中的应用问题,重点考察了不同截止震级M_c选取对结果的影响.以甘肃岷县—漳县6.6级地震序列的震后1.677天内的早期阶段为例,考察了ETAS模型和修正的Omori-Utsu公式的适用性问题,发现ETAS模型AIC值在各截止震级M_c下均小于修正的Omori-Utsu公式的结果,表明其适用效果更好.设定M_c=M_L1.0,1.1,…,2.5,分别考察了ETAS模型中α值和p值的稳定性,并与2013年芦山7.0级地震序列进行了对比.结果表明,M_c对α值的影响相对较小,p值影响较大.此外,对基于ETAS模型和“瘦化算法”的余震短期概率预测结果进行了N-test检验,结果表明M_c的设定对余震短期概率预测影响较大,对甘肃岷县—漳县6.6级地震,仅当M_c=M_L1.0或M_L1.1时可获得较好的预测结果.由此,在真正的“向前”的预测实践中,需要首先考察不同的M_c下的余震预测效果.     

中地壳断层带内微裂隙愈合与高压流体形成条件的模拟实验研究

中地壳断层带内发现的接近静岩压力的高压流体能够合理解释汶川M_S8.0级地震断层的高角度逆冲滑动, 而高压流体的产生与断层带的微裂隙愈合紧密相关.利用熔融盐固体介质三轴高温高压实验系统,我们采用含水和烘干的Carrara大理岩样品开展了微裂隙愈合实验,研究中地壳断层带内高压流体的形成条件.实验分为三类:A类、A+B类和A+B+C类,其中A阶段实验在室温条件下将样品压裂,形成一系列共轭破裂面,B阶段实验在600℃、围压700 MPa和应变速率10^-6s^-1条件下愈合了A阶段破碎的样品,实验样品从以碎裂变形为主向以韧性变形为主转变,C阶段实验通过快速降低轴压模拟一个扩容过程,再以相同实验条件重新加载样品,通过比较实验样品强度来检验样品的愈合程度.样品显微结构和实验样品强度表明,动态重结晶作用能够愈合微裂隙和孔隙,水能促进矿物的动态重结晶作用,较高的水含量和较大的应变有利于微裂隙和孔隙的愈合,从而有利于高压流体的形成.     

北天山地区2011 年以来两次6 级地震前的地震学中短期异常特征

通过分析北天山地区历史强震、构造活动背景、区域应变能积累特征以及2011 年11月1 日尼勒克、巩留交界6. 0 级和2012 年6 月30 日新源、和静交界6. 6 级地震前区域地震活动异常特征等,探讨了这两次6 级地震前的地震学中短期异常特征。结果表明,2011 年6 月以来北天山地区中强以上地震处于加速活动状态,进入应变能释放阶段;尼勒克、巩留交界6. 0 级和新源、和静交界6. 6 级地震震前先呈6 级地震平静而后被打破、中强地震成组活动和空间迁移、条带和空区等较明显的中期异常;震前还出现了较为相似的4 级以上地震围空和5 级逼近地震,且逼近地震与主震发生时间间隔均为14 天,显示了较清晰的异常图像和较明显的中短期震兆特征。     

汶川8. 0 级和日本9. 0 级地震时甘肃境内井水位、井水温同震效应对比分析

通过对比研究发现,2008 年汶川8. 0 级和2011 年日本9. 0 级地震时甘肃境内台站井水位和井水温同震效应特征有明显差异:汶川8. 0 级地震时,绝大部分井水位和井水温都记录到同震效应,且变化幅度比较大,持续时间比较长;相比而言,日本9. 0 级地震虽然释放的能量更大,但因震中距和震源方位的影响,只有部分井水位记录到明显的同震变化,井水温没有明显变化;两次地震时古浪观测站井水位都记录到井水位变化,但日本9. 0 级地震时的变化幅度大于汶川8. 0 级地震,这一现象值得深入研究。     

Monopole gravitational waves from relativistic fireballs driving gamma-ray bursts

Einstein's general relativity predicts that pressure, in general stresses, plays a similar role to energy density,  ε=ρ c ²  (with ρ being the corresponding mass density), in generating gravity. The source of gravitational field, the active gravitational mass density, sometimes referred to as Whittaker's mass density, is  ρ_grav=ρ+ 3 p / c ²  , where p is pressure in the case of an ideal fluid. Whittaker's mass is not conserved, hence its changes can propagate as monopole gravitational waves. Such waves can be generated only by astrophysical sources with varying gravitational mass. Here we show that relativistic fireballs, considered in modelling gamma-ray burst phenomena, are likely to radiate monopole gravitational waves from high-pressure plasma with varying Whittaker's mass. Also, ejection of a significant amount of initial mass-energy of the progenitor contributes to the monopole gravitational radiation. We identify monopole waves with   h ¹¹+ h ²²  waves of Eddington's classification which propagate (in the z -direction) together with the energy carried by massless fields. We show that the monopole waves satisfy Einstein's equations, with a common stress-energy tensor for massless fields. The polarization mode of monopole waves is  Φ₂₂  , i.e. these are perpendicular waves which induce changes of the radius of a circle of test particles only (breathing mode). The astrophysical importance of monopole gravitational waves is discussed.     

Fingerprinting of soil organic matter as a proxy for assessing climate and vegetation changes in last interglacial palaeosols (Veldwezelt, Belgium)

Soil characteristics in palaeosols are an important source of information on past climate and vegetation. Fingerprinting of soil organic matter (SOM) by pyrolysis-GC/MS is assessed as a proxy for palaeo-reconstruction in the complex of humic layers on top of the Rocourt pedosequence in the Veldwezelt-Hezerwater outcrop (Belgian loess belt). The fingerprints of the extractable SOM of different soil units are related to total organic carbon content, δ¹³C and grain-size analysis. Combined results indicate that the lower unit of the humic complex reflects a stable soil surface, allowing SOM build-up, intensive microbial activity and high decomposition. Higher in the profile, decomposition and microbial activity decrease. This is supported by a shift in the isotopic signal, an increased U ratio and evidence of wildfires. Although the chemical composition of the extracted SOM differed greatly from recent SOM, fingerprinting yielded detailed new information on SOM degree of decomposition and microbial contribution, allowing the reconstruction of palaeo-environmental conditions during pedogenesis.     

8000 yr of black carbon accumulation in a colluvial soil from NW Spain

Analytical pyrolysis-GC/MS and solid-state ¹³C NMR (nuclear magnetic resonance) were applied to the NaOH-extractable organic matter fraction of a colluvial soil from Galicia (NW Spain) that represents more than 8500 yr of accumulation. While molecular indicators of vegetation change were looked for, it seemed likely that any such signal was disturbed by the intense fire regime of the area. This conclusion was drawn from (1) the presence of three charcoal layers, (2) the high proportion of aryl C in NMR spectra (non-quantitative) and (3) the prevalence of benzenes and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in the chromatograms (38 ± 6% of total identified peak area), also in charcoal-poor samples. If this conclusion is accurate, the area has been subjected to burning episodes for at least 8000 yr. Additionally, the results indicate that biomass burning residues (black carbon; BC) may become NaOH extractable after long periods of degradation in mineral soil. These results add to our knowledge of the long-term fate of BC in soil, which is a potential agent in the global C cycle.     

High‐Precision Measurement of Molybdenum Isotopic Compositions of Selected Geochemical Reference Materials

Here we describe high‐precision molybdenum isotopic composition measurements of geological reference materials, performed using multi‐collector inductively coupled plasma‐mass spectrometry (MC‐ICP‐MS). Purification of Mo for isotopic measurements was achieved by ion exchange chromatography using Bio‐Rad AG^® 1‐X8 anion exchange resin. Instrumental mass bias was corrected using ¹⁰⁰Mo‐⁹⁷Mo double spiking techniques. The precision under intermediate measurement conditions (eighteen measurement sessions over 20 months) in terms of δ^98/95Mo was 0.10‰ (2s). The measurement output was approximately four times more efficient than previous techniques, with no compromise in precision. The Mo isotopic compositions of seven geochemical reference materials, seawater (IAPSO), manganese nodules (NOD‐P‐1 and NOD‐A‐1), copper‐molybdenum ore (HV‐2), basalt (BCR‐2) and shale (SGR‐1b and SCo‐1), were measured. δ^98/95Mo values were obtained for IAPSO (2.25 ± 0.09‰), NOD‐P‐1 (?0.66 ± 0.05‰), NOD‐A‐1 (?0.48 ± 0.05‰), HV‐2 (?0.23 ± 0.10‰), BCR‐2 (0.21 ± 0.07‰), SCo‐1 (?0.24 ± 0.06‰) and SGR‐1b (0.63 ± 0.02‰) by calculating δ^98/95Mo relative to NIST SRM 3134 (0.25‰, 2s). The molybdenum isotopic compositions of IAPSO, NOD‐A‐1 and NOD‐P‐1 obtained in this study are within error of the compositions reported previously. Molybdenum isotopic compositions for BCR‐2, SCo‐1 and SGR‐1b are reported for the first time.     

An Investigation of the Reliability of HF Acid Mixtures in the Bomb Digestion of Silicate Rocks for the Determination of Trace Elements by ICP‐MS

The influence of the mixtures HF‐HNO₃ and HF‐NH₄F‐HNO₃ in bomb digestion for trace element determination from different rock types was studied using ICP‐MS. It is shown that the HF concentration, not the ratio of reagents in the decomposing mixture, controls the digestion process of a rock. Data for Zr in the granite G‐2 as a function of HF concentration gave the same results as reaction mixtures of various compositions. A complete digestion in 50‐mg sample bombs was achieved by 1.0 ml of HF alone, or with a mixture of other acids at a HF concentration of at least 35% m/m at 196 °C over 18 h. The results of the analysis of basalts BCR‐1, BIR‐1, mica schist SDC‐1, shale SBC‐1, granites G‐2, SG‐1A, garnet‐biotite plagiogneiss GBPg‐1, rhyolite RGM‐1, granodiorite GSP‐1, trachyandesite MTA‐1 and rhyolite MRh‐1 are given and compared against available data. The reproducibility of the element determinations by ICP‐MS and XRF as an independent non‐destructive analysis for a quality check in the range of concentrations typical for routine rock samples is given.     

辽东青城子矿集区姚家沟钼矿床成矿物质来源、成矿年代及成矿动力学背景

本文对辽东青城子矿集区姚家沟钼矿床与成矿密切的姚家沟花岗岩进行了元素地球化学、锆石LA-ICP-MS U-Pb定年和矿床金属硫化物硫同位素系统分析。结果表明:姚家沟花岗岩侵入时代为(167.47±0.87)Ma,具有富硅、富铝、全碱含量中等、过铝质-强过铝质的特征;稀土配分模式呈现轻稀土富集、重稀土亏损的右倾型,Eu弱正异常;富集K、Rb、U、Sr、Pb等大离子亲石元素,亏损Nb、Ti、P等高场强元素,δ34S值为2.0‰~3.9‰,平均值为2.7‰。结合姚家沟矿床辉钼矿Re-Os同位素研究成果进一步得出,姚家沟岩体至少为两期岩浆活动的产物,辉钼矿成矿与本次获得的(167.47±0.87)Ma岩浆活动有关,二者成岩、成矿时代一致。硫同位素指示成矿物质来源于岩浆。姚家沟钼矿成岩、成矿构造背景为受古亚洲洋闭合影响,华北板块与西伯利亚板块后碰撞造山阶段构造-岩浆-流体活动的环境。