基于AIS的海上渔船捕捞活动聚集区提取方法研究

船舶自动识别系统(Automatic Identification System, AIS)不仅是海上交通监管的有效工具,也为研究海上交通运输及其相关产业活动特征提供了一种良好的数据源。基于海上渔船AIS数据,本研究利用高斯混合模型(Gaussian Mixed Model,GMM)识别渔船捕捞活动状态,提出一种将核密度估计(Kernel Density Estimation,KDE)与热点分析(Hot Spot Analysis, HSA)相融合用于渔船捕捞活动聚集区提取的方法。结果显示：与单一KDE或HSA方法相比,二者相融合的方法将KDE的距离衰减效应与HSA统计指数相结合,在渔船捕捞活动聚集区提取中的应用效果较好、效率较高;采用该融合方法,基于2018年9—12月AIS数据,实现对渤海海峡周边海域渔船捕捞活动聚集区的提取,发现不同月份,渔船捕捞活动聚集区的分布范围和空间形态特征具有一定差异性,烟威近岸海域和渤海海峡是主要的捕捞活动聚集区,其结果可为该海域捕捞活动管理和海洋生态保护提供技术方法和决策支持。     

Savanna grass nitrogen to phosphorous ratio estimation using field spectroscopy and the potential for estimation with imaging spectroscopy

Determining the foliar N:P ratio provides a tool for understanding nutrient limitation on plant production and consequently for the feeding patterns of herbivores. In order to understand the nutrient limitation at landscape scale, remote sensing techniques offer that opportunity. The objective of this study is to investigate the utility of field spectroscopy and a potential of hyperspectral mapper (HyMap) spectra to estimate foliar N:P ratio. Field spectral measurements were undertaken, and grass samples were collected for foliar N and P extraction. The foliar N:P ratio prediction models were developed using partial least square regression (PLSR) with original spectra and transformed spectra for field and the resampled field spectra to HyMap. Spectral transformations included the continuum removal (CR), water removal (WR), first difference derivative (FD) and log transformation (Log(1/R)). The results showed that CR and WR spectra in combination with PLSR predicted foliar N:P ratio with higher accuracy as compared to FD and R, using field spectra. For HyMap spectral analysis, addition to CR and WR, FD achieved higher estimation accuracy. The performance of FD, CR and WR spectra were attributed to their ability to minimize sensor and water effects on the fresh leaf spectra, respectively. The study demonstrated a potential to predict foliar N:P ratio using field and HyMap simulated spectra and shortwave infrared (SWIR) found to be highly sensitive to foliar N:P ratio. The study recommends the prediction of foliar N:P ratio at landscape level using airborne hyperspectral data and could be used by the resource managers, park managers, farmers and ecologists to understand the feeding patterns, resource selection and distribution of herbivores (i.e. wild and livestock).     

Integration of GPS with a WiFi high accuracy ranging functionality

High accuracy seamless positioning is required to support a vast number of applications in varying operational environments. Over the last few years, the global positioning system (GPS) has become the de facto technology for positioning applications. However, its performance is limited in indoor and dense urban environments due to multipath as well as signal attenuation and blockage. A number of techniques integrating GPS with other positioning technologies have been developed to address the limitations of standalone GPS in these difficult environments. While most of the developed techniques cover the outages of GPS in such environments, they do not provide acceptable performance, in terms of positioning accuracy, especially for some mission-critical (e.g. safety) applications. This paper proposes a tightly coupled (i.e. in the measurement domain) GPS/WiFi integration method which, in addition to addressing GPS outages, improves the overall positioning accuracy to the meter-level, thus satisfying the requirements of a number of location based services and intelligent transport systems applications. The performance of the proposed GPS/WiFi integration method is assessed for a number of scenarios in a simulation environment for an identified dense urban area in London, UK.     

西藏地区复杂地形下的降水空间分布估算模型

本文提供了一个描述西藏地区年、季降水量空间分布的估算模型.利用卫星遥测数字化地形高程资料和西藏地区仅有的27个常规气象站的多年平均降水整编资料,根据地形坡向站点分为三类.再采用多元逐步回归方法,建立西藏地区的年、季降水量和经度、纬度、海拔高度、坡度、坡向、遮蔽度等6个地理、地形因子之间的关系模型,估算西藏地区降水量的空间分布.结果表明,此方法建立的关于西藏地区降水量与诸因子之间方程的相关性显著,平均绝对误差、相对误差分别为093mm和116%,对估算模型进行F检验,均通过置信度为095的相关检验,回归效果较显著.分析表明估算降水能够定量、定性地再现西藏地区的实际降水分布.     

A Monte Carlo study of rainfall forecasting with a stochastic model

A procedure for short-term rainfall forecasting in real-time is developed and a study of the role of sampling on forecast ability is conducted. Ground level rainfall fields are forecasted using a stochastic space-time rainfall model in state-space form. Updating of the rainfall field in real-time is accomplished using a distributed parameter Kalman filter to optimally combine measurement information and forecast model estimates. The influence of sampling density on forecast accuracy is evaluated using a series of a simulated rainfall events generated with the same stochastic rainfall model. Sampling was conducted at five different network spatial densities. The results quantify the influence of sampling network density on real-time rainfall field forecasting. Statistical analyses of the rainfall field residuals illustrate improvement in one hour lead time forecasts at higher measurement densities.     

华南沿海断块构造近期活动幅度和速率的估算

按既定的原则对华南沿海的断块构造区进行了划分。根据可大体确定时代的构造地貌面或沉积物;已测定~(14)C年代数据的指相样品和地壳形变测量资料,分别估算了第四纪各时期以来,晚更新世晚期以来和近40a以来各断块活动的幅度和速率。尽管所得的只是平均的最小值,但在新构造研究的应用方面,仍有实际意义,这类研究也有助于理论认识的提高。     

四柏树水源地三维水文地质数值模拟中的参数最优估计

水文地质数值模拟中参数估计的方法较多,但大多对非线性问题的适应性较差。在陕西省靖边县四柏树水源地三维水文地质数值建模中,选用独立于模型本身的非线性系统加权最小二乘方法,对模型中的水文地质参数(K,μ,Ss)进行最优化估计,取得了较好的效果。     

Confidence regions for GPS baselines by Bayesian statistics

 The global positioning system (GPS) model is distinctive in the way that the unknown parameters are not only real-valued, the baseline coordinates, but also integers, the phase ambiguities. The GPS model therefore leads to a mixed integer–real-valued estimation problem. Common solutions are the float solution, which ignores the ambiguities being integers, or the fixed solution, where the ambiguities are estimated as integers and then are fixed. Confidence regions, so-called HPD (highest posterior density) regions, for the GPS baselines are derived by Bayesian statistics. They take care of the integer character of the phase ambiguities but still consider them as unknown parameters. Estimating these confidence regions leads to a numerical integration problem which is solved by Monte Carlo methods. This is computationally expensive so that approximations of the confidence regions are also developed. In an example it is shown that for a high confidence level the confidence region consists of more than one region. Received: 1 February 2001 / Accepted: 18 July 2001     

模型参数估计的优效性

本文根据多参数的R-C不等式和优效计量定理,得到了函数模型和随机模型参数估计的方差下界公式。函数模型的参数估计是优效估计量,但随机模型的参数估计即方差分量估计不是优效估计量;作为特例,单位权方差的估计是优效估计量,同时证明了函数模型和随机模型参数估计的不相关性。     

自检校平差中过度参数化的克服

带附加参数的自检校平差是当今解析空中三角测量中补偿系统误差的最有效方法。可惜的是,当采用一个十分庞大的附加参数组时,在某些几何条件下将导致很坏的法方程系状态,从而使测求的平差结果很差。本文研究和试验了几种克服过度参数化的方法。它们不是用统计分析方法来消除某些附加参数的,因为这会引起实际计算的困难。本试验研究表明: ——如果采用飞行方向交叉的双区域,用自由附加参数平差,附加参数的可测定性和系统的可靠性均是可接受的; ——如果附加参数作为带权观测值,而且按信噪比确定其权,在许多情况下过度参数化将是可避免的。——如果所有的未知数按极大验后估计原理或岭估计原理处理成带权观测值,並给予一个小权(例如P=0.005～0.001),则在所试验的任何情况下均可克服过度参数化。