FN5井区夏子街组异常高阻段成因及油气成藏主控因素

通过岩心、薄片、构造演化史、古地貌等对FN5井区二叠系夏子街组异常高阻段进行综合分析.结果表明:FN5井区二叠系夏子街组异常高阻段发育2种岩性,高阻致密隔层以粗粒级云化凝灰质砂砾岩为主;低阻储层段以细粒级凝灰质细(中细)砂岩为主,储集空间具裂缝—孔隙双重介质特征.垂向上主要分布在夏子街组中部的P2x22砂层组;平面上主要分布在扇三角洲前缘近岸坡折带以下FC1—F20—FN055—FN5—W27井一带,面积为6.2km2,平面形态呈孤立的土豆状.油藏类型为东南方向受乌南断裂控制、其余方向受岩性控制的构造—岩性油藏.其展布受扇三角洲前缘的近岸水下坡折控制,后期成藏受控于异常高阻段的厚度及距主控断裂乌南断裂的距离.具有油层垂向厚度大、单井产量高、储量丰度高特征.为乌尔禾地区二叠系2011年探明储量培植及2012年增储上产的主要层位.     

A time-dependent baroclinic model on NEC bifurcation

As it is well-known, the North Equatorial Current (NEC) bifurcates into the Kuroshio flowing northward and the equatorward Mindanao Current, which is well depicted by Munk’s theory in 1950 in terms of its climatology. However, Munk’s theory is unable to tell the NEC bifurcation variability with time. In the present paper, a time-dependent baroclinic model forced by wind, in which temporal and baroclinic terms are added to Munk’s equation, is proposed to examine the seasonal variability of the NEC bifurcation latitude. An analytical solution is obtained, with which the seasonal variability can be well described: NEC bifurcation reaches its northernmost position in December and its southernmost position in June with a range of about 1° in latitude, consistent with previous results with observations. The present solution will degenerate to Munk’s one in the case of steady and barotropic state.     

文献记录的河西地区小冰期旱涝变化及其机制探讨

基于文献资料重建了河西地区AD 1436-1949旱涝灾害等级序列,结果表明所研究的500余年内河西地区大体出现三次明显的干旱时段,分别为AD 1460-1539、AD 1616-1665和AD 1907-1949,而AD 1725-1748以及AD 1879-1906则为相对湿润时期。重建的旱涝等级序列与毗邻祁连树轮记录的干湿变化存在高度一致的对应关系;将其与NAO指数对比发现,冷期NAO高指数年对应旱灾多发,NAO低指数年对应涝灾多发。     

柱下独立基础稳健性设计与分析

岩土工程随机参数统计特征的不确定性,使得岩土工程可靠度设计存在一定风险。岩土工程稳健性设计能够充分考虑随机参数的不确定性结合结构安全性、稳健性和经济性实现最优设计。针对随机参数统计特征的不确定性对柱下独立基础设计的影响,基于可靠度理论和岩土工程稳健性设计方法,考虑岩土参数、混凝土和钢筋材料力学参数统计特征不确定性的影响,以独立基础几何尺寸作为可控设计参数进行设计分析。将独立基础地基承载力、地基变形、基础结构冲切破坏和基础弯曲破坏4种失效模式视为串联系统,进行多失效模式下的结构体系稳健性设计,分析了多失效模式下结构几何参数与结构体系可靠度的关系。结合稳健性和经济性,进行了独立基础多目标优化设计,确定柱下独立基础设计的最优解。     

Could ocean currents be responsible for the west to east spread of aquatic invasive species in Maritime Canadian waters?

The circulation in the shelf seas of Maritime Canada is predominantly in the northeast–southwest direction. Despite the mean northeast–southwest flow, a number of AIS invasions have been observed to proceed in the opposite direction – from the Gulf of Maine, around Nova Scotia, and into the southern Gulf of St. Lawrence. Flow fields from a numerical circulation model are used to investigate whether these invasions could be due to drift in ocean currents. Particle tracking experiments are performed and probability density functions (PDFs) derived that describe the probability of drifting a given upstream distance in a given drift time. Analysis of these PDFs revealed that for invasions that took 20–40 y to occur, propagule drift in ocean currents could be responsible for the upstream spread, while this was not the case for short timescale invasions (<10 y). Rafting could be responsible for both short and long timescale invasions.     

汶川地震崩塌滚石坡面运动特征

滚石坡面运动影响因素众多,分析预测困难,确定崩塌滚石危害范围,对崩塌灾害防治具有重要意义。在实测汶川地震399条崩塌滚石剖面基础上,通过统计分析研究了滚石运动特征和危害范围参数,得出如下结论：(1) 滚石坡面运动可划分为启动阶段、运动阶段和堆积阶段;56º为启动区滚石自由坠落模式和滑动、滚动模式界限,堆积区最大角度为39.6º,26º以下区域为减速带。(2) 滚石运动距离与高度的比值,随着地震烈度以及边坡岩石强度的增高而增大,并给出了统计公式。(3) 滚石最大运动距离与坡高之间以及陡坡段坡度与滚石运动扩散角之间有较好的线性关系,根据堆积区在边坡高度上所占比例,划分了两种坡面形态,给出了两种坡面形态边坡陡坡段坡度与滚石运动扩散角之间的统计关系图,可作为崩塌滚石危害范围判定的参考。     

南海北部次表层盐度的变化及其与北赤道流分叉点的关系

吕宋海峡是南海与外界水交换的重要通道,黑潮作为北太平洋最强的1支西边界流,在经过吕宋海峡时会对南海北部的环流和环境产生重要影响。本文用1991—2011年期间CTD断面实测资料和高度计资料,提取23.0~25.5 kg/m³等密度面之间的盐度极大值,研究了南海北部不同年月盐度极大值变化、黑潮入侵方式与强弱,以及盐度极大值变化与北赤道流分叉点南北移动的关系,结果表明:(1)黑潮入侵南海方式多样,既有分支形式,也有弯曲、流套形式。(2)不同年月间,黑潮入侵南海的强弱存在较大差别,120°E断面的次表层盐度极大值的变动可超过0.3。(3)北赤道流分叉点位置的南北变动对黑潮入侵南海的强弱具有重要影响:北赤道流分叉点位置偏北,黑潮入侵南海较强;北赤道流分叉点位置偏南,则黑潮入侵相对较弱。     

Trend,periodicity and abrupt change in streamflow of the East River,the Pearl River basin

The East River in the Pearl River basin, China, plays a vital role in the water supply for mega‐cities within and in the vicinity of the Pearl River Delta. Knowledge of statistical variability of streamflow is therefore important for water resources management in the basin. This study analyzed streamflow from four hydrological stations on the East River for a period of 1951–2009, using ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), continuous wavelet transform (CWT) technique, scanning t and F tests. Results indicated increasing/decreasing streamflow in the East River basin before/after the 1980s. After the early 1970s, the high/low flow components were decreasing/increasing. CWT‐based analysis demonstrates a significant impact of water reservoirs on the periodicity of streamflow. Scanning t and F test indicates that significantly abrupt changes in streamflow are largely influenced by both water reservoirs construction and precipitation changes. Thus, changes of streamflow, which are reflected by variations of trend, periodicity and abrupt change, are due to both water reservoir construction and precipitation changes. Further, the changes of volume of streamflow in the East River are in good agreement with precipitation changes. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

室外风对高层建筑外保温层火灾发展的影响研究

近年来,由外墙保温材料引起的高层建筑火灾频繁发生,使得高层建筑室外火灾已经成为当下防火安全工程研究的热点议题。高层建筑外墙火灾受室外风影响较大,本研究采用CFD（Computational Fluid Dynamics）火灾模拟软件FDS,针对当前典型高层住宅建筑进行室外风作用下外保温材料火灾特性的模拟研究,分析了不同风向风速作用下外墙保温材料的火灾燃烧性能,研究了室外风对火灾烟气温度、运动速度、CO体积分数、可见度、火灾热释放速率等参数的影响。研究结果表明：室外风对火灾热释放速率等火灾作用参数有着较大影响,并存在一定的规律性。研究成果对未来高层节能建筑的防火设计施工具有一定的借鉴意义。