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131.
Social capital can enhance community resilience to environmental change. Productive and trusted relations among social actors and effectual social norms can help local residents share resources, information and risks. The main objective of our study is to understand the ways in which social attributes and risk considerations influence adoption of resilient economic measures by individuals for reducing potential losses due to catastrophic rainstorm and flooding. This article provides evidence from China on how social capital contributes to anticipatory adaptation to environmental change. The inquiry is based on structured interviews with local residents of Tianjin, a flood-prone port city in China, and a standard regression analysis. Findings show that the intention to make preparation increases with the levels of social expectation, social relationship, and institutional trust. Perceived risk and damage experience, however, have no significant impacts. This suggests that building social capacity and trust will be more effective in enhancing community resilience than merely increasing awareness of hazard risks. We call for greater efforts on strengthening the capacity of formal and informal communal institutions. The structural changes required, however, are challenging. 相似文献
132.
《Geoforum》2015
Over the last decade, fire governance practices in the British Fire and Rescue Service (FRS) have undergone fundamental transformation. Rather than just being responded to as and when they occur, the FRS have adopted a range of anticipatory governing strategies to govern fires in anticipation of their occurence. This turn towards anticipatory governance has been facilitated in no small part by the digital infrastructure now embedded in the FRS. Composed of data, hardware, software, fibre-optic cables along with human analysts and organisational processes, this infrastructure operates to make risk projections on fire which shape and condition strategic decision making. This paper explores the operation of this digital infrastructure through the notion of interface. Drawing on empirical material relating to processes of data sourcing and risk calculation, interfaces account for the sites, moments and experiences in which human and non-human agents relate to one another in making fire risk projections. Showing relations to exist spatially, temporally and sensually, I argue that interfaces are crucial to the operation of an anticipatory security apparatus which relies on digital devices. 相似文献
133.
利用历年气象资料,运用数理统计方法,分析了湖北省1951—2010年水稻高温热害的动态变化,探讨了气候变化背景下高温热害的演变趋势与规律。结果表明,鄂东部、江汉平原部分地区水稻高温热害发生趋于频繁,且除西南部地区外的湖北省其他地区水稻高温热害最大概率出现的时间均有明显的提前,甚至每10a提前1d以上。最后,利用ArcGIS对湖北省的水稻高温热害变化趋势和风险程度进行了区划。 相似文献
134.
汪一鸣 《云南地理环境研究》1990,2(2):29-35
改革开放以来,我国国土综合开发整治研究蓬勃发展。本文从国土综合开发整治的特点取得的重大进展,展望未来的发展方向。逐步形成具有中国特色的区域综合开发的理论体系,是地理工作者和其他国土工作者的任务。 相似文献
135.
Lucio Lirer Rosalba Munno Immacolata Postiglione Anna Vinci Livia Vitelli 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1997,59(2):112-124
Due to the lack of an effective policy of planning and prevention, over the past decades the area around Mt. Vesuvio has
undergone a steady increase in population and uncontrolled housing development. Consequently, it has become one of the most
hazardous volcanic areas in the world. In order to mitigate the damage that the impact of an explosive event would cause in
the area, the Department of Civil Defense has worked out an Emergency Management Plan using the A.D. 1631 subplinian eruption
as the most probable short-term event. However, from 25 000 years B.P. to present, the activity of the Somma-Vesuvio volcano
has shown a sequence of eight eruptive cycles, which always began with a strong plinian eruption. In this paper we utilize
the A.D. 79 eruption as an example of a potential large explosive eruption that might occur again at Vesuvio. A detailed tephrostratigraphic
analysis of the eruption products was processed by a multivariate statistical analysis. This analysis proved useful for identifying
marker layers in the sequences, thus allowing the recognition of some major phases of synchronous deposition and hence the
definition of the chronological and spatial evolution of the eruption. By combining this reconstruction with land-use maps,
a scenario is proposed with time intervals in the eruptive sequence similar to those reported in Pliny's letter. Thus, it
was calculated that, after 7 h from the start of the eruption, a total area of approximately 300 km2 would be covered with the eruption products. In the following 11 h, a total area of approximately 500 km2 would be involved. The third and last phase of deposition would not cause significant variation in the total area involved,
but it would bring about an increase in the thickness of the pyroclastic deposits in the perivolcanic area.
Received: 30 November 1996 / Accepted: 29 May 1997 相似文献
136.
会计基础工作是财会工作的基本环节 ,是经济管理的重要基础。实现会计电算化对于加强会计基础工作 ,保证财会工作科学有效地进行 ,减少工作误差 ,实现会计工作现代化操作及现代化管理具有现实意义 相似文献
137.
学校图书馆是图书资料的供应与服务基地 ,其藏书量与藏书类别的多少 ,以及图书馆各专业情报资料源的数量与管理和服务水平 ,是办学条件的重要标志之一 ,因而 ,测绘图书情报资料的信息源建设、测绘科技文献的开发与利用和测绘科技情报资料为师生的服务 ,在测绘教育中有着举足轻重的地位与作用。 相似文献
138.
Volcanic eruptions typically produce a number of hazards, and many regions are at risk from more than one volcano or volcanic field. So that detailed risk assessments can be carried out, it is necessary to rank potential volcanic hazards and events in terms of risk. As it is often difficult to make accurate predictions regarding the characteristics of future eruptions, a method for ranking hazards and events has been developed that does not rely on precise values. Risk is calculated individually for each hazard from each source as the product of likelihood, extent and effect, based on the parameters order of magnitude. So that multiple events and outcomes can be considered, risk is further multiplied by the relative probability of the event occurring (probabilitye) and the relative importance of the outcome (importanceo). By adding the values obtained, total risk is calculated and a ranking can be carried out.This method was used to rank volcanic hazards and events that may impact the Auckland Region, New Zealand. Auckland is at risk from the Auckland volcanic field, Okataina volcanic centre, Taupo volcano, Tuhua volcano, Tongariro volcanic centre, and Mt. Taranaki volcano. Relative probabilities were determined for each event, with the highest given to Mt. Taranaki. Hazards considered were, for local events: tephra fall, scoria fall and ballistic impacts, lava flow, base surge and associated shock waves, tsunami, volcanic gases and acid rain, earthquakes and ground deformation, mudflows and mudfills, lightning and flooding; and for distal events: tephra fall, pyroclastic flows, poisonous gases and acid rain, mudflows and mudfills, climate variations and earthquakes. Hazards from each source were assigned values for likelihood, with the largest for tephra fall from all sources, earthquakes and ground deformation, lava flows, scoria fall and base surge for an Auckland eruption on land, and earthquakes and ground deformation from an Auckland eruption in the ocean. The largest values for extent were for tephra fall and climate variation from each of the distal centres. However, these parameters do not give a true indication of risk. In a companion paper the effect of each hazard is fully investigated and the risk ranking completed. 相似文献
139.
Said Ettazarini 《Environmental Geology》2006,50(6):919-929
This study takes the groundwater of the Moroccan limestone aquifer of Oum Er-Rabia as an example of statistical and cartographical approaches in water resources management. Statistical analyses based on frequency distribution and PCA methods revealed the homogeneity of waters with the existence of abnormal points and have helped to assess correlations between the studied variables. The mapping approach illustrated that waters are influenced by the lithology of the surrounding rocks and are of Ca–Mg–HCO3, Ca–Mg–Cl–SO4, and mixed types according to the Piper classification. The quality of water is of high to medium, north of the basin, but it is of medium to bad, NE and south, due to excessive contents of chloride, sulfate and nitrate. According to the US Salinity Laboratory classification, water used for irrigation in the eastern and the southern parts of the basin should take into consideration the drainage conditions, the nature of plants and the addition of gypsum doses.
相似文献
Said EttazariniEmail: Phone: +212-66-407610 |
140.