The position and role of Wuhan City in the regional economic macro-strategies of China

ＴＨＥＰＯＳＩＴＩＯＮＡＮＤＲＯＬＥＯＦＷＵＨＡＮＣＩＴＹＩＮＴＨＥＲＥＧＩＯＮＡＬＥＣＯＮＯＭＩＣＭＡＣＲＯＳＴＲＡＴＥＧＩＥＳＯＦＣＨＩＮＡ①ＬｉｕＭｉａｏｌｏｎｇ（刘妙龙）ＤｅｐｔａｒｔｍｅｎｔｏｆＳｕｒｖｅｙｉｎｇａｎｄＧｅｏｉｎｆｏｒｍａ...     

山东省城市经济效率分析

应用城市整体效率指标,对山东省城市效率的规律进行定量分析,总结了全省城市效率呈现规模效果梯度的结构特点和地域分异规律,并对山东省未来城市化提出建议。     

条件要素研究与区域经济地理学科建设

通过探讨经济地域条件与要素的概念、形成过程、分类、组合以及各自功能,明确了两者的理论区别与联系,进而对世界经济地域条件与要素发展历史与现状进行了实证分析。经济地域要素的提出以及条件要素关系的阐明,是区域经济地理学科“条件──结构──类型──系统”理论框架的重要补充与完善。     

The global value of coastal wetlands for storm protection

Coastal wetlands provide a range of valuable ecosystem services, including protecting coastal communities from storms. We estimated for the first time the global value of these storm protection services for all coastal wetlands for both damages avoided and lives saved. We used the historical tracks of 1,014 tropical cyclones since 1902 that recorded property damage and/or human casualties in 71 countries/regions. We used Bayesian and OLS statistical techniques to relate storm damages and lives lost to: wind speed, storm forward speed, the year of the storm, the volume of ocean water proximal to landfall, and GDP, population, and coastal wetlands in the swath of the storm. Based on current storm probabilities, we estimate the median annual global value of coastal wetlands for storm protection at $447 billion/yr (2015$US) ($213 - $837 billion/yr, 90% CI) and 4,620 lives saved per year (3,320 – 6,550, 90% CI). The 40 million hectares of coastal wetlands in storm prone areas provided an average of $11,000/ha/yr in avoided storm damages. The frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones has been increasing in recent decades and is projected to further increase with climate change. Consequently, the already significant benefits from protecting and restoring coastal wetlands will become increasingly important and valuable in the future. These results justify much larger investments in conservation and restoration of coastal wetlands.     

中巴经济走廊极端低温事件风险评估

危险性、暴露度、脆弱性是极端低温事件风险评估的关键因素。基于1961—2015年中巴经济走廊地区逐日最低气温、人口和耕地等数据,选取极端低温事件强度、频次、持续时间,人口密度,耕地面积占比,植被覆盖度,数字高程模型（DEM),脆弱人口比重和性别比重9个指标,采用层次分析法和熵权法确定各指标组合权重,对中巴经济走廊地区极端低温事件进行风险评估,实现了中巴经济走廊极端低温事件不同风险等级（低、较低、中、较高、高风险）的区划。研究表明,中巴经济走廊内极端低温事件风险分布具有显著的空间差异,极端低温事件风险受极端低温事件强度、人口密度和地形影响较大。区域内绝大部分地区属于低风险地区,高风险地区有巴基斯坦的阿扎德克什米尔地区、吉尔吉特-巴尔蒂斯坦地区、开普省地区、联邦直辖部落地区和中国的喀什地区。其中,阿扎德克什米尔高风险面积占比最高（约35%),联邦直辖部落地区较高风险面积占比最高（约7.7%),吉尔吉特-巴尔蒂斯坦地区中风险地区面积占比最高（约24.6%);中风险地区占比超过10%的还有开普省（12.5%)、阿扎德克什米尔（20%)、联邦直辖部落地区（10.2%)、中国喀什地区（14.3%)。评估结果与历史灾情吻合,可为区域气象灾害风险评估和防灾减灾提供参考。     

A Critical Evaluation of Structural Reform Considerations in ‘Rates and Taxes: A Fair Share for Responsible Local Government’

In its landmark report entitled Rates and Taxes: A Fair Share for Responsible Local Government, the Commonwealth House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics, Finance and Public Administration (2003 Commonwealth House of Representatives Standing Committee On Economics, Finance and Public Administration [‘Hawker Report’] ( 2003 ) Rates and taxes: a fair share for responsible local government , Commonwealth of Australia, Canberra . [Google Scholar]) considered the plight of Australian local government given its very wide terms of reference involving local government's roles and responsibilities, current funding arrangements, municipal capacity, council expenditure, scope for rationalisation, and the findings of the Commonwealth Grants Commission Review (2001 Commonwealth Grants Commission (CGC) ( 2001 ) Review of the Operation of Local Government (Financial Assistance) Act 1995 , Canberra . [Google Scholar]) of the Local Government (Financial Assistance) Act 1995. The authors of the ‘Hawker Report’ brought down 18 recommendations, two of which dealt directly with the thorny question of structural reform. This paper seeks to provide a critical assessment of those aspects of the Report that concern structural reform in Australian local government.     

有ARMA噪声的一种参数估计的优效性

对于有ARMA噪声的线性回归模型,本文给出了只用递推进行模型辨识和参数估计的线性方法。若用所计算得到的回归残差作为数据,采用Hannan-Rissanen的线性估计法求ARMA噪声的参数估计,则本文证明了估计是强相容的,且对正态序列,估计具有渐近正态优效性。     

对虾、青蛤和江蓠三元混养效益的实验研究

通过海水陆基围隔实验,研究了凡纳滨对虾(Litopenaeus vannamei)与青蛤(Cyclina senensis)、菊花心江蓠(Gracilaria lichevoides)投饵混养的适宜配比、经济效益和生态效益。实验结束时对虾的体重、成活率和净产量分别为5.30~6.12g,62.96%~78.21%和1 065.0~1 367.6kg.hm-2。青蛤体重和净产量分别为6.85~7.15g,和51~328kg.hm-2。菊花心江蓠净产量为3 900~9 380kg.hm-2。混养系统的经济效益和生态效益均优于对虾单养。在本实验条件下,混养系统的最佳结构为凡纳滨对虾30ind.m-2,青蛤30ind.m-2,菊花心江蓠200g.m-2;其N,P绝对利用率分别为52.94%和26.09%。