唐山7.8级强震孕育条件及前兆场时空演化的三维数值模拟计算与分析

首先对由深部地震测深剖面观测综合归纳出一个华北地区岩石圈１２层三维非均匀实际模型在承受和不承受来自底面的上拱力条件下的应力场进行了数值模拟计算，并根据计算结果对唐山地震孕震条件及长期前兆进行分析研究。     

Morphological characteristics of the earthquake surface ruptures on Awaji Island, associated with the 1995 Southern Hyogo Prefecture Earthquake

Abstract The earthquake surface ruptures on the northern side of Awaji Island accompanying the 1995 Southern Hyogo Prefecture Earthquake in Japan consist of three earthquake surface rupture zones called the Nojima, Matsuho, and Kusumoto Earthquake Surface Rupture Zones. The Nojima Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone is - 18 km long and was formed from Awaji-cho at the northern end of Awaji Island to Ichinomiya-cho. It occurred along the pre-existing Nojima geological fault in the northern segment and as a new fault in the southern segment. The northern segment of the Nojima Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone is composed of some subparallel shear faults showing a right-step en echelon form and many extensional cracks showing a left-step en echelon form. The southern segment consists of some discontinuous surface ruptures which are concentrated in a narrow zone a few tens of meters in width. This surface rupture zone shows a general trend striking north 30°-60° east, and dipping 75°-85° east. The deformational topographies and striations on the fault plane generated during the co-seismic displacement show that the Nojima Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone is a right-lateral strike-slip fault with some reverse component. Displacements measured at many of the outcrops are generally 100-200 em horizontally and 50-100 em vertically in the northern segment and a few em to 20 em both horizontally and vertically in the southern segment. The largest displacements are 180 em horizontally, 130 em vertically, and 215 em in netslip measured at the Hirabayashi fault scarp. The Matsuho Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone striking north 40°-60° west was also found along the coastline trending northwest-southeast in Awaji-cho for ～1 km at the northern end of Awaji Island. The Kusumoto Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone occurred along the pre-existing Kusumoto geological fault for ～ 1.5 km near the northeastern coastline, generally striking north 35°-60° east, dipping 60°-70° west. From the morphological and geomorphological characteristics, the Nojima Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone can be divided into four segments which form a right-step en echelon formation. The geological and geomorphological evidence and the aftershock epicenter distributions show clearly that the distributions and geometry of these four segments are controlled by the pre-existing geological structures.     

动态空区法在永登5.8级地震回顾性预报中的应用

研究了永登５．８级地震前地震活动异常特征，并应用秦保燕提出的地震动态空区的原理和地震频次起伏加剧，研究了１９９５年永登５．８级地震的孕震过程，对地震三要素进行了回顾性预报。结果表明，预测结果与实际地震发生的时间、强度和地点十分接近     

大同遥测地震台网小震群活动与大同-阳高中强地震预报讨论

根据大同遥测地震台网记录到的小震群资料，用组合模式理论［１］对本区的小震群时空演化规律进行了分析研究。结果表明，对于１９８９年１０月１８日在本区发生的大同—阳高５．８级地震，利用震前小震群资料得出的预报震中与实际震中有较好的一致性。另外，通过震群与外因相关性的分析，对发震时间的预报也取得了较好的效果     

强震水化学前兆场特征

研究了唐山、松潘两次７级以上强震的水化学前兆场特征。结果表明，两次强震水化学前兆场有相似的特征。在震源区，水化趋势性异常和短临突变异常所占的比例大，远离震源区所占的比例小，且有逐渐减小的趋势；在震源区，水化趋势性异常起始的时间早，远离震源区异常起始的时间晚，趋势异常的形态均为逐渐升高。水化学前兆场的形成与区域应力场有关，但与震源应力场关系密切，可能起主导作用的是震源应力场。     

宁夏西吉地区滑坡灾害地貌的成因分析

宁夏西吉地区滑坡灾害地貌是海原地震区最严重的地形变特征。本文在分析区域滑坡呈 或团块状密集独特分布及其严重灾害特征的基础上，进一步探讨了它的成因机制。表明滑坡地形奕的分布规律不仅受地震烈度的影响，而且还受诸如黄土的自然特征，地质构造，地貌结构和区域新构造运行等自然环境的控制．     

绥化台地电阻率异常与龙镇震群

分析研究绥化地电台近十年地电观测资料,认为1986年发生在德都龙镇的中强震群,绥化台地电阻率存在趋势异常,并明显呈现短临异常前兆特征。同时,指出绥化台地电阻率趋势异常的继续存在及其周围250km范围内仍有发生中强地震的可能。     

岩石蠕变破坏实验研究及其对地震预报的意义

通过对不同温度和围压条件下济南辉长岩的蠕变破坏实验结果和声发射特征分析,本文提出以岩石蠕变破坏应变做为岩石蠕变破坏判据。建立了岩石蠕变破坏应变的经验关系式。依据实验结果得到相应的济南辉长岩蠕变破坏应变参数,进一步探讨了预报岩石蠕变破坏和地震的方法     

广西中强地震迁移的探讨

据广西有史记载的地震资料表明:广西的中强地震存在明显的迁移规律。即逐步地由桂东北向桂西南迁移的规律。