武威绿洲城镇化的生态效应情景分析

绿洲是人地关系地域系统研究的典型地区,城镇化是影响绿洲生态系统稳定性的重要人类活动之一,选择合理的城镇化模式对绿洲地区可持续发展至关重要。本文以石羊河流域武威绿洲为研究区,采用情景分析方法,对该地区常规城镇化和快速集约型城镇化两种情景的生态效应展开系统动力学模拟。结果表明：在快速集约型城镇化情景下,到2025年,武威绿洲年农业用水将控制在6×108 m3以内,相比目前水平可节约3×108～4×108 m3,生产和生活对生态用水的占用也将相应减少,年总用水量将控制在8×108 m3以内,水资源供需矛盾可得到缓解,下游民勤绿洲生态退化可得到有效控制;而在常规城镇化情景下,水供需矛盾将继续恶化,无法遏制石羊河下游生态退化趋势。因此,快速集约型城镇化模式是维持武威绿洲及石羊河流域生态系统稳定性的可取城镇化模式之一。     

调剖技术在埕岛油田的应用及效果分析

基于埕岛油田的油藏特征及海上条件限制,依据PI决策理论,选用酚醛树脂交联体系冻胶,高黏的聚合物乳液为过顶替液,通过分轮次注入对4口井进行了深部堵水调剖。堵水调剖后,油藏水驱效果明显改善。通过对堵水调剖效果的分析研究,对深度调剖技术实施过程中堵剂的用量、冻胶凝固时间及施工轮次进行了总结和探索,对其他海上油田开展堵水调剖具有指导意义。     

对Beer-Lambert定律间接测量森林LAI的误差低估分析

 叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index,LAI)是表征植被冠层结构的核心参数。在地面对LAI的间接测量是遥感反演算法验证和改进的重要手段,而目前基于Beer-Lambert定律的森林LAI地面间接测量方法存在着严重的低估问题。本文通过理论分析,指出Beer-Lambert定律在应用到森林叶面积指数测量时,LAI低估的根本原因来源于叶面积体密度、消光路径及叶倾角投影G函数在空间上的不均匀性,并定量评估了冠层非随机分布对LAI测量结果的影响,发现植被冠层的非随机分布会对LAI的测量带来20％~40%的误差。这一结论,对于Beer-Lambert定律的简单修正应用于森林LAI间接测量时仍存在着较大的局限性,尚未能根本上解决LAI的低估问题,故间接测量LAI的理论和方法需进一步深入研究。     

小尺度地磁场勒让德多项式建模方法

根据地面实测地磁场数据,提出一种基于勒让德多项式的对小尺度地磁场的模型建立方法,结合数据预处理、最小二乘拟合方法,采用高阶的模型描述典型小尺度区域的地磁场,绘制出地磁图.通过实验验证,模型拟合实验点的数据与真实数据的磁场总强度平均误差小于30 nT,并且反映出小尺度区域中磁场的精细结构,有效地抑制了边界效应,大大提高了地磁场建模能力.另外讨论了勒让德多项式建模方法的优缺点以及使用范围.这为地磁场在空间延拓、探矿、地下结构分析提供了重要的方法和理论基础.     

Free‐field rotations during earthquakes: Relevance on buildings

Soil rotations around horizontal axes, during an earthquake, are studied through records collected by closely spaced arrays of strong motion accelerometers. The cross power spectrum of accelerations at nearby stations has been generally utilized to describe the spatial distribution of the motion. A number of cross spectra have been obtained during the training of these arrays. To take profit of these elaborations, a mathematical relation is established between the cross power spectrum and the power spectrum of the rotation. Rotation data presented by Liu et al, concerning 52 earthquake records collected at a single station in Taiwan, are compared with rotation data computed according to our procedure. The two series of data are suitably normalized to the peak horizontal acceleration. The data are shown in function of the distance from epicentre. The same ratio, computed according to our procedure, is in good agreement with the average value of these data. Direct measurements and the present approach have lead to evaluations of rotation higher than those predicted by mathematical investigations on the basis of the wave propagation theory, for comparable circumstances. The relevance of this input motion for relatively tall structures is examined, with reference to the structural effects that the horizontal motion concurrently provides. Meaningful will be ranked those effects of the order of magnitude of 20% or higher than those implied by the horizontal excitation. For understanding the relevance on building structures, the procedure has two areas of concern: 1) the coherence implicit in the cross power spectra, which depends on the interpolation process of the original records, collected in the arrays of instruments, and 2) the relative importance of the vertical to the horizontal input motion. As to the second item, the relevance of the rotation component on structures largely depends on the relative importance of the vertical to the horizontal input motion. When the records in an area a few km from the epicenter are considered, the response spectrum of vertical motion is comparable and in some records even higher, than that of horizontal motion, over the entire range of frequencies. This has been observed as well for the 2009 earthquake event of L'Aquila, Italy, and that at the Christchurch (New Zealand) 2011. When the response spectrum of vertical motion is comparable to that of horizontal motion, the effects of rotational motions on most engineering structures can be meaningful. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The effect of glaciation on the intensity of seismic ground motion

Seismicity is known to contribute to landscape denudation through its role in earthquake‐triggered slope failure; but little is known about how the intensity of seismic ground motions, and therefore triggering of slope failures, may change through time. Topography influences the intensity of seismic shaking – generally steep slopes amplify shaking more than flatter slopes – and because glacial erosion typically steepens and enlarges slopes, glaciation may increase the intensity of seismic shaking of some landforms. However, the effect of this may be limited until after glaciers retreat because valley ice or ice‐caps may damp seismic ground motions. Two‐dimensional numerical models (FLAC 6.0) were used to explore how edifice shape, rock stiffness and various levels of ice inundation affect edifice shaking intensity. The modelling confirmed that earthquake shaking is enhanced with steeper topography and at ridge crests but it showed for the first time that total inundation by ice may reduce shaking intensity at hill crests to about 20–50% of that experienced when no ice is present. The effect is diminished to about 80–95% if glacier ice level reduces to half of the mountain slope height. In general, ice cover reduced shaking most for the steepest‐sided edifices, for wave frequencies higher than 3 Hz, and when ice was thickest and the rock had shear stiffness well in excess of the stiffness of ice. If rock stiffness is low and shear‐wave velocity is similar to that of ice, the presence of ice may amplify the shaking of rock protruding above the ice surface. The modelling supports the idea that topographic amplification of earthquake shaking increases as a result of glacial erosion and deglaciation. It is possible that the effect of this is sufficient to have influenced the distribution of post‐glacial slope failures in glaciated seismically active areas. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于城镇化视角的绿洲城市用水变化驱动效应分析

城镇化是驱动区域用水变化的双刃剑,既可以通过刺激生产来促进用水总量增长,也可以通过优化用水结构和提高用水效率来抑制用水总量增长。以黑河流域张掖市为例,通过构建城镇化驱动用水变化的完全分解模型,定量测度了2000-2011年张掖市人口和经济城镇化过程对用水总量和用水效率变化的驱动效应。结果表明：张掖市人口和经济城镇化过程对用水总量均具有明显的减量效应,对用水效率均具有明显的增量效应,而且与人口和经济城镇化速度高度相关。因此建议干旱区绿洲城市在水资源约束下,应将城镇化作为优化人口结构、经济结构和用水结构,提高经济效率以及用水效率,并最终实现水-生态-经济良性循环的抓手。该结论对于科学认识干旱区绿洲城市城镇化与水资源利用的关系具有一定的参考价值。     

断层裂隙水的天然电场动态响应特征

流动于断层裂隙中的地下水径流相对较集中,可视为一种运动的导体。在天然电场这一微弱的物理场中可形成明显的动态响应,即在时间和空间上的非稳定运动产生复杂、时变的感应电磁场。试验证明,这种动态响应不仅与地下水埋深、水力坡度有关,而且与观测频率也存在着较密切的关系。      

An alternative method for calculation of Rayleigh and Love wave phase velocities by using three-component records on a single circular array without a central station

A method for the computation of phase velocities of surface waves from microtremor waveforms is shown. The technique starts from simultaneous three-component records obtained in a circular array without a central station. Then, Fourier spectra of vertical, radial and tangential components of motion are calculated for each station and considered as complex-valuated functions of the azimuthal coordinate. A couple of intermediate real physical quantities, B and C , can be defined from the 0- and ±1-order coefficients of the Fourier series expansion of such functions. Finally, phase velocities of Rayleigh and Love waves can be retrieved from B and C by solving respective one-unknown equations. The basic assumption is the possibility of expanding the wavefield as a sum of plane surface waves with Rayleigh and Love wavenumbers being univocal functions of the circular frequency. The method is tested in synthetic ambient noise wavefields confirming its reliability and robustness for passive seismic surveying.