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71.
lvaro Gonzlez Miguel Vzquez-Prada Javier B. Gmez Amalio F. Pacheco 《Tectonophysics》2006,424(3-4):319
Numerical models are starting to be used for determining the future behaviour of seismic faults and fault networks. Their final goal would be to forecast future large earthquakes. In order to use them for this task, it is necessary to synchronize each model with the current status of the actual fault or fault network it simulates (just as, for example, meteorologists synchronize their models with the atmosphere by incorporating current atmospheric data in them). However, lithospheric dynamics is largely unobservable: important parameters cannot (or can rarely) be measured in Nature. Earthquakes, though, provide indirect but measurable clues of the stress and strain status in the lithosphere, which should be helpful for the synchronization of the models.The rupture area is one of the measurable parameters of earthquakes. Here we explore how it can be used to at least synchronize fault models between themselves and forecast synthetic earthquakes. Our purpose here is to forecast synthetic earthquakes in a simple but stochastic (random) fault model. By imposing the rupture area of the synthetic earthquakes of this model on other models, the latter become partially synchronized with the first one. We use these partially synchronized models to successfully forecast most of the largest earthquakes generated by the first model. This forecasting strategy outperforms others that only take into account the earthquake series. Our results suggest that probably a good way to synchronize more detailed models with real faults is to force them to reproduce the sequence of previous earthquake ruptures on the faults. This hypothesis could be tested in the future with more detailed models and actual seismic data. 相似文献
72.
73.
概述了深空测控网的基本技术要求,总结了我国卫星测控网和国内现有射电观测设施的技术、组成和分布,分析和论述了将我国现有的测控设施建设成深空测控网的具体方案。 相似文献
74.
关于国土资源数据共享分类的思考 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
数据共享分类是制定数据共享政策和数据资源开发利用规划的一项基础性工作。本文 提出国土资源数据共享分类的意义、原则和方法,探讨建立以数据共享分类为核心的 国土资源数据分类体系,以期为全面开展国土资源数据共享分类提供参考。 相似文献
75.
三维遥感影像数据库系统的研究与实现 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
介绍了以3S技术为手段,采用目前较为先进的三层结构体系,使用Dephi开发工具,结合数据库技术、遥感技术,尝试以数据库SQL Server组织、存储、管理海量的中巴资源卫星遥感影像数据和新疆1:10万地形矢量数据,应用OpenGL技术实现海量三维遥感影像数据的三维立体显示浏览,进而完成全疆三维遥感影像库建库和三维显示及漫游. 相似文献
76.
77.
利用DXF文件进行测量数据辅助处理 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
DXF文件是AUTOCAD与高级语言程序设计之间的接口文件,在测量工作中,充分利用DXF文件对测量数据进行辅助处理计算,可以达到事半功倍的效果. 相似文献
78.
79.
Takvor H. Soukissian Aristides M. Prospathopoulos Chrysoula Diamanti 《Journal of Atmospheric & Ocean Science》2002,8(2):163-189
In this paper, a statistical analysis on wind and wave buoy measurements and wind and wave model forecasts obtained during a two-year period (1999-2001) is presented with reference to four characteristic near-shore sites of the Aegean Sea. The measurements are a main product of the "POSEIDON" system aiming at the monitoring and forecasting of the state of the Greek seas, operated by the National Centre for Marine Research (NCMR). Although the two-year period is rather short for a thorough analysis of the local wind and wave climate, yet the obtained results, presented herein for the first time, reveal some interesting features of the corresponding wave and wind characteristics. Comparisons between the measurements and the forecast results are also performed at the locations under consideration. It is found that (i) wind speeds obtained from the POSEIDON weather forecasting system are, in general, in agreement with the measurements, except for high wind speeds which are systematically underestimated, (ii) the WAM model can successfully follow the monthly and over year trend of the evolution of wind and wave characteristics, but face significant problems for efficient sea-state forecasting. Finally, the overall pattern of the wind/wave climate for the entire Aegean Sea as obtained from the models is presented by means of the spatial distribution of the mean annual wind and sea-state intensity. 相似文献
80.
采用一致的地震震相和台网布局,应用昆明数字地震台网资料,对2002年月1月4日-1月7日的漾濞地震及序列作进一步核定,得出了更精确的地震震源位置,并作出三维空间图。 相似文献