回归分析在确定多金属硫化物矿石密度中的应用

在研究多金属硫化物矿床的特点,分析以往矿床勘查中确定矿石密度值难点的基础上,通过建立矿石密度值与矿石各组分的多元线性回归数学模型,预测矿床的矿石密度值。     

藏南冈底斯岩基东段中新世中酸性高Sr/Y比岩浆岩的地球化学特征及成因探讨

藏南冈底斯带广泛发育中新世中酸性高Sr/Y比岩浆岩,对该类型岩石的成因研究可为藏南后碰撞岩浆活动提供良好的记录和约束。通过对冈底斯带东段中酸性岩浆岩进行锆石U-Pb年代学研究表明,该中酸性岩浆岩形成于16～18Ma,为中新世时期;全岩地球化学数据表明岩浆岩具有高SiO_2含量( 64%),高钾富钠,高Sr、低Y和高Sr/Y比,轻稀土富集、重稀土亏损且较平坦的特征,显示出埃达克质岩的地球化学亲缘性;与冈底斯带中段～14Ma埃达克质闪长玢岩脉相比,冈底斯带东段的中新世岩浆岩具有更高的K含量;锆石Hf同位素分析结果表明,中新世中酸性岩浆岩具有正的且变化较大的εHf(t)值(+1. 2～+14. 4);全岩(La/Yb)N值对中新世地壳厚度的估算结果为77～84km,处于壳幔边界处。综合上述数据分析表明,冈底斯带东段中新世中酸性高Sr/Y岩浆岩的成因为拉萨地块加厚下地壳(占主体的新生下地壳+少量古老地壳)的部分熔融,并在源区残留了石榴子石和角闪石,造成熔融的热量来源可能为拉萨地体岩石圈根部拆沉导致的热扰动。     

Protecting Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (IAHS) by Industrial Integration Development (IID): Practices from China

With Globally Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (GIAHS) increasing in number around the world, their conservation has become a new international research theme. From the perspective of combining theoretical analyses and practical case applications, this study examines the Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (IAHS) conservation pathways and operation mechanisms through industrial integration development (IID). First, the theoretical framework of IID in IAHS sites was constructed according to the requirements of IAHS conservation, which include analyses of the connotation and basic principles of IID, the necessity of IID for IAHS sites, the resource conditions, and the IID pathways. And then based on the theoretical framework, the IID of Longji Terraces in Guangxi, Honghe Hani Rice Terraces System in Yunnan (HHRTS), Aohan Dryland Farming System in Inner Mongolia (ADFS), and Huzhou Mulberry-dyke & Fish-pond System (HMFS) in Zhejiang are analyzed systematically. The main finding is that IID is an effective pathway for IAHS conservation. However, the IID in IAHS sites must stress the ecological and cultural values of the resources; IID should be based on local resource advantages; and IID should attach importance to the combination of different policies and coordination between different stakeholders.     

基于MODE对模式预报强风风场的检验分析

基于专业气象服务领域十分关注的模式强风预报性能的客观检验和致灾性强风预警服务效果的合理性判别问题,利用一次强风过程对电网专业气象预警服务效果的检验示范,探讨基于目标(面向对象)的诊断检验方法(Method for ObjectBased Diagnostic Evaluation,MODE)对强风事件检验的适用性。通过对强风空间检验的各个关键参数的选择确定、匹配分析,发现:(1)MODE检验的卷积半径、诊断量权重和匹配阈值等参数的选择,将影响检验目标的适度聚焦和误差表达的客观性,因此需要综合考虑预报和实况场的水平分辨率、用户对该类强天气预报误差的空间和时间冗余度等;(2)MODE检验可较好地量化给出模式预报的整体效果,包括:强风落区的范围大小和位置偏差、强风过程的时间相位差等,从而可量化判别出模式在各个时刻的空报和漏报区域以及对强风过程移动速度和生命周期长度的预报性能。     

滇东北山区坡耕地土壤侵蚀的地形因子

通过在滇东北山区坡耕地上设置１８个不同坡度和坡长的试验小区,并进行连续３年实测,得到本区域土壤侵蚀地形因子（ＬＳ）的定量关系式,据此求得滇东北山区坡耕地土壤侵蚀的坡面地形效应（ＬＳ值）表。     

The Most Geomagnetically Disturbed 24 Hours

Geomagnetically disturbed periods, characterized by the maximum average 24-hour global disturbances are considered. Gumbel's first asymptotic distribution of extreme values is used to predict the occurrence of major magnetic storm periods. A geomagnetic storm similar to the one recorded on March 13 - 14, 1998, would be expected to occur within the next 13 solar cycles. The present analysis corroborates the substantial increase of the level of magnetic disturbances from solar cycle to solar cycle.     

重载铁路水泥改良膨胀土路基填料动弹模量及阻尼比研究

动弹模量与阻尼比是土动力学分析中的重要力学参数,考虑重载铁路荷载特征定量分析水泥改良膨胀土的动模量和阻尼比的较少。依托蒙西至华中地区铁路煤运通道(简称蒙-华铁路)工程为背景,采用南阳邓州市大山寨膨胀土,通过在不同频率、围压、固结比及动应力幅值下的持续振动三轴试验,研究了水泥掺量3%和5%水泥改良膨胀土的动弹模量及阻尼比,并与膨胀土素土进行对比分析。结果表明:水泥掺量3%和5%改良膨胀土的最大动弹模量约为膨胀土素土的3~4倍;在动弹模量-应变曲线中,动应变小于0. 002时表现为陡降段,动弹模量随动应变增长降幅达70%,而动应变大于0. 002时降幅较小,动弹模量随动应变增长趋于稳定;动弹模量随围压、频率、水泥掺量增加而增大,阻尼比随围压、固结比增加而减小;低应变水平下,固结比与动模量成正相关关系,高应变水平下,固结比与动弹模量成负相关关系。同时,对动弹模量及阻尼比进行了归一化分析,建立了估算动弹模量及阻尼比的经验公式。     

中蒙边界地区汇水域沉积物69种元素的背景值

中蒙边界地区成矿地质条件优越,是世界上重要的金属成矿省和全球3大斑岩型铜(金、钼)成矿带之一,资源潜力巨大。中蒙合作1∶100万地球化学填图采集了海量的地球化学数据,为研究该地区元素分散富集、成矿趋势、资源评价和环境变化提供基础数据,为“一带一路”资源布局提供决策依据。以X±3S为临界值一次性剔除离群值后的数据集的中位值作为背景值的估计值,计算了中蒙边界地区12个Ⅱ级构造单元和5个Ⅱ级成矿省的汇水域沉积物69种元素背景值,探讨了中蒙边界地区汇水域沉积物69种元素背景值的区域分布规律和特征。研究表明不同的地质背景导致元素的地球化学分布模式不同,不同构造单元具有显著差异的元素地球化学特征,元素的海量聚集为大型矿床的形成提供了充足的元素供给,形成特定的地球化学省。这些背景值为进一步深入开发利用中蒙边界地球化学填图数据提供了可供对比的基础数据。     

有机化学物质碳氮稳定同位素系列标准物质研制

实验室和研究人员所使用的碳、氮同位素标准物质一般由国际原子能机构(IAEA)获得,然而近年来,随着碳氮同位素在实验室质量监控、方法评价、仪器校准等方面的广泛应用,市场需求量不断增加, IAEA研制的碳、氮同位素标准物质的种类与数量逐渐不能满足科学研究快速发展的需求。我国急需研制适应当今分析技术水平的有机质碳氮同位素国家标准物质用以进行质量监控、方法评价、仪器校准。为保证量值传递精度,本文研制了4个有机化学物质的碳氮稳定同位素标准物质,其中3个为尿素样品,1个为L-谷氨酸。经检验4种标准物质的均匀性通过F值检验,标准物质的δ~(13)C和δ~(15)N值经过一年的稳定性检验,特征量值变化在测量方法允许的不确定度范围内,由此判定δ~(13)C和δ~(15)N值稳定性良好。由包括研制单位实验室在内的12家实验室协同定值,采用高温燃烧-气体同位素质谱法测定了δ~(13)C和δ~(15)N值,系列标准物质δ~(13)C和δ~(15)N认定值区间呈梯度分布,δ~(13)C值为-40‰～0‰,δ~(15)N值为-10‰～30‰,涵盖了我国天然样品中有机质碳氮稳定同位素组成范围;研制的系列标准物质δ~(13)C的定值扩展不确定度不大于0.08‰,δ~(15)N的定值扩展不确定度不大于0.09‰,定值水平与国际标准物质相当。该系列标准物质已被国家质检总局批准为国家一级标准物质,批准号为GBW04494～GBW04497。可被用于地质、生态、环境等多种样品δ~(13)C和δ~(15)N比值测定时的分析监控、仪器校准、方法评价、质量保证和质量监控。     

Main progress and prospect for China's hydrogeological survey

This paper reviewed the main achievements of hydrogeological survey in China, summarized the significant progress of hydrogeological survey over the past decade, and forecasted the key responsibilities for hydrogeological survey in the p14th Five-year Planq. The significant progress includes: China established the 1: 50 000 standard hydrogeological survey system with Chinese characteristics and produced the new generation of high-quality hydrogeological maps; the national groundwater monitoring project was completed and accepted, which marks China taking the leading position in groundwater monitoring internationally; fruitful results were achieved in the national groundwater quality survey, and groundwater quality background values were basically identified and checked; hydrogeological and environmental geological survey was continuously promoted in karst areas and the ecological restoration of rocky desertification achieved remarkable results; China strengthened layer exploration techniques for groundwater, integrating the key and practical techniques of layer exploration and monitoring; the exploration of groundwater in the poverty-stricken regions and old revolutionary base areas were effectively promoted to strongly guarantee the poverty alleviation and drinking water safety; the mystery of desert groundwater was uncovered, making up for the shortage of 1: 250 000 hydrogeological survey in the Badain Jaran Desert; and more efforts were made to conduct survey on the water resources in the basin, and to finish the unified measurement of national-scale groundwater level.