现代成矿预测若干理论述评

以成矿理论为支撑的现代成矿预测理论取得了长足的进展，对现代矿产勘查与评价实践工作具有重要的指导意义；据成矿预测理论近年来的进展，结合笔者等的研究工作体会，述评地质异常、矿床的成矿系列、矿床模型和超大型矿床勘查等成矿预测理论。     

海州式磷矿床地质特征及其成矿模式

海州式磷矿成矿物质有多种来源。磷元素在地壳发展过程中，随着磷矿成矿作用不同阶段物化条件等改变而变化，将成矿划分为沉积、变质及改造三阶段。中元古代早期海州群锦屏组，肥东群双山 ，宿松群柳坪组和虎踏石组及红安群七角山组下段为其“源”，磷块岩形成后，由于变质、混合岩化交代和风化淋滤作用，使磷质活化，在一定的空间富集成矿。     

夯扩桩半模夯扩试验及夯扩机理探讨

设计了夯扩桩半模夯扩试验，采用读数显微镜直接测读上体质点位移，获得了不同密度的均匀砂土中砂粒的位移，由此确定土体的位移场和密度场。借鉴魏西克（Ｖｅｓｉｃ）球形孔穴膨胀理论和梅耶霍夫（Ｍｅｙｅｒｈｏｆ）塑性剪切理论，结合模型试验成果，对夯扩机理作了探讨，并定性地提出了夯扩机理模式。     

X射线荧光测井的井液效应及其校正

本文从Ｘ射线的性质，以及Ｘ射线与物质作用的机理出发，对井液效应进行了研究，并对其影响过程进行模拟。在理想井液模型上，推导出Ｘ射线活度与钻孔参数的数理关系。在此基础上，进一步研究得到了能适应野外多变情况的井液效应校正公式（ＣＢＷＥ）和方法。     

地层模型的三维实体显示与剖切

本文介绍了地层模型的三维实体显示的原理与方法，同时又提出了沿任意方向垂直剖切地层模型的一种实用有效算法，它已用于交互式三维地层矿床显示系统ＧＤ－３ＤＷＳ，是三维地质解释的很好工具     

隧道开挖模拟计算中的模型识别方法初探

介绍了利用隧道施工的位移量测信息来选择计算模型的原理和方法。应用实例表明，本文所提出的方法有较好的应用前景。     

The identifiability of parameters in a water quality model of the Biebrza River, Poland

The identifiability of model parameters of a steady state water quality model of the Biebrza River and the resulting variation in model results was examined by applying the Monte Carlo method which combines calibration, identifiability analysis, uncertainty analysis, and sensitivity analysis. The water quality model simulates the steady state concentration profiles of chloride, phosphate, ammonium, and nitrate as a function of distance along a river. The water quality model with the best combination of parameter values simulates the observed concentrations very well. However, the range of possible modelled concentrations obtained for other more or less equally eligible combinations of parameter values is rather wide. This range in model outcomes reflects possible errors in the model parameters. Discrepancies between the range in model outcomes and the validation data set are only caused by errors in model structure, or (measurement) errors in boundary conditions or input variables. In this sense the validation procedure is a test of model capability, where the effects of calibration errors are filtered out. It is concluded that, despite some slight deviations between model outcome and observations, the model is successful in simulating the spatial pattern of nutrient concentrations in the Biebrza River.     

The hydrocarbon generation mechanism and the three-stage type model of hydrocarbon generation for carbonate source rocks

The diagenetic mechanism and process of carbonate rocks, which is different to that of clastic rocks, decides the existence of different existing state organic matters in carbonate rocks. This has been verified by both the microscopic observation of organic petrology and the analysis of organic geochemistry of many samples. Based on the hydrous pyrolysis simulation experiment of the low-mature carbonate rocks, the contrasting study on the yield and their geochemistry characteristics of different existing state soluble organic matters of a series of various maturity samples shows that the different existing state organic matters make different contributions to hydrocarbon generation during every evolution state. So that, the hydrocarbon generation process of carbonate rocks can be summarized as the following three stages: the first is the direct degradation of biogenic bitumen macromolecules during the immature stage, the second is the thermal degradation of a large amount of kerogen at the mature stage, the last stage is the expulsion or release of inclusion organic matter owing to the increased thermal expansion pressure during the high evolution stage. Part of achievements of the Eighth Five-Year National Science-Technology Key-Task Project “85-102-02-07”.     

Evolution model and formation mechanism of bio-thermocatalytic transitional zone gas

As a new genetic type of natural gas exploration area, the bio-thermocatalytic transitional zone gas (BTTZG) has been highly stressed by geologists both at home and abroad. Systematic study on the generation mechanism of hydrocarbon at the transitional zone is presented. Based on simulating experiments and geochemistry analysis of the source rock with lower evolution, a hydrocarbon-forming model at the transitional zone has been established. The mechanism is proposed that under the condition of low temperature and pressure combining with extremely active structural stress and clay mineral catalysis, BTTZG is formed by de-group of soluble organic matter and polarized compositions through orthocarbon ion as well as by condensation polymerization of aromatic ring-rich insoluble organic matter. This mechanism controls the formation of BTTZG, and furthermore, BTTZG is the product of superimposition and interaction of all the factors mentioned above.