刘公岛海洋牧场底层海水溶解氧浓度的变化特征

由于缺乏长期观测资料,前人对山东半岛邻近海域海水溶解氧的时间变化和空间分布特征的研究较少。本文基于威海刘公岛海洋牧场于2016年7月20日至2017年3月14日期间,利用生态环境实时在线观测系统获得的底层海水的温度、盐度、水深、溶解氧数据,分析了该牧场海水溶解氧浓度的时间变化特征及其影响因素,并探讨了低氧灾害发生的可能性。结果表明在观测期间,该牧场海水溶解氧浓度以季节变化为主,冬季最大、夏季最小,其中2月份平均值最高,约为10.86mg/L,8月份平均值最低,约为5.91mg/L。同时海水溶解氧浓度也存在显著的小时变化和日变化,且变化幅度于8月份最大、3月份最小。影响海水溶解氧浓度变化的主要因素是海水温度,溶解氧浓度随着温度的季节性变化而变化。夏季,水体分层会使溶解氧浓度发生大幅度的降低,大风过程对于溶解氧浓度也有一定的影响,通过打破夏季的季节性温跃层使水体发生垂向混合从而为海底提供氧气,但大风过程之后的几天会出现溶解氧浓度降低的现象。本次研究发现刘公岛海洋牧场在观测期间不存在低氧现象。     

A CRPS-Based Spatial Technique for the Verification of Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts

Traditional precipitation skill scores are affected by the well-known“double penalty”problem caused by the slight spatial or temporal mismatches between forecasts and observations. The fuzzy (neighborhood) method has been proposed for deterministic simulations and shown some ability to solve this problem. The increasing resolution of ensemble forecasts of precipitation means that they now have similar problems as deterministic forecasts. We developed an ensemble precipitation verification skill score, i.e., the Spatial Continuous Ranked Probability Score (SCRPS), and used it to extend spatial verification from deterministic into ensemble forecasts. The SCRPS is a spatial technique based on the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) and the fuzzy method. A fast binomial random variation generator was used to obtain random indexes based on the climatological mean observed frequency, which were then used in the reference score to calculate the skill score of the SCRPS. The verification results obtained using daily forecast products from the ECMWF ensemble forecasts and quantitative precipitation estimation products from the OPERA datasets during June-August 2018 shows that the spatial score is not affected by the number of ensemble forecast members and that a consistent assessment can be obtained. The score can reflect the performance of ensemble forecasts in modeling precipitation and thus can be widely used.     

大地电磁自适应正则化反演算法

针对大地电磁正则化反演中正则化因子的选取困难问题提出了自适应正则化反演算法（Adaptive Regularized Inversion Algorithm, ARIA）. 在该算法中, ①提出了一种新的数据方差处理方法：数据方差规范化,使得数据方差的大小只对数据的拟合发生影响,不对数据目标函数和模型约束目标函数的权重产生影响,从而减少了正则化因子取值的影响因素;②提出了粗糙度核矩阵的概念,并给出了由基本结构插值基函数计算粗糙度核矩阵的公式,使得模型目标函数的构建更为简便、直接;③根据数据目标函数、模型约束目标函数和正则化因子之间的关系,提出了两种正则化因子自适应调节方法. 本文详细阐述了最平缓模型约束下的大地电磁一维连续介质反演的ARIA实现,以几个算例的分析比较来说明ARIA的有效性.     

大连地区辐射雾与平流雾边界层温度场及风场对比

选取2008年3月和6月出现在大连及其沿海地区的辐射雾和平流雾过程,采用GTS1型数字式探空仪探测资料、能见度仪自动观测资料和常规观测资料,对其边界层温度场及风场结构特征进行了对比分析。结果表明,两种性质不同的大雾(辐射雾和平流雾)具有共同特征:都产生于纬向环流背景,中层东南暖湿气流为大雾的形成提供了充沛的水汽和热力条件。但两者存在明显的差异:底层东北风平流降温是辐射雾生成的重要条件,却造成了平流雾的消亡,底层东南风是平流雾生成的条件,却对应于辐射雾的消亡;辐射雾逆温厚而强,平流雾则为弱的逆温或无逆温;辐射雾生消演变对应于大气层结由稳定发展为不稳定,平流雾则对应于由不稳定趋于稳定。     

基于二次场电导率分块连续变化的三维可控源电磁有限元数值模拟

从电偶源三维地电断面可控源电磁法的二次电场边值问题及其变分问题出发,采用任意六面体单元对研究区域进行剖分,并且在单元分析中同时对电导率及二次电场进行三线性插值,实现电导率分块连续变化情况下,基于二次场的可控源电磁三维有限元数值模拟.这个新的可控源电磁三维正演方法可以模拟实际勘探中地下任意形状及电性参数连续变化的复杂模型.理论模型的计算结果表明,均匀大地计算的视电阻率误差和相位误差分别为0.002%和0.0005°.分层连续变化模型的有限元计算结果表明,其与对应的分层均匀模型解析结果有明显差异.三维异常体组合模型以及倾斜异常体等复杂模型的有限元计算结果也有效地反映了异常形态.     

气候变暖对湖泊热力及溶解氧分层影响研究进展

气候变暖对湖泊物理、化学、生物和生态系统有着复杂而深刻的直接和间接影响,而具体影响随研究区域和水体表现不尽相同。气候变暖通过改变湖泊热力和溶解氧分层进而影响湖泊生物过程和生态系统结构与功能。从全球湖泊变暖趋势、长期缓慢气温上升、极端高温事件以及气候情景模拟等方面详细综述了气候变暖对湖泊热力及溶解氧分层影响的研究进展。研究表明,全球不同区域湖泊均存在不同程度的变暖趋势;长期缓慢气温上升和短期极端高温均会造成湖泊热力分层提前,分层结束推迟,分层时间延长,混合层和温跃层深度下降,以及热稳定性增加;相伴随的是溶解氧扩散深度和氧跃层深度明显下降,加剧了湖泊底部好氧和厌氧环境。除了这种直接影响外,气候变暖引起的流域降水、入湖物质的变化以及风速的变化也会对湖泊热力和溶解氧分层产生许多间接的影响,因此未来仍然需要更多的实验证据、经验和数值模型来验证和预测气候变暖对湖泊热力及溶解氧分层的影响。     

Characterization of hard‐to‐differentiate dune stratification types in the Permian Coconino Sandstone (Arizona,USA)

Dune stratification types, which include grainfall, grainflow and ripple lamination, provide a record of the fine‐scale processes that deposited sediment on palaeo‐dune foresets. While these facies are relatively easy to distinguish in some cross‐bedded sandstones, for others – like the Permian Coconino Sandstone of northern and central Arizona – discrete stratification styles are hard to recognize at the bedding scale. Furthermore, few attempts have been made to classify fine‐scale processes in this sandstone, despite its renown as a classic aeolian dune deposit and Grand Canyon formation. To interpret depositional processes in the Coconino Sandstone, cross‐bed facies were characterized using a suite of sedimentary textures and structures. Bedding parameters were described at multiple scales via a combination of field and laboratory methods, including annotated outcrop photomosaics, strike and dip measurements, sandstone disaggregation and laser‐diffraction particle analysis, high‐resolution scans of thin sections, and scanning electron microscopy. Cross‐beds were observed to be laterally extensive along‐strike, with most dip angles ranging from the mid‐teens to mid‐twenties. While some cross‐bed sets are statistically coarser near their bases, others exhibit no significant vertical sorting trends. Both massive and laminated textures are visible in high‐resolution scans of thin sections, but laminae contacts are commonly indistinct, making normal and reverse grading difficult to define. Diagenetic features, such as stylolite seams and large pores, are also present in some samples and might indicate alteration of original textures like detrital clay laminae and carbonate minerals. Observed textures and sedimentary structures suggest that the cross‐beds may consist of grainflow and grainfall deposits, but these remain difficult to differentiate at outcrop and thin‐section scales. This characterization of fine‐scale processes will play a critical part in the development of depositional models for the Coconino Sandstone and elucidate interpretations for similar cross‐bedded formations.     

A coupling of mixed and continuous Galerkin finite element methods for poroelasticity I: the continuous in time case

In this paper, we formulate a finite element procedure for approximating the coupled fluid and mechanics in Biot’s consolidation model of poroelasticity. Here, we approximate the pressure by a mixed finite element method and the displacements by a Galerkin method. Theoretical convergence error estimates are derived in a continuous in-time setting for a strictly positive constrained specific storage coefficient. Of particular interest is the case when the lowest-order Raviart–Thomas approximating space or cell-centered finite differences are used in the mixed formulation, and continuous piecewise linear approximations are used for displacements. This approach appears to be the one most frequently applied to existing reservoir engineering simulators.     

区域性CORS系统监测地表形变的可行性

连续运行卫星定位服务系统(简称为CORS)已经在国内外广泛建立,CORS在维护区域大地测量基准和城市测绘工作中得到了非常广泛的应用。但在城市地面沉降监测方面,仍存在基准站的稳定性、测量精度对平面及高程形变影响等问题。这里提出了一套完整的基于CORS系统变形监测网的稳定性分析的方法和流程。采用秩亏自由网平差,以位移向量一次性范数最小原则求取监测网点最合理的位移量及权阵。采用正态分布函数对监测点的位移显著性进行检验。结合武汉市地面沉降监测项目,分析评价了武汉市连续运行卫星定位服务系统(简称为WHCORS)用于城市地表形变监测的可行性。     

三峡水库澎溪河流域高阳回水区夏季水体CO2分压日变化特性

水柱中CO2分压(pCO2)的时空分布在一定程度上可反映水中碳的环境地化特征.本研究在夏季分层期间对三峡水库澎溪河(小江)流域高阳回水区段进行了昼夜连续观测发现,恒定的温跃层中pCO2随水深增加而显著增大,表层0.5 m处pCO2均值为152±71μatm,而在水深10.0 m处pCO2均值为4568±1089μatm,同水温、pH及DO存在明显的负相关关系,进一步分析认为水温等将影响微生物、浮游植物的代谢过程及水气界面对流传输,进而对pCO2分布产生影响.对水气界面CO2扩散通量的估算结果表明,夏季分层期间高阳水域总体上表现为CO2的汇,其对大气CO2的吸收量最大值于15:00左右,达到-0.33 mmol/(m2.h);最弱在次日凌晨3:00左右,吸收量仅为-0.17 mmol/(m2.h).