Controlled‐source electromagnetic monitoring of reservoir oil saturation using a novel borehole‐to‐surface configuration

To advance and optimize secondary and tertiary oil recovery techniques, it is essential to know the areal propagation and distribution of the injected fluids in the subsurface. We investigate the applicability of controlled‐source electromagnetic methods to monitor fluid movements in a German oilfield (Bockstedt, onshore Northwest Germany) as injected brines (highly saline formation water) have much lower electrical resistivity than the oil within the reservoir. The main focus of this study is on controlled‐source electromagnetic simulations to test the sensitivity of various source–receiver configurations. The background model for the simulations is based on two‐dimensional inversion of magnetotelluric data gathered across the oil field and calibrated with resistivity logs. Three‐dimensional modelling results suggest that controlled‐source electromagnetic methods are sensitive to resistivity changes at reservoir depths, but the effect is difficult to resolve with surface measurements only. Resolution increases significantly if sensors or transmitters can be placed in observation wells closer to the reservoir. In particular, observation of the vertical electric field component in shallow boreholes and/or use of source configurations consisting of combinations of vertical and horizontal dipoles are promising. Preliminary results from a borehole‐to‐surface controlled‐source electromagnetic field survey carried out in spring 2014 are in good agreement with the modelling studies.     

Time‐lapse seismic imaging using regularized full‐waveform inversion with a prior model: which strategy?

Full‐waveform inversion is an appealing technique for time‐lapse imaging, especially when prior model information is included into the inversion workflow. Once the baseline reconstruction is achieved, several strategies can be used to assess the physical parameter changes, such as parallel difference (two separate inversions of baseline and monitor data sets), sequential difference (inversion of the monitor data set starting from the recovered baseline model) and double‐difference (inversion of the difference data starting from the recovered baseline model) strategies. Using synthetic Marmousi data sets, we investigate which strategy should be adopted to obtain more robust and more accurate time‐lapse velocity changes in noise‐free and noisy environments. This synthetic application demonstrates that the double‐difference strategy provides the more robust time‐lapse result. In addition, we propose a target‐oriented time‐lapse imaging using regularized full‐waveform inversion including a prior model and model weighting, if the prior information exists on the location of expected variations. This scheme applies strong prior model constraints outside of the expected areas of time‐lapse changes and relatively less prior constraints in the time‐lapse target zones. In application of this process to the Marmousi model data set, the local resolution analysis performed with spike tests shows that the target‐oriented inversion prevents the occurrence of artefacts outside the target areas, which could contaminate and compromise the reconstruction of the effective time‐lapse changes, especially when using the sequential difference strategy. In a strongly noisy case, the target‐oriented prior model weighting ensures the same behaviour for both time‐lapse strategies, the double‐difference and the sequential difference strategies and leads to a more robust reconstruction of the weak time‐lapse changes. The double‐difference strategy can deliver more accurate time‐lapse variation since it can focus to invert the difference data. However, the double‐difference strategy requires a preprocessing step on data sets such as time‐lapse binning to have a similar source/receiver location between two surveys, while the sequential difference needs less this requirement. If we have prior information about the area of changes, the target‐oriented sequential difference strategy can be an alternative and can provide the same robust result as the double‐difference strategy.     

Validation and comparison of Advanced Differential Interferometry Techniques: Murcia metropolitan area case study

This paper is focused on the analysis of the performance of Stable Point Network (SPN) and Coherent Pixel Technique (CPT), which are Advanced Differential Interferometry Techniques (A-DInSAR) that estimate, among other results, mean deformation velocity maps of the ground surface and displacement time series from a SAR dataset. The test site is the metropolitan area of the city of Murcia (Spain) where a moderate slow subsidence induced by the overexploitation of aquifers is present. SAR data acquired between July 1995 and August 2005 from ERS and ENVISAT sensors have been processed by the SPN and CPT techniques and compared with in situ instrumental measurements assumed as reference. Experimental results have shown that both SPN and CPT techniques provide estimates of the deformation evolution in time with an absolute difference below 6 mm consistently in all comparisons: SPN vs extensometer, CPT vs extensometer and SPN vs CPT. The proposed validation and comparison experiment between both A-DInSAR techniques has been useful to observe their differences and complementarities.     

大地形变资料用于地震预测的回顾与思考

对在大地测量学科用于地震预报及相关研究方面所了解的一些进展和历程进行了简要回顾和总结。 其中包括1975年海城地震、 1976年唐山地震、 1989年大同地震、 1996年丽江地震、 2001年昆仑山口西地震、 2005年乌什地震和2004年底的印尼8.7级特大地震等多次强烈破坏性地震及其观测到的形变异常现象和所做的预测研究成果, 显示大地测量, 特别是空间大地测量的发展对地震预测研究产生了明显的促进作用, 对多学科开展联合攻关研究及地震监测预报的宏观决策有一定的参考和指导意义。     

冬小麦旱情遥感监测模型研究

本研究依据土壤水量平衡及能量平衡的原理,提出了一套利用遥感方法监测冬小麦干旱及建模的方法。首先,用热惯性方法建立试区土壤表观热惯量与土壤水分的关系,用其估算初始土壤含水量(W_0);再用NOAA-AVHRR数字图像和气象数据相结合的方法估算冬小麦地的蒸散(E_t);从而根据水量平衡方程获得某一时段(旬)的土壤含水量(W_t);最后,根据冬小麦的需水规律和土壤有效水含量构造干旱指数模型。试验表明,此模型反映了作物干旱的本质,能大范围有效地监测作物旱情。     

气候变暖条件下,中(高)亚洲地区不稳定型冻土的巨大挑战和创新解决方案:——来自首届亚洲冻土大会及会后青藏高原考察的总结报告

首届亚洲冻土大会于2006年8月5~16日在兰州、青藏线和拉萨顺利召开.大会讨论主要包括以下5个议题:1)冻土工程;2)山区和高原冻融灾害及冰缘环境;3)冰冻圈的气候与环境条件;4)冻土水文、寒区水资源及土地利用,和;5)冻土监测、制图及模拟.国内论文大多集中于青藏铁路各种科技创新和工程(示范)建设方面.中亚冻土分类、制图和监测研讨会明确了制定统一的中亚地区冻土图的计划和实施方案.会议期间,国内主要新闻媒体对全球15位著名冻土学家进行了联合采访.大约80位中外代表参加了青藏(公)铁路沿线考察,并于8月15日在拉萨举行青藏铁路工程和环境问题讨论会.专家一致认为,青藏铁路所采取的冻土工程措施基本上是恰当、有效的,能够保证青藏铁路路基的长期稳定性.但是,沿线寒区环境保护问题还任重道远,需要尽快进行综合管(治)理,以达到青藏地区社会经济和谐、持续发展的目标.     

干旱监测与评价技术的发展及其科学挑战

由于气候变暖及人类活动加剧,干旱灾害对全球粮食、水资源和生态安全及人类可持续发展的威胁日益突出,对干旱决策服务和应急管理能力提出了严峻挑战,干旱监测预警、影响评估及应急管理等方面的技术水平亟待进一步提高.在系统总结以往研究成果基础上,阐述了对干旱气候、干旱和干旱灾害的科学认识,归纳了干旱气候、干旱和干旱灾害的成因及其主...     

近10年来中国主要农业气象灾害监测预警与评估技术研究进展

频繁发生的农业气象灾害制约着我国农业生产的快速、健康发展。农业气象灾害一直是广大气象科技工作者开展的主要研究课题之一。在国家科技攻关等计划的支持下,近10年来农业气象灾害研究取得了许多成果。完善农业气象灾害监测业务和预报服务,构建农业气象灾害风险评估、防御体系是农业气象灾害研究的重点。基于3S技术和地面监测相结合,构建了农业气象灾害动态监测系统,从宏观和微观角度来全面监测农业气象灾害的发生发展;建立和完善了卫星遥感监测系统,开展干旱、洪涝、冷害等灾害的动态监测,逐步建立集3S于一体的高空时空分辨率的灾害监测预警系统。农业气象灾害预警研究主要包括:数理统计预报方法进一步发展,农业气象模式与气候模式结合的初步尝试,GIS和网络等高技术在农业气象灾害预警中的应用,省级农业气象灾害预测系统的研制。我国农业气象灾害风险(影响)评估的研究,大致可以2001年为界分为二个阶段。第一阶段,以灾害风险分析技术方法探索研究为主的起步阶段,第二阶段,以灾害影响平度的风险化、数量化技术方法为主的研究发展阶段,构建灾害风险分析、跟踪评估、灾后评估、应变对策的技术体系;具体研究包括农业气象灾害风险分析、风险评估、风险区划和基于遥感监测信息的农业干旱评估。近年来我国农业气象灾害防御研究主要是将高效利用农业气候资源的主动防御技术和开发防灾制剂的被动防御技术相结合,在防御农业干旱和低温冷害方面取得了良好效果。     

华北及其周边地区秋季气溶胶光学性质的星载和地基遥感观测

利用2004～2009年秋季臭氧监测仪的3级观测资料,分析了华北及周边地区的气溶胶光学性质。结果表明:大部分区域气溶胶光学厚度(Aerosol Optical Depth,AOD)和气溶胶紫外吸收指数(Ultra Violet Aerosol Index,UVAI)平均值分别高于0.8和0.75;高气溶胶事件发生频次统计表明,AOD高值(>0.4)频发于北京及其周边地区,UVAI高值(>1.0)频发于河北中部及南部地区;华北及其周边地区绝大多数城市平均AOD和UVAI分别高于0.7和0.60,而张家口、承德和阳泉3个城市的平均AOD和UVAI值分别低于0.6和0.65。作者进一步研究了2006年10月30日的一次霾事件中气溶胶的光学性质以及其时空分布特征。结果表明,霾由华北地区输送至渤海海域,并向东北方向输送;香河地基EZlidar激光雷达的垂直观测结果进一步表明,工业和城市型气溶胶主要集中在1500m以下,其中高浓度部分集中于650m以下,平均峰值位于285m,平均消光系数达2.15km-1;CALIOP卫星观测资料结合后向轨迹分析表明,大气低层气溶胶类型以工业和城市型气溶胶为主,而高层则由于上游大气输送沙尘粒子的混入使气溶胶类型转变为污染—沙尘型。霾事件期间,香河站CE-318太阳光度计观测的AOD平均值(标准差)从背景值0.08(0.04)升高至1.17(0.14);ngstrm指数平均值(标准差)从背景值0.90(0.10)升至1.12(0.09);核模态、积聚模态和粗模态的气溶胶粒子数柱总量均增加,其中细粒子所占比例明显升高。