缓倾角塔柱状危岩压裂损伤-突变失稳预测

陡高边坡灰岩地区缓倾角塔柱状危岩常具有底部压裂诱发整体失稳破坏模式,其损伤-突变失稳机制属于山地灾害关键科学问题之一。以重庆南川区甑子岩W12#危岩崩塌为例,建立了荷载、水致弱化效应耦合下的损伤突变地质力学模型,获得了基于应变等价原理的损伤本构方程及总损伤度演化方程,并将水致弱化函数改进为软化系数的一元三次函数。将地质力学模型概化为等效弹簧模型,通过能量平衡原理建立损伤-折叠突变模型,获得了塔柱状危岩系统压裂失稳判据及临界突变位移特征值表达式。计算表明：W12#危岩压裂失稳时,该系统的控制变量为–0.003 251,小于0,表示该系统进入不稳定状态;计算理论突变位移起始值148.70 mm比实测位移第一拐点值154.34 mm偏小,相对误差约3.65%,偏于安全;理论损伤本构曲线、理论损伤演化曲线与现有文献数值模拟结果趋于一致,所构建的理论预测模型具有较好的适用性。其研究成果可用于预判塔柱状危岩压裂失稳损伤演化过程及突发失稳特征位移值,为灰岩区陡高边坡危岩崩塌监测预警和防灾减灾提供理论依据。     

北山霍勒扎德盖石炭系扫子山组岩石地层及古孢子化石特征

甘肃山北部霍勒扎德盖地区,分布着一套火山—沉积地层,对其进行岩石地层、区域对比及地层年代等方面的研究,划归扫子山组,并依据组内岩性差异划分为4个岩性段。该组的确定对研究哈萨克斯坦板块南缘地质演化历史有重要意义。     

钢筋混凝土建筑结构的抗地震破坏倒塌能力评估研究

在地震作用下钢筋混凝土建筑结构出现破坏倒塌为地震灾害中的关键,有效评估建筑结构抗地震破坏倒塌能力是建筑结构设计的前提,也是当前建筑结构提高抗震性能与加固的依据。提出变形指标极值、失效判断标准以及钢筋混凝土建筑结构倒塌极限状态判断标准,据此获取倒塌储备系数、倒塌易损性、结构整体超强系数、结构整体延性系数等评估标准。采用Pushover分析法选择相应地震波。依据梁柱线刚比对建筑结构抗倒塌能力的影响,以及柱端弯矩增加系数对建筑结构抗地震破坏倒塌能力的影响,对建筑结构易损性进行分析。结果表明:等跨建筑结构抗地震破坏倒塌能力更强;建筑结构底层是薄弱层,COF值越高,结构越容易倒塌。     

勃利盆地中生界地质特征与油气资源量计算

黑龙江省东部勃利盆地在早白垩世为陆缘断陷盆地。经晚白垩世和新近纪的构造反转改造后，呈改造残留型含油气、含煤盆地。该盆地在下白垩统发育有厚度较大的暗色泥岩和多套煤系地层。盆地内源岩有机质以生气为主，煤系地层为重要的气态烃的来源。在研究了勃利盆地中生界地质特征的基础上，运用蒙特卡罗法初步估算了盆地内的油气资源量，得出盆地油气资源量的概率分布函数图，取得不同概率下的油气资源量值。盆地的中部断陷为有利含油气区。研究结果为进一步在松辽盆地外围寻找油气资源提供了参考依据。     

相山、下庄铀矿田稀土元素特征对比

为了从大的区域上探讨铀矿的成矿作用,本文分别采集了相山、下庄两个铀矿田的围岩和矿石样品并用ICP-M S方法进行测定。结果发现两个铀矿田的围岩REE特征均为LREE富集型,具有明显的负铕异常。相山矿田的矿石富集REE特别是HREE,并且与铀含量呈正相关关系,矿石和围岩的负铕异常相同;下庄矿田的矿石亏损REE尤其是LREE,具有比围岩更强烈的负铕异常。认为两矿田的围岩都是由沉积岩为源岩的地壳物质部分熔融形成的,ΣCO2是两个铀矿田的主要矿化剂,也是铀和REE运移的主要载体,造成两矿石REE特征不同的主要原因是相山矿田围岩蚀变以酸性为主而下庄铀矿田围岩蚀变以碱性为主。     

基于声发射参量的煤样损伤模型研究

在单轴压缩下煤样损伤模型基本原理的基础上,推导出了基于声发射参量的煤样损伤模型。以原煤为研究对象,在单轴压缩下,对煤样进行声发射实验,验证了基于声发射参量的煤样损伤模型在煤样破坏前是可行的;分析了在单轴压缩下的声发射特性,并提出了基于＂归一化＂声发射累计计数的损伤变量,得到了在单轴压缩下煤样的应变—损伤方程和煤样的一维损伤本构方程。研究结果表明：声发射参量能够反映煤样内部原生裂隙的压密及新裂隙的产生、扩展、贯通等演化过程;基于声发射参量的煤样损伤模型是合理的,反映了声发射事件数和煤样损伤之间的对应关系;单轴压缩下的煤样损伤演化过程,可分为初始损伤阶段、损伤稳定演化和发展阶段、损伤加速发展阶段和残余损伤阶段4个阶段。     

孤山川流域近30年土壤侵蚀时空动态特征分析

目的 针对区域水土保持效益评价、土壤流失治理的需求,选择黄土高原土壤侵蚀较为严重的孤山川流域为研究区,定量研究了孤山川流域近30a的土壤侵蚀时空变异特征。结果表明,1975～2006年间,研究区土壤侵蚀的变化分两个阶段。第一阶段为1975～1986年,土壤侵蚀强度加剧,侵蚀面积增加了138.13km2,流域东南部增加最多;第二阶段为1986～2006年,全流域土壤侵蚀强度减弱,侵蚀面积减少了163.09km2,1986年和1997年,东部地区减弱趋势更明显。中度以上的土壤侵蚀主要发生在高程1 070～1 300m处,都对应于18°～35°的陡坡地;1975年和2006年,中度以上侵蚀分别集中在900～1 150和1 300～1 800,单位为 MJ·mm·hm-2·h-1。流域土壤侵蚀主要发生在耕地和林地。1975～2006年,耕地面积减少,林草地面积增加,土地利用向良性循环发展。可为认识黄土丘陵沟壑区I副区土壤侵蚀规律和该区土壤侵蚀防治宏观决策提供科学支撑。     

Evaluation of effectiveness of three fuzzy systems and three texture extraction methods for building damage detection from post-event LiDAR data

Building damage maps after disasters can help us to better manage the rescue operations. Researchers have used Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data for extracting the building damage maps. For producing building damage maps from LiDAR data in a rapid manner, it is necessary to understand the effectiveness of features and classifiers. However, there is no comprehensive study on the performance of features and classifiers in identifying damaged areas. In this study, the effectiveness of three texture extraction methods and three fuzzy systems for producing the building damage maps was investigated. In the proposed method, at first, a pre-processing stage was utilized to apply essential processes on post-event LiDAR data. Second, textural features were extracted from the pre-processed LiDAR data. Third, fuzzy inference systems were generated to make a relation between the extracted textural features of buildings and their damage extents. The proposed method was tested across three areas over the 2010 Haiti earthquake. Three building damage maps with overall accuracies of 75.0%, 78.1% and 61.4% were achieved. Based on outcomes, the fuzzy inference systems were stronger than random forest, bagging, boosting and support vector machine classifiers for detecting damaged buildings.     

Spatial-temporal characterization of the San Andreas Fault by fault-zone trapped waves at seismic experiment site,Parkfield, California

In this article, we review our previous research for spatial and temporal characterizations of the San Andreas Fault (SAF) at Parkfield, using the fault-zone trapped wave (FZTW) since the middle 1980s. Parkfield, California has been taken as a scientific seismic experimental site in the USA since the 1970s, and the SAF is the target fault to investigate earthquake physics and forecasting. More than ten types of field experiments (including seismic, geophysical, geochemical, geodetic and so on) have been carried out at this experimental site since then. In the fall of 2003, a pair of scientific wells were drilled at the San Andreas Fault Observatory at Depth (SAFOD) site; the main-hole (MH) passed a ～200-m-wide low-velocity zone (LVZ) with highly fractured rocks of the SAF at a depth of ～3.2 km below the wellhead on the ground level (Hickman et al., 2005; Zoback, 2007; Lockner et al., 2011). Borehole seismographs were installed in the SAFOD MH in 2004, which were located within the LVZ of the fault at ～3-km depth to probe the internal structure and physical properties of the SAF. On September 282004, a M6 earthquake occurred ～15 km southeast of the town of Parkfield. The data recorded in the field experiments before and after the 2004 M6 earthquake provided a unique opportunity to monitor the co-mainshock damage and post-seismic heal of the SAF associated with this strong earthquake. This retrospective review of the results from a sequence of our previous experiments at the Parkfield SAF, California, will be valuable for other researchers who are carrying out seismic experiments at the active faults to develop the community seismic wave velocity models, the fault models and the earthquake forecasting models in global seismogenic regions.     

考虑震害因子耦合作用的砌体建筑群破坏概率模型研究

砌体建筑群在地震中往往破坏严重损失巨大,合理评估地震作用对不同种类砌体结构造成破坏的风险变得至关重要。传统基于后验概率的地震危险性分析方法忽略了砌体建筑个体差异性的影响,未深入考虑多种震害因子的耦合作用。本文以华南地区砌体建筑群为例,开发了一种集成概率方法来对城市砌体结构的破坏风险进行建模,考虑建筑年代、层数、使用用途和墙厚四类震害因子的耦合影响,采用(Kolmogorov-Smirnov)K-S检验,在设定地震动参数下选取Gaussian分布、Log-Normal分布、Gumbel分布和Beta分布四种概率分布对该地区砌体建筑物的破坏状态概率分布参数进行拟合。通过均方根误差(Root Mean Square Error)RMSE进行拟合优度评价,最终建立基于Gaussian分布和Log-Normal分布的砌体建筑物破坏联合概率模型。最后,以华南地区三个城市典型砌体建筑物为例进行实例对比验证,将基于本文建立的建筑破坏概率模型推算出的砌体建筑群震害矩阵与基于单体结构分析得到的震害矩阵进行对比,与理论值最大偏差为0.033 3。研究表明：本文构建的集成概率方法能够获得更加合理的城市砌体建筑...