三峡水库汛期控制水位及运用条件

随着长江上游梯级水库的陆续建成投运，三峡水库的水文情势和功能需求与设计条件相比发生了显著变化，仍维持固定的汛限水位运行已不能适应新形势需求。本文通过辨析三峡水库设计阶段汛限水位的设置条件，挖掘流域洪水特性和洪水遭遇规律，论证三峡水库汛期运行水位动态控制的可行性。结果表明：① 三峡水库设计推求的汛限水位145 m的适用条件是应对流域性大洪水，而流域性洪水发生概率小且特征明显，可以通过水文水情分析提前预判。② 根据流域洪水类型、洪水分期和遭遇规律，预判发生区域性大洪水时，三峡水库6月初至梅雨期结束汛限水位按145 m设置，从梅雨期结束后逐渐提高水位，8月20日后过渡到155 m。③ 在考虑上游水库群联合调度和气象水文预报的配合下，正常年份三峡水库汛期运行水位可在155 m上下浮动，并考虑提前蓄水。④ 三峡水库汛期运行水位动态控制，不会增加防洪风险和库区淤积风险，对中下游江湖关系和水文情势有利，可显著提高发电、航运、生态保护和供水等综合利用效益。     

ON SOME KEY SEDIMENTATION PROBLEMS OF THREE GORGES PROJECT (TGP)

I. INTRODUCTIONThe Three Gorges Project (TGP) being planned is to be located on the Yangtze River at Sandouplug, 44 km upstream of Yichang (Fig. l). A scheme studied in the feasibility stage has the crest ofthe dam placed at 185 m with a maximums height o…     

The historically adjusted range and the historically rescaled adjusted range

It was remarked by Hurst in 1951 that the adjusted range gives the size of the smallest reservoir capable of providing a constant discharge equal to the mean inflow. Since that time this range and its rescaled modification, the Hurst range, have been widely discussed, not however primarily with a view to applying them to reservoir design problems, but rather on account of their possible relevance to the simulation of geophysical time series.Acknowledging the well-known conceptual weaknesses of adjusted ranges and the theoretical difficulties that inhibit their direct utilisation in the design and operation of real reservoirs, the authors argue that the interest displayed on ranges during the past few decades justifies the effort of eliminating one in particular of these weakness, namely their non-implementability as operating policies, a consequence of the fact that they can only be retrospectively evaluated. The paper proposes modifications in which the unknowable mean and standard deviation of future samples are replaced by the known mean and sample standard deviation of historical data, leading to the historically adjusted range and the historically rescaled and adjusted range. The latter is produced as an implementable approximation to Hurst's (1951) solution to the optimal reservoir problem.The expected values of the new ranges are evaluated and numerically tabulated.     

对蓬安县三元水库大坝外坡裂缝产生的原因及整治工程的探讨

本文通过对蓬安县三元水库大坝外坡裂缝产生的原因分析，进而运用岩、土力学的理论与方法反算推论出了裂缝的产生不是深层坝体土滑动引起的，而是局部浅层坝体土在水的诱发作用下作蠕滑-拉裂变形所产生的。在明确了大坝裂缝产生的原因后，提出了一系列相应整治工程措施，以达到彻底根治裂缝和稳固大坝的目的。     

石油物探技术的进展

概括地论述了石油物探技术在80年代的新进展.与70年代相比,80年代石油地球物理勘探技术取得了前所未有的成就;同时,也存在不少亟待解决的问题,且难度相当大.这些问题正是90年代所面临的研究课题.     

大化水库地震分析

大化水库自1983年蓄水后出现频繁的微弱地震,延续时间达7年,最大震为Ms1.7级,地震系列属震群型,初步判断属水库诱发地震。由于库区有活动断层且岩溶发育,地震诱发机制可能为断层孔隙水压力效应或岩液塌陷。从地震发展趋势分析,目前已处于衰减程过,预测今后不会有强震发生。     

GENETIC ANALYSIS OF ANOMALOUS VARIATION OF WATER TABLE IN CHANGPING WELL, BEIJING

Field investigation on hydrogeological environment around Changping well reveals that the anomalous uprise of 'water table begining from Oct. 1988 was mainly caused by the leakage of water from the channel leading to Shisanling Reservoir, but not the precursor of Datong-Yanggao earthquake in Shanxi Province in 1989     

A NUMERICAL MODEL FOR SEDIMENTATION IN FENHE RESERVOIR AND THE ADJOINING REACHES

In this paper, a numerical model for sedimentation in Fenhe Reservoir and the adjoining reaches has been presented on the basis of the theory of non-equilibrium sediment transport. The model is calibrated by using a part of the sediment data collected for Fenhe Reservoir and checked by simulating the remaining data. Moreover, the method of optimization in nonlinear programming has been applied to determine the basic parameters of the model applying a concept of fuzzy mathematics to formulate the objective functions. The computed amounts of reservoir deposition and channel deformation arc found to be substantially in agreement with the values observed.     

新丰江水库区1989年11月26日4.5级地震的主要特征

本文总结分析了发生在新丰江水库老震区，距1962年6.1级主震27年的1次4.5级地震的活动和特点，认为此次4.5级地震及其伴生的小震群仍系新丰江水库诱发地震序列的中晚期强余震。     

THE RIVER CHANNEL ADJUSTMENT AS INFLUENCED BY THE FLOODPLAIN GEOECOSYSTEM： AN EXAMPLE FROM THE HONGSHAN RESERVOIR

ＴＨＥＲＩＶＥＲＣＨＡＮＮＥＬＡＤＪＵＳＴＭＥＮＴＡＳＩＮＦＬＵＥＮＣＥＤＢＹＴＨＥＦＬＯＯＤＰＬＡＩＮＧＥＯＥＣＯＳＹＳＴＥＭ：ＡＮＥＸＡＭＰＬＥＦＲＯＭＴＨＥＨＯＮＧＳＨＡＮＲＥＳＥＲＶＯＩＲ￥ＸＵＪｉｏｎｇｘｉｎ；ＳＨＩＣｈａｎｇｘｉｎｇ（Ｐｒ...