降雨及地下水对边坡稳定性动态影响的初步研究

论述了降雨及地下水对边坡稳定性的动态影响及作用特征。这种影响特征具有典型的周期性和滞后性，通过对坡体地下水位的动态模拟，取得了边坡稳定性随时间而变化的规律认识。     

京津唐地区地壳结构与强震的发生──I．P波速度结构

用１９８４－１９９１年发生在京津唐地区（３７°－４１°Ｎ，１１２．５°－１２０°Ｅ）的２５０５个地震的２２２３４条Ｐ波到时进行的层析成像，揭示了地震活动性与速度图像间的联系：１．公元１０００年以来该区强震震中在上地壳的投影大多分布在高速块体内或高速块体与低速块体相交地带，偏高速体的一侧．２．唐山地震和三河－平谷地震所处的构造背景相似，均未依傍大断层，处在介质速度变化剧烈部位．３．宁河与唐山、滦县分别位于规模大小、位置深浅不同的两个不同的高速块体处，可以解释唐山地震序列震源深度分布东北浅西南深的总体特征．４．唐山地震可能是由一条北西向的地下隐伏断层扩展的结果．     

台风影响期间珠江三角洲局地强风暴和大暴雨发生的环境条件

采用１９７６－１９８３年６－８月珠江三角洲地区受台风影响期间区内各站逐日的强风暴和降水资料以及广泛站的探空资料，用相关对比度分析方法，对台风环流中的珠江三角洲局地强风暴和大暴雨发生的环境条件进行统计诊断，得出台风影响珠江三角洲时这两种强天气发生的有利的环境条件，并发现二者在气压、风速、层结稳定度和中下层位势不稳定等方面显著不同。     

北京西山南部构造序列初探

笔者利用解析构造学方法,初步确定了本区的构造序列。它反映了从下部构造层次到上部构造层次的系统变化,从早期的层内固态流变经压扁作用和弯曲作用到后期的剪切破裂变形过程中岩石韧性递减的系统演变。由于岩浆侵入而使其间增加了一个韧性再增强的变形期。     

北京西山水平分层剪切流变构造初探

对比国内外关于变质岩区构造变形序列的实例,可知第一世代的构造变形几乎都以发育不同尺度的强烈扁平化平卧褶皱和有关的轴面流劈理或片理,以及近水平的韧性剪切带等构造组合为特征。北京西山的情况也不例外。这可能代表变质岩区早期构造变形的一种普遍模式,可能是地壳较深构造层次发生大规模透入性水平剪切流变的反映     

Statistics on the sizes and internal structures of rainshowers

A large sample of radar reflectivity data from essentially a full summer of operation was analyzed to determine the horizontal extents and internal structure of rain areas observed at altitude levels from 2 to 10 km. Results are given on the size distributions of individual cells or patches defined by reflectivity thresholds approximately 4 dBz apart, on the dependence of mean size on altitude and reflectivity threshold, and on the interior structure of the patches as characterized by the number and sizes of higher-threshold patches contained in each echo. In a more detailed analysis of internal structure, the data were restricted to convective echoes in which certain prescribed reflectivities, ranging from about 30 to 50 dBz, were exceeded. It was found that the dependence of mean quantities, such as patch area, on reflectivity and altitude could be approximately described by simple functions, but that the scatter of observations about the mean was usually large.     

Improving the accuracy of tipping-bucket rain records using disaggregation techniques

We present a methodology able to infer the influence of rainfall measurement errors on the reliability of extreme rainfall statistics. We especially focus on systematic mechanical errors affecting the most popular rain intensity measurement instrument, namely the tipping-bucket rain-gauge (TBR). Such uncertainty strongly depends on the measured rainfall intensity (RI) with systematic underestimation of high RIs, leading to a biased estimation of extreme rain rates statistics. Furthermore, since intense rain-rates are usually recorded over short intervals in time, any possible correction strongly depends on the time resolution of the recorded data sets. We propose a simple procedure for the correction of low resolution data series after disaggregation at a suitable scale, so that the assessment of the influence of systematic errors on rainfall statistics become possible. The disaggregation procedure is applied to a 40-year long rain-depth dataset recorded at hourly resolution by using the IRP (Iterated Random Pulse) algorithm. A set of extreme statistics, commonly used in urban hydrology practice, have been extracted from simulated data and compared with the ones obtained after direct correction of a 12-year high resolution (1 min) RI series. In particular, the depth–duration–frequency curves derived from the original and corrected data sets have been compared in order to quantify the impact of non-corrected rain intensity measurements on design rainfall and the related statistical parameters. Preliminary results suggest that the IRP model, due to its skill in reproducing extreme rainfall intensities at fine resolution in time, is well suited in supporting rainfall intensity correction techniques.     

北京地区春末-秋初气溶胶理化特性的观测研究

分析了1997年5～9月和1998年4～9月北京整层大气气溶胶光学厚度、近地面气溶胶粒子数浓度的日变化、季节变化及其与气象要素的关系,还分析了 1997年5月16日、7月21日和8月2日收集的北京单个气溶胶粒子样品的形态、大小和化学元素组成.结果显示,北京地区春末-秋初整层大气气溶胶光学厚度在0.1～1.6之间变化;气溶胶数浓度(D>0.3μm)为几～几百个/cm3;整层大气气溶胶光学厚度的日变化型式与近地面气溶胶数浓度呈现相反的走向;气溶胶光学厚度和数浓度的日、季节变化显示了整层大气和近地面大气气溶胶与该地区气象、气候条件的关系.气溶胶数浓度与大气相对湿度呈正相关,与风向的关系是偏东风数浓度大,西、西南风数浓度小.电子显微镜分析的结果表明:颗粒物的形态以不规则形、丸形、液态滴形和方形为主;颗粒物化学元素组成有Si、K、S、Al、Mg、Ca、Fe等元素;人类活动排放的Zn、P、Ti、pb、Ba等元素也探测到;北京近地面粒子的一个显著特点是富含Ca和K元素,它们可能分别来自建筑粉尘和有机物的燃烧;给出了一个典型的碳黑粒子和一个粒子经过凝结过程的"卫星"滴环绕的矿物粒子的照片和元素谱图.     

大气中对称不稳定机制的动力学分析及暴雨的分析与预报

用气块法从力学角度对对称不稳定机制及在对称不稳定条件下产生的环流进行分析，更全面地定义了对称不稳定及它的产生机制和中尺度环流形成的过程。对暴雨个例诊断分析表明，有些强降水区在降水前和降水过程中存在着不对称不稳定，说明对称不稳定条件下形成的环流对暴雨有引发和加强作用。在以往研究原基础上，总结出了利用常规观测资料分析对称不是否存在，及其能量大小的方法，用它来预报是否降水及降水的强度，从而提高降水预报准确率。     

北京十三陵地区中—新元古界碳酸盐岩Pb—Pb年龄研究

对北京十三陵地区中一新元古界碳酸盐岩进行了系统地采样和207pb/204pb-206Pb/204Pb年龄测定.共测定了63个样品(大部分样品采取两种溶解方式),得到中元古界雾迷山组第三段的207Pb/204pb-206Pb/204pb等时线年龄为1373±92Ma(95%置信度误差,下同,MSWD＝4.7),杨庄组为1488±55Ma(MSWD＝14),高于庄组第三段为1608±74Ma(MSWD＝8.1).这些年龄数据与目前已有地质记录相吻合.串岭沟组的碳酸盐相的206Pb/204Pb-207Pb/204Pb未构成等时线,但全岩的206Pb/204pb-207Pb/204Pb比碳酸盐相具有更明显的线性趋势,其原因尚待进一步研究.另外,根据同一个样品用稀盐酸溶解和用氢氟酸加硝酸混合酸溶解的铅同位素比值的接近的现象,显示碳酸盐岩中的硅质没有陆源的特征,是沉积盆地中的产物.