基于有效固结应力法确定结构性黏性土不排水抗剪强度

由于结构性的存在使得很多天然黏性土的强度和变形特性不同于重塑土和非结构性土。首先回顾了适用于确定重塑土和非结构性土不排水抗剪强度的有效固结应力法,并推导了相应的方程。在此基础上,对于结构性黏性土,采用两段不同斜率（内摩擦角正切）和截距（黏聚力）的直线模拟其抗剪强度包络线,建立了确定其不排水抗剪强度的有效固结应力法方程;当有效应力小于结构屈服应力时,有效固结应力方程中有效应力部分需乘以0.8的修正系数;只要已知剪切前的有效应力,利用相应的有效固结应力法公式,可确定结构性土体的不排水抗剪强度。利用连云港结构性软黏土的等压固结三轴试验数据,验证了有效固结应力法的适用性。分析表明：对于连云港软黏土的不排水抗剪强度,有效固结应力法的计算结果与试验结果吻合较好;对于结构屈服应力,有效固结应力法的预测结果与试验数据点的拟合结果有一定偏差,但并不明显。     

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基于层次分析法的城市非工程性防震减灾能力综合评价模型

城市非工程性防震减灾能力对于降低城市地震灾害具有重要作用,但该概念中含有众多影响因素,而且与城市的空间分布情况有关。为了科学的评价分析该能力,本文采用了层次分析法对城市非工程性防震减灾能力各影响因素进行分析,建立多层次结构模型,确定各因素影响权重,并将其嵌入Arc GIS平台,关联城市空间分布形成数据库,开发了城市非工程性防震减灾能力评价系统,实现了快速评价和结果可视化,可以有效提高决策效能,为未来城市非工程性防震减灾规划提供了有力支撑。     

Generalized failure envelope for caisson foundations in cohesive soil: Static and dynamic loading

The response of massive caisson foundations to combined vertical (N), horizontal (Q) and moment (M) loading is investigated parametrically by a series of three-dimensional finite element analyses. The study considers foundations in cohesive soil, with due consideration to the caisson-soil contact interface conditions. The ultimate limit states are presented by failure envelopes in dimensionless and normalized forms and the effects of the embedment ratio, vertical load and interface friction on the bearing capacity are studied in detail. Particular emphasis is given on the physical and geometrical interpretation of the kinematic mechanisms that accompany failure, with respect to the loading ratio M/Q. Exploiting the numerical results, analytical expressions are derived for the capacities under pure horizontal, moment and vertical loading, for certain conditions. For the case of fully bonded interface conditions, comparison is given with upper bound limit equilibrium solutions based on Brinch Hansen theory for the ultimate lateral soil reaction. A generalized closed-form expression for the failure envelope in M–Q–N space is then proposed and validated for all cases examined. It is shown that the incremental displacement vector of the caisson at failure follows an associated flow rule, with respect to the envelope, irrespective of: (a) the caisson geometry, and (b) the interface conditions. A simplified geometrical explanation and physical interpretation of the associativity in M-Q load space is also provided. Finally, the derived failure envelope is validated against low (0.67 Hz) and high frequency (5 Hz) dynamic loading tests and the role of radiation damping on the response of the caisson at near failure conditions is unraveled.     

一种改进的粘土亚塑性本构模型

简要地介绍了Herle和Kolymbas针对黏土建立的亚塑性本构模型的方法。结合黏土的特性以及对响应包络线的分析,详细地列出了HK模型几个尚未解决的问题,并对该模型3个参数分别进行了改进,建立了改进后的HK亚塑性公式以及参数的确定方法。改进后的模型继承了HK模型参数少、易确定以及公式简洁等特点,使HK模型不仅具有严密的数学和力学基础,而且具有较好的实际意义。     

基于层次分析的辽宁地区震情指标预警模型研究

根据辽宁及邻区地质构造与地震活动特点,结合1970年以来该区中强震震例,分辽南和辽蒙交界两个小区分别提炼了中强震预警判据。在此基础上,利用层次分析法,建立了辽宁地区基于时间尺度的地震震情指标预警模型。     

基于AHP的新疆南天山西段中强地震预测指标体系及效能评估

本文从新疆南天山西段地区映震效果较好的预测指标出发, 采用AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process, 层次分析法)建立了新疆南天山西段地区预测指标体系。 在此基础上, 应用1～9比率标度法构建相应的判断矩阵, 进而计算各指标的权重。 结果显示, 几项映震效果较好的指标中, 权重值相对较大的是短期预测指标中的形变异常和部分测震学参数。 同时AHP模型也给出了新疆南天山西段有无中强地震的综合判断指标Y, Y值可较好地反映新疆南天山西段地区中强地震的震兆强弱程度和异常可靠性, 当Y≥2.191时, 新疆南天山西段地区短期内存在发生中强地震的危险。     

破坏包络面理论在多基础系统中的应用研究

由多个分离基础组成的多基础系统是常用的海洋结构基础型式。基于破坏包络面理论,分析了砂土地基多基础系统的失效模式,建立了相应的承载力计算方法,并验证了计算方法的可行性。对比分析了单一基础和多基础系统不同荷载路径下的荷载安全系数,探讨了破坏包络面理论与分项系数法相结合的基础承载力计算方法。失效模式的分析表明,由于水平荷载的增大,四腿平台结构迎浪侧基础首先到达破坏包络线,其失效模式属于滑动失稳,但由于基础间的运动约束,其并不会出现真正的滑移破坏。随着水平荷载进一步地增大,迎浪侧基础承担的水平和竖向荷载不断减小,导致背浪侧基础受到不断增大的荷载。最终,背浪侧基础也到达破坏包络线,多基础系统失效。分析表明,荷载路径对基础的荷载安全系数有决定性的影响,计算基础的荷载安全系数需指明相应的荷载路径。鉴于破坏包络面的大小和形状取决于众多因素,基础设计时需采用特定工况下的破坏包络面进行承载力计算。     

基于层次分析法的多尺度点群目标相似度计算

计算不同尺度下空间目标的相似性是GIS研究的热点问题之一。点群是地理空间群组目标的一种,研究其相似性可对空间群组目标的计算机制图结果进行评价。以往的理论研究主要从影响点群目标的单一因子出发,对影响点群目标的简单因子进行分析,并以此提出相应计算模型。为了研究点群目标在不同尺度下的相似性问题,本文在前人研究的基础上,整合了影响点群目标相似性的主要因子（包括拓扑关系、方向关系、距离关系、分布范围和分布密度）,并分别提出拓扑相似度、方向相似度、分布范围相似度、距离相似度分布和密度相似度的计算模型,从整体上把握计算点群目标的相似性。通过层次分析法,赋予5种因子相应的权重,最后集成不同尺度下点群目标相似度的总体计算模型。经过计算验证,该方法能较准确地计算不同尺度下点群目标的相似程度,为制图综合质量做出评价。     

The Circular Economic Development Level of Beijing’s Service Sector Based on AHP Modeling

As a mega-city constrained by resources and the environment, Beijing has developed a leading service sector, and it is necessary to evaluate the service sector circular economy in this major global city. Here, we establish an indicator system including internal subsystem (economic production, resources consumption, waste emissions, and waste recycling), external subsystem (industry correlation) and mutualistic subsystem (society development), and use AHP modeling to evaluate the period from 2000 to 2013. We found that the development of the service sector circular economy in Beijing experienced an increase from 2000 to 2008, then a decrease from 2009 to 2013. This change mainly resulted from the decrease in Beijing’s GDP following the international financial crisis in 2008. The internal subsystem greatly influences the service sector circular economy:synthetic weight of economic production, resource consumption, waste emissions and waste recycling was 0.367,0.136,0.136 and 0.075, respectively. Within the external subsystem, industrial correlation has a weak connection with Beijing’s service sector circular economy with asynthetic weight of 0.143, this result illustrates that the development of the service sector circular economy has an intimate relationship with other cities or provinces around Beijing, such as Tianjin and Hebei. As are presentative of the mutualistic subsystem, society development has a positive nexus with the service sector circular economy with asynthetic weight of 0.143, proving that the development of the service sector circular economy can improve the service sector employment ratio in Beijing. We conclude with some suggestions on how to develop the service sector circular economy in Beijing.