Seasonal Forecasting for Climate Hazards: Prospects and Responses

One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatichazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communicationchannels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information.     

建立涌水量曲线方程的最小残差法

本文在综述了目前稳定流涌水量经验方程建立方法的基础上,根据最小二乘法原理,提出了一种新的方法—最小残差法,并给出了计算实例。计算表明,最小残差法是建立稳定法涌水量经验方程的一种较好方法,计算过程在微机上易于实现。     

L_p估计的计算问题

本文对Ｌｐ估计的直接算法进行了详细的分析和讨论，由于直接算法效率低，文中提出了一种快速算法（残差逐步下降法），采用可变尺度因子来修正Ｈｕｂｅｒ的常数尺度因子。最后，以实例加以分析和说明。     

吉黑东部斑岩型-浅成热液型铜金矿床多重成矿模型

通过四个典型矿床（小西南岔、闹枝、五凤和刺猬沟）的对比，发现它们在形成时间-空间一成因上既相互联系，又相互区别。小西南岔和闹枝矿床存在三个成矿流体系统：加热天水系统(A)、排放流体系统(B)、蒸气缕(steam plume)反应系统(C)；五凤和刺猬沟矿床只有一个成矿流体系统，即排放流体系统(B)。前者的成矿流体由浅成岩浆房的补给；后者的成矿流体主要为循环天水，浅成岩浆房的补给不明显。小西南岔金铜矿床产于中生代火山岩盆地边缘的隆起带，属于斑岩型矿床；闹枝金（铜）矿床产于中生代火山岩盆地内的断隆块，属于斑岩-浅成热液过渡型矿床；五凤和刺猬沟金（银）矿床产于中生代火山岩盆地内断裂带，属于浅成热液型矿床。在区域成矿上，由浅入深，浅成热液型斑岩-浅成热液过渡型和斑岩型构成多重成矿模型。     

钙质土力学性质研究现状与进展

概述了钙质土的成因，在世界范围内的分布及一般性质，综述了国内外对钙质土静、动力学性质研究持现状与进展，得到有关结论并提出今后应加强研究的方向。     

吉黑东部斑岩型－浅成热液型铜金矿床多重成矿模型

通过四个典型矿床（小西南岔、闹枝、五凤和刺猬沟）的对比，发现它们在形成时间－空间－成因上既相互联系，又相互区别。小西南岔和闹枝矿床存在三个成矿流体系统：加热天水系统（Ａ）、排放流体系统（Ｂ）、蒸气缕（ｓｔｅａｍｐｌｕｍｅ）反应系统（Ｃ）；五凤和刺猬沟矿床只有一个成矿流体系统，即排放流体系统（Ｂ）。前者的成矿流体由浅成岩浆房的补给；后者的成矿流体主要为循环天水，浅成岩浆房的补给不明显。小西南岔金铜矿床产于中生代火山岩盆地边缘的隆起带，属于斑岩型矿床；闹枝金（铜）矿床产于中生代火山岩盆地内的断隆块，属于斑岩－浅成热液过渡型矿床；五凤和刺猬沟金（银）矿床产于中生代火山岩盆地内断裂带，属于浅成熟液型矿床。在区域成矿上，由浅入深，浅成热液型斑岩－浅成热液过渡型和斑岩型构成多重成矿模型。     

Big spatial data for urban and environmental sustainability

ABSTRACT

Eighty percent of big data are associated with spatial information, and thus are Big Spatial Data (BSD). BSD provides new and great opportunities to rework problems in urban and environmental sustainability with advanced BSD analytics. To fully leverage the advantages of BSD, it is integrated with conventional data (e.g. remote sensing images) and improved methods are developed. This paper introduces four case studies: (1) Detection of polycentric urban structures; (2) Evaluation of urban vibrancy; (3) Estimation of population exposure to PM2.5; and (4) Urban land-use classification via deep learning. The results provide evidence that integrated methods can harness the advantages of both traditional data and BSD. Meanwhile, they can also improve the effectiveness of big data itself. Finally, this study makes three key recommendations for the development of BSD with regards to data fusion, data and predicting analytics, and theoretical modeling.     

Estimation and improvement in the geolocation accuracy of rational polynomial coefficients with minimum GCPs using KOMPSAT-3A

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we propose a method to regenerate Rational Polynomial Coefficients (RPCs) using KOMPSAT-3A imagery and to reduce the geolocation error using minimum ground control points (GCPs). To estimate the new RPCs, the physical sensor model fitted to KOMPSAT-3A imagery was utilized and virtual GCPs over the study area were created. The size of the virtual grid used was 20x20x20. To remove the sensor-related errors in physical sensor model, three different image correction models (image coordinate translation model, shift and drift model, and affine transformation model) were additionally applied. We evaluated our proposed method in two areas within Korea, one in urban (Seoul) and one in rural (Goheung) areas. The results showed that there was a significant improvement after applying the suggested approach in the two areas. The image coordinate translation model is suggested in terms of GCP requirement and expected errors estimated from the error propagation analysis using Gauss–Markov Model (GMM).     

CT-1地震计传递函数测试仪的设计

将计算机控制技术应用到甚宽频带地震计的传递函数测试中。讨论了基本的测试方法和原理，阐述了传递函数测试系统的软、硬件设计，给出了测试系统的应用实例。该测试系统具有正弦波自动扫频、阶跃信号法和脉冲信号法等标定方法，满足了甚宽频带地震计的传递函数测试在观测频带、动态范围和测试精度等方面的要求。     

基于“网络工程”的GPS联测资料分析我国在欧亚板块中的运动规律

应用“中国地壳运动观测网络”1998年到 2 0 0 0年的多期 GPS联测数据 ,得到“网络工程”基准站和基本站各点在 ITRF97框架下的速度场 ,以及相对于 NNR- NUEARL1A模型的中国大陆板内运动速度场和相对于某一单站 (如 CHAN站 )的速度场 ,并对速度场信息的可靠性进行了初步分析。