Projected Shifts in Kppen Climate Zones over China and Their Temporal Evolution in CMIP5 Multi-Model Simulations

Previous studies have examined the projected climate types in China by 2100. This study identified the emergence time of climate shifts at a 1?scale over China from 1990 to 2100 and investigated the temporal evolution of K o¨ppen–Geiger climate classifications computed from CMIP5 multi-model outputs. Climate shifts were detected in transition regions(7%–8% of China's land area) by 2010, including rapid replacement of mixed forest(Dwb) by deciduous forest(Dwa) over Northeast China, strong shrinkage of alpine climate type(ET) on the Tibetan Plateau, weak northward expansion of subtropical winterdry climate(Cwa) over Southeast China, and contraction of oceanic climate(Cwb) in Southwest China. Under all future RCP(Representative Concentration Pathway) scenarios, the reduction of Dwb in Northeast China and ET on the Tibetan Plateau was projected to accelerate substantially during 2010–30, and half of the total area occupied by ET in 1990 was projected to be redistributed by 2040. Under the most severe scenario(RCP8.5), sub-polar continental winter dry climate over Northeast China would disappear by 2040–50, ET on the Tibetan Plateau would disappear by 2070, and the climate types in 35.9%and 50.8% of China's land area would change by 2050 and 2100, respectively. The results presented in this paper indicate imperative impacts of anthropogenic climate change on China's ecoregions in future decades.     

超强台风“威马逊”(2014)云微物理特征的模拟与对比分析

采用中尺度数值模式WRFv3.5对2014年超强台风“威马逊”进行数值模拟。利用雷达、卫星、自动站逐时降水资料,对比单参数WSM6云方案和双参数WDM6云方案在模拟台风路径、强度、降水分布及水成物含量上的差异,分析雨滴粒子的谱型特征及微物理源、汇项对云中雨水含量的影响。与上海台风研究所的最佳路径数据对比显示,两方案均较好地模拟出了台风“威马逊”的移动路径,WDM6方案的整体路径误差更小;模拟的强度差异则较为显著,WDM6方案的海平面最低气压值偏高,强度偏弱。两方案模拟的累积降雨分布虽与自动站实测资料基本一致,但WDM6方案模拟的强降水概率偏高,弱降水概率偏低。两方案模拟的对流区雪、霰、雨水含量均大于TRMM卫星反演结果,且WDM6方案的对流云较多,总体雨水含量偏高;两方案均模拟出了雷达回波分布的整体特征,但眼区尺度偏大,WDM6方案在融化层以下缺少眼墙之外的弱回波区且大于39 dBz的强回波区偏多,同样显示了雨水含量（或尺度）偏大。由于WDM6方案为暖雨（云、雨水）双参数模式,对云滴活化、云雨转换及云、雨谱型有一定的改进,其能较合理地模拟出雨滴谱随台风发展的演变特征;模拟显示,云、雨滴的收集碰并及固态粒子的融化是雨水的主要源项,WDM6方案增加了云雨水自动转化率及雨水碰并云水率,导致该方案的空中雨水含量偏高,且随高度的降低快速减小;此外,由于WDM6方案使用简单的寇拉公式进行云滴活化,初始云凝结核数的变化即可造成雪、霰、云雨水含量的改变,故建议在具体大气气溶胶条件下,对方案中的云滴生成参数化过程做相应的调整。     

基于 EIGEN6C2模型的 Kaula 规则精化

高精度重力场模型精化Kaula规则其要点是将Kaula规则乘上一个与位系数阶数项相关的二阶有理函数,并基于EIGEN6C2重力场模型解算有理函数模型的系数。精化后的Kaula规则与EIGEN6C2模型和EGM2008模型的逼近误差都只是原来Kaula规则的0.26%。因此,精化后的Kaula规则更能正确表示各阶引力位的实际能量,对于重力场模型的解算提供更加合理的约束。     

溴素的有机化学Ⅵ.多溴代邻羟基苯甲酸—2,3,5,6—四溴—1,4—苯二酯的合成

由邻羟基苯甲酸、１，４—苯二酚和溴素起始，经溴代、氧化—溴代、形成酰氯和酰化等步骤，合成了三种新的多溴代邻羟基苯甲酸—２，３，５，６—四溴—１，４—苯二酯。通过对产物溴含量、ＩＲ和１ＨＮＭＲ的分析，验证了产物的结构     

用13C-NMR光谱法研究几种红藻含硫半乳聚糖的结构特征

于１９８９年８月对采自青岛地区的５种红藻用冷水和热水分步提取或直接加热提取方法制备含硫半乳聚糖，对其多糖进行的＾１３Ｃ－光谱分析结果表明，扁江蓠多糖主要由琼胶糖和６－硫酸基－琼胶糖组分构成，海萝和多管藻多糖主要由６－硫酸基－琼胶糖组成，并含微量琼胶糖前体，６－ＯＣＨ３－琼胶糖组分，此两种藻的热水提取物中还含有微量２－ＯＣＨ３－琼胶糖，三叉仙菜的热水提取多糖主要由琼胶糖的前体组成；从海膜多糖谱图的信     

溴素的有机化学 Ⅳ．单取代苯甲酸多溴代芳酯的合成

报导合成了四种新的单取代苯甲酸多溴代芳酯：４－溴苯甲酸－２＇，４＇，６＇－三溴苯酯，双（４－溴苯甲酸）－２＇，３＇，５＇，６＇－四溴－１＇，４＇－苯二酯，双（４－羟基苯甲酸）－２＇，３＇５＇，６＇－四溴－１＇，４＇－苯二酯和双（２－羟基苯甲酸）－２＇，３＇，５＇，６＇－四溴－１＇，４＇－苯二酯。     

长江三角洲地区1万年以来洪水与气候变化的关系

对长江三角洲地区埋藏古树、泥炭以及海相贝壳测年资料作了分析，结果表明，长江下游地区1万年以来古洪水的发生与气候变化有着密切的联系，洪水频繁发生的时期往往也是气候转型期。由于长江三角洲地区地势低平这一地貌特征使海面变化对于研究区洪水发生有着重要的影响，气候变化导致的海面上升对长江下游河段径流的顶托作用导致河流上溯以及地面排水不畅，导致洪水发生频率加大以及洪水灾害程度的加强，以至于出现“小水大灾”的现象。长江三角洲地区古洪水发生频率与美洲地区古洪水发生频率的对比研究结果表明，长江三角洲地区乃至整个长江流域在大的气候变化趋势上与全球其他地区可能有着遥相关关系，既有全球气候变化的特点，同时又具有区域响应的特征。     

IPCC AR6报告解读:强化技术和管理创新的交通运输部门减碳路径北大核心CSCD

IPCC第六次评估报告第三工作组报告交通运输章评估了该行业温室气体的减缓措施和转型路径。1990年以来,全球交通运输部门温室气体排放量一直增长,2019年已经成为全球第四大排放源,仅次于电力、工业以及农业、林业和其他土地利用(AFOLU)部门,其增长速度超过其他最终用途行业。报告强调了交通减排的重要性,主要的减排措施包括三方面:首先是减少需求,其次是对陆路交通部门进行脱碳,再次是对重型的水运和航空运输等进行脱碳。评估的多种燃料和动力技术处于不同的商业化水平,它们未来应用时间节点和规模各有不同。对于陆路交通来说,需要继续推进电气化;对于水运和航空来说需要进一步应用低碳技术,并优化国际管理机制;从中长期来看,所有部门都需要强调运输服务需求管理和运输效率的提升。情景相关的文献评述分析表明,全球温升目标要求全经济部门采取减排措施,特别是交通电气化的减排潜力在很大程度上取决于电力部门的脱碳。如果不采取减缓措施,交通运输部门排放在2050年可能增长65%(相对2010年);如果成功实施减缓战略,该部门的排放量将减少68%,这也与全球1.5℃温升目标要求相一致。关于这些减缓措施的分析和判断,对我国交通运输部门实现碳中和与碳达峰具有重要的参考意义。     

Using Rock‐Eval 6 pyrolysis for tracking fossil organic carbon in modern environments: implications for the roles of erosion and weathering

This work relates to the debate on the fossil organic carbon (FOC) input in modern environments and its possible implication for the carbon cycle, and suggests the use of Rock‐Eval 6 pyrolysis as a relevant tool for tracking FOC in such environments. Considering that such a delivery is mainly due to supergene processes affecting the continental surface, we studied organic matter in different reservoirs such as bedrocks, alterites, soils and rivers in two experimental catchments at Draix (Alpes de Haute Provence, France). Samples were subjected to geochemical (Rock‐Eval 6 pyrolysis) investigations and artificial bacterial degradations. After comparing the geochemical fingerprint of samples, geochemical markers of FOC were defined and tracked in the different reservoirs. Our results confirm the contribution of FOC in modern soils and rivers and display the various influences of weathering and erosional processes on the fate of FOC during its exchange between these pools. In addition, the contrasting behaviour of these markers upon the supergene processes has also highlighted the refractory or labile characters of the fossil organic matter (FOM). Bedrock to river fluxes, controlled by gully erosion, are characterized by a qualitative and quantitative preservation of FOM. Bedrock to alterite fluxes, governed by chemical weathering, are characterized by FOC mineralization without qualitative changes in deeper alterites. Alterite to soils fluxes, controlled by (bio)chemical weathering, are characterized by strong FOC mineralization and qualitative changes of FOM. Thus weathering and erosional processes induce different FOM evolution and affect the fate of FOC towards the global carbon cycle. In this study, gully erosion would involve maintenance of an ancient sink for the global carbon cycle, while (bio)chemical processes provide a source of CO₂. Finally, this study suggests that Rock‐Eval 6 pyrolysis can be considered as a relevant tool for tracking FOC in modern environments. Copyright
69; 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.