形变,应变短临前兆标志体系的应用研究

文献「３」中给出了标志体系的整体框架结构和各标志的内容，本文讨论标志体系的进一步应用问题。首先讨论了异常信息合成的几种形式，然后根据标志体系的特点，给出了前兆追踪分析的方案；最后将专家系统的有关理论瑟形变应变前兆标志体系相结合，给出了一个地震预报专家系统的逻辑结构。     

华北地区地震时间结构的多分形特征

利用固定半径法和直接计算法系统研究了华北地区（Ｎ３０°～４３°，λＥ１０６°～１２５°）１３个Ｋ表性子区地震时间结构的广义维数Ｄｑ—ｑ及标度指数谱ｆ（ａ）—ａ的特征，并与单—Ｄｑ—ｔ曲线进行了对比。结果表明；（１）华北地区地震时间结构为多分形结构，单一分形不能完整地描述其分形特征，应该用Ｄｑ—ｑ或ｆ（ａ）—ａ来加以分析；（２）华北强震前的０．５～２．０年．周围地区地震活动的时间多分形结构出现异常，主要表现为ｑ为负时Ｄｑ增大、ｑ为正时Ｄｑ减小，或ｆ（ａ）两端点下降，ａ跨度增大及顶点右偏等现象，这是对地震密集—平静现象的另一种描述；（３）华北地区地震时间多分形方法回顾性预报评分Ｒ＝０．４７，说明其有一定预报效能，是有前景的预报方法。     

和硕5.0级地震气体地球化学异常特征

１９９５年３月１９日，新疆和硕县那音克乡发生Ｍｓ５．０级地震。震前，乌鲁木齐地区地下水中溶解气体Ａｒ、ＣＨ４、ＣＯ２、Ｈ２Ｓ等和库尔勒地区的断层气Ｒｎ相继出现明显的异常。异常具有短期临震性质，主要表现为短期趋势升高，临震突跳。     

五大连池火山构造地震空间分布及其构造含义

在对五大连池地震台１９８３年以来观测到的五大连池火山区的地震记录复核的基础上，测定了火山构造地震的空间分布状态。研究结果表明该地区地震活动均为壳内地震。受火山构造环境影响，地震活动存在着外围边缘强，震源深度分布深；内部弱，震源深度分布浅的差异。火山区内部地震深度分布优势在５ｋｍ—８ｋｍ，有３个地震分布密集区，震中分布呈明显的沿火山构造断层成带分布特性。在地震条带交汇处，震源深度起伏变化大，是火山构造活动强烈部位     

评估地震人员伤亡的软件系统

设计了地震人员伤亡评估系统软件包，并利用该系统对北京地区假定地震发生后的人员伤亡进行了预测。为设计该系统，建立了北京地区的人口数据库、唐山和邢台地震人员伤亡数据库，对一天中人在不同时间段逗留在房屋内部的概率进行了讨论，从而建立了地震人员伤亡评估的数学模型。该系统作为地震灾害评估系统的子系统，主要用于地震人员伤亡的快速评估     

结构主动控制和混合控制的装置和方法

本系统讨论了土木工程结构的主动控制和混合控制设备的构造和性能及其实际应用的效果；对一般非线性优化控制方法及其效用做了分析介绍；对当前土木工程结构控制研究中存在的困难和问题以及今后的发展趋势进行了分析讨论和展望。     

唐山7.8级强震孕育条件及前兆场时空演化的三维数值模拟计算与分析

首先对由深部地震测深剖面观测综合归纳出一个华北地区岩石圈１２层三维非均匀实际模型在承受和不承受来自底面的上拱力条件下的应力场进行了数值模拟计算，并根据计算结果对唐山地震孕震条件及长期前兆进行分析研究。     

Morphological characteristics of the earthquake surface ruptures on Awaji Island, associated with the 1995 Southern Hyogo Prefecture Earthquake

Abstract The earthquake surface ruptures on the northern side of Awaji Island accompanying the 1995 Southern Hyogo Prefecture Earthquake in Japan consist of three earthquake surface rupture zones called the Nojima, Matsuho, and Kusumoto Earthquake Surface Rupture Zones. The Nojima Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone is - 18 km long and was formed from Awaji-cho at the northern end of Awaji Island to Ichinomiya-cho. It occurred along the pre-existing Nojima geological fault in the northern segment and as a new fault in the southern segment. The northern segment of the Nojima Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone is composed of some subparallel shear faults showing a right-step en echelon form and many extensional cracks showing a left-step en echelon form. The southern segment consists of some discontinuous surface ruptures which are concentrated in a narrow zone a few tens of meters in width. This surface rupture zone shows a general trend striking north 30°-60° east, and dipping 75°-85° east. The deformational topographies and striations on the fault plane generated during the co-seismic displacement show that the Nojima Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone is a right-lateral strike-slip fault with some reverse component. Displacements measured at many of the outcrops are generally 100-200 em horizontally and 50-100 em vertically in the northern segment and a few em to 20 em both horizontally and vertically in the southern segment. The largest displacements are 180 em horizontally, 130 em vertically, and 215 em in netslip measured at the Hirabayashi fault scarp. The Matsuho Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone striking north 40°-60° west was also found along the coastline trending northwest-southeast in Awaji-cho for ～1 km at the northern end of Awaji Island. The Kusumoto Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone occurred along the pre-existing Kusumoto geological fault for ～ 1.5 km near the northeastern coastline, generally striking north 35°-60° east, dipping 60°-70° west. From the morphological and geomorphological characteristics, the Nojima Earthquake Surface Rupture Zone can be divided into four segments which form a right-step en echelon formation. The geological and geomorphological evidence and the aftershock epicenter distributions show clearly that the distributions and geometry of these four segments are controlled by the pre-existing geological structures.     

动态空区法在永登5.8级地震回顾性预报中的应用

研究了永登５．８级地震前地震活动异常特征，并应用秦保燕提出的地震动态空区的原理和地震频次起伏加剧，研究了１９９５年永登５．８级地震的孕震过程，对地震三要素进行了回顾性预报。结果表明，预测结果与实际地震发生的时间、强度和地点十分接近