The Statistical Analysis of Migration of Strong Earthquakes-Taking the North China Region asan Example

The migration of strong earthquakes is an important research topic because the migration phenomena reflect partly the seismic mechanism and involve the prediction of tendency of seismic activity. Research on migration of strong earthquakes has mostly focused on finding the phenomena. Some attempts on getting regularity were comparatively subjective. This paper suggests that there should be indices of migration in earthquake dataset and the indexes should have statistical meaning if there is regularity in the migration of strong earthquakes. In this study, three derivative attributes of migration, i.e., migration orientation, migration distance and migration time interval, were statistically analyzed. Results in the North China region show that the migration of strong earthquakes has statistical meaning. There is a dominant migration orientation (W by S to E by N), a dominant distance ( ≤ 100kin and on the confines of 300 ～ 700km), and a dominant time interval ( ≤ la and on the confines of 3 - 4a). The results also show that the migration will differ slightly with different magnitude range or earthquake activity phase.     

似海底反射的地震速度和AVO效应

我们将浓度和压力作为一个函数得到冰和含气体水合物的地震波速度。同以往以简单的慢度和平均模量及双相模型为基础的理论不同，我们使用了Biot类型的三相理论，这一理论考虑了二种固体（颗粒和冰或笼形物）和一种液体（水）的存在，以及一个含气和水的多孔隙基质。对于固体的Berea砂岩，低于0℃时的纵波理论估计值过低，在含有冰－颗粒相互作用和颗粒胶结时与实验数据产生了好的吻合。严格地讲，水的比例与温度紧密相关。假定已知孔隙的平均半径和标准偏差，那么在一给定温度下的波速拟合就能对整个温度范围的速度进行预测。通过一个粘弹性的单相结构模型来计算反射系数。本文的分析是针对游离气带的顶部（位于含气体水合物的沉积层下）和底部（上履于饱含水的沉积层）进行的。如果似海底反射仅仅是由于胶结气体水合物与含游离气沉积层的分界面造成，我们可以得出结论：（1）在一定的气体饱和度下，很难估算低浓度情况下气体水合物数量。然而，水合物的高、低浓度还是可以区分的，因为它们分别呈现正和负的异常；（2）游离气和饱和度可以从反射振幅中而不是从异常类型中获取；（3）P波转化为S波的反射系数是指示高含量的气体水合物和游离气一个较好指示。另一方面，对于未胶结的沉积物，振幅随偏移距变化曲线总是为正。