基于EMD-NAR神经网络的大坝变形预测

为了使大坝变形的预测精度更高,针对大坝形变量的时间序列中存在着非平稳和非线性等曲线特性,使用一种经验模态分解(EMD)和非线性自回归动态神经网络(NAR)相结合的EMD-NAR模型对大坝形变时间序列进行预测。以某大坝实测的时间序列数据为算例,分别使用BP模型、NAR模型和EMD-NAR模型进行实验对比,结果表明,BP、NAR、EMD-NAR模型预测的均方根误差(RMSE)分别为0.9449,0.6993,0.4678;模型预测的平均相对误差(MRE)分别为0.1492,0.1065和0.0688,从三种模型预测结果对比可知,组合的EMD-NAR模型预测精度最高且稳定性最好,为时间序列的大坝形变预测提供一种新的参考思路。     

双层钙钛矿La1.8 Ca1.2 Mn2 O7 磁性相关I-V非线性与电输运性质

采用传统固相反应法制备了双层钙钛矿结构锰氧化物La_1.8Ca_1.2Mn₂O₇陶瓷,并用X射线粉末衍射法,扫描电镜,HL5500PC Hall效应分析仪和综合物性测量系统(PPMS)对其磁、电性质进行了表征.结果表明:经过两次高温烧结可合成具有双层Sr₃Ti₂O₇型四方结构的La_1.8Ca_1.2Mn_2<     

Fatigue Characteristic Analysis of Deepwater Steel Catenary Risers at the Touchdown Point

This paper presents fatigue characteristic analysis of a deepwater steel catenary riser (SCR) under ambient excitations. The SCR involves complex nonlinear dynamic behaviors, especially at the touchdown point (TOP) where the riser first touches the seafloor. Owing to the significant interaction with soil, the touchdown zone is difficult to be modeled. Based on Lumped-Mass method and P-y curve, nonlinear springs are used to simulate the SCR-seabed coupled interaction. In case studies, an SCR's dynamic features have been obtained by transient analysis and the structure fatigue assessment has been carried out by S-N approach. The comparative analysis shows that the TOP is the key location where soil-riser interaction rises steeply and minimum fatigue life occurs. Parameters such as ocean environment loads, vessel motions, riser material and geometric parameters are discussed. The results indicate that the vessel motion is the principal factor for the structure fatigue lite distribution.     

自转向酸酸化体系的室内研究及现场应用

长庆三叠系油藏非均质性强,微裂缝发育,常规酸化时酸液易进入高渗带或微裂缝,进一步扩大出水通道,酸化后含水大幅度上升。针对这一问题,研制出一种新型黏弹性表面活性剂SUA-3—Gemini季铵盐自转向酸液体系,由于SUA-3分子结构中含有两个烷基和两个季铵盐,所以用其配置的胶束流体具有良好的黏弹性。该体系在60℃时与碳酸钙反应过程中黏度能迅速达到460 mPa·s,待体系pH值升高到6时,遇油黏度迅速降低至78 mPa·s,在地层中能够形成自转向,达到均匀布酸,自动破胶的目的。在现场进行了初步的应用,增产效果显著。     

Underground water quality model inversion of genetic algorithm

The underground water quality model with non-linear inversion problem is ill-posed, and boils down to solving the minimum of nonlinear function. Genetic algorithms are adopted in a number of individuals of groups by iterative search to find the optimal solution of the problem, the encoding strings as its operational objective, and achieving the iterative calculations by the genetic operators. It is an effective method of inverse problems of groundwater, with incomparable advantages and practical significances.     

Adomian分解法在完全非线性S-G方程中的运用

为分析具有高非线性强度下的偏微分方程的初值问题,简化变量分离等方法带来的繁杂计算,研究了一类完全非线性Sine-Gordon方程以及它的近似方程(在|up|很小的情况下),经过适当的函数变换,运用改进的Ado-mian分解法解决了一些特殊情况下它们的初值问题,结合Talyor级数展开式,得到了一些精确解:扭结解(kink)、紧孤子解(compacton)、多重紧孤子解、compacton-kink解.另外运用线性化的方法结合不同形式的解得到它们一些更加丰富的新形式的精确解.     

引入模型误差的非线性回归模型

在第一类非线性回归模型中,经常出现病态问题,它严重影响计算结果的精度。提出了一种引入模型误差求解部分参数的方法,这种方法可以改变病态性质,提高对部分参数的求解精度。通过算例来检验这种方法的可行性并探讨它的使用范围。     

多元优化城市建设用地需求量预测模型

本文根据建设用地需求量与社会经济发展指标之间存在的内在关系,提出了基于多元优化组合的建设用地需求量预测模型。文中选择总人口、GDP、全社会固定资产投资、财政支出总额四项指标作为自变量、以年建设用地量作为因变量,基于单变量拟合方程对建设用地增量的精度贡献,构建多元非线性组合模型,并用土地利用效率变化修正系数修正模型结果,预测新增建设用地量。对未来建设用地需求量做出合理的预测,有利于政府部门关于土地的使用与规划,避免了有限土地资源的浪费[1]。     

Stability Analysis on Speed Control System of Autonomous Underwater Vehicle

The stability of the motion control system is one of the decisive factors of the control quality for Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV).The divergence of control,which the unstable system may be brought about,is fatal to the operation of AUV.The stability analysis of the PD and S-surface speed controllers based on the Lyapunov' s direct method is proposed in this paper.After decoupling the six degree-of-freedom (DOF) motions of the AUV,the axial dynamic behavior is discussed and the condition is deduced,in which the parameters selection within stability domain can guarantee the system asymptotically stable.The experimental results in a tank and on the sea have successfully verified the algorithm reliability,which can be served as a good reference for analyzing other AUV nonlinear control systems.     

Analysis on Motion and Cable Dynamic Tension for An ALT-Tanker System

A two-degree freedom model for an ALT-tanker system is established corresponding to the pitch of the ALT and the surge of the tanker.Tension in the mooring cable between the ALT and the tanker is represented by an unsymmetrical,piecewise-nonlinear function.Wave load on the tower is evaluated by use of the Morison equation.The first order wave load acting on the tanker is calculated by the linear diffraction theory based on the 2-D Helmholtz equation,and the near field approach of Pinkster is used to evaluate the second order drift force.The dynamic equation of motion is established based on the principle of D'lembert.Dynamic response and cable tension of a mooring system composed of an 88.4 m ALT and a 100000 t grade tanker are calculated.The influence of wave frequency,wave excitation amplitude,wind and current force on ALT-tanker motion and cable tension is discussed.