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41.
2002年我国天气气候特点   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4       下载免费PDF全文
陆均天 《气象》2003,29(4):32-36
2002年我国主要天气气候特点为:全国降水量偏多,但时空分布不均,北方地区早春和伏秋少雨,受旱范围广,华南沿海地区别冬春夏初少雨连旱;汛期内无大范围或持续的强降水过程发生,但长江中下游一带春汛明显,北方雨季偏早,南方部分地区暴雨洪涝及局地山洪、泥石流、滑坡等灾害较重。全国大部地区气温偏高,但起伏变化较大。沙尘天气时段集中,影响范围广,强度偏强。登陆我国的台风(包括热带风暴)个数接近常年;冰雹、龙卷风等强对流天气偏多。  相似文献   
42.
对太平洋北部持续性异常的研究表明,正、负异常的形热从发生、发展到消亡的演变过程十分相似,它们都始于东亚及西太平洋区域距平形势的变化,并在北太平洋及东亚地区出现一规则排列的距平异常区域,东亚及整个北半球的大气环流也相应地发生变化。太平洋北部环流的持续性异常对东亚特别是中国夏季的天气异常有重要影响。诊断分析和数值试验表明,夏季太平洋北部大气环流发生持续性异常与太平洋中低纬的海温异常关系密切。  相似文献   
43.
一次暴雨过程多普勒天气雷达风场资料分析   总被引:1,自引:2,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
俞莲芬  陈大任  张代平 《气象》1997,23(2):25-28
通过对199御7月14日的大-暴雨天气过程所获取的3824多普勒天气雷达平均径向风场资料的分析,发现边界层急流与较强的降水相伴。表明多普勒天气雷达对中小尺度天气系统和灾害性天气预报有预警作用。  相似文献   
44.
杨燕  纪立人 《大气科学》1997,21(5):533-534
用数字滤波方法对观测资料序列进行处理,得到初始场用于T42L9全球谱模式的月预报,以去除误差增长较快的高频扰动对低频过程的影响,并且利用多时刻的观测资料提取低频过程的信息。对冬季和夏季两个不同个例进行了实例,并比较了取不同长度的观测序列,截取不同周期的过程作为初值对预报效果的影响。结果说明,经过滤波后对低频分量和平均场的预报都有显著的改进。而且对于较长时效的预报,应保留更低频的过程(比如10d以上  相似文献   
45.
国外中期数值预报业务模式的性能及发展趋势   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
杨学胜 《气象》1997,23(1):3-10
作者简单介绍了国内预报员较为熟悉的欧洲中期天气预报中心,美国国家气象中心和日本气象厅三个中期预报模式的性能及预报效果,包括近几年颇为流行的半拉格朗日时间积分方案,物理过程参数化方案的完善和改进,中期数值预报业务模式的发展趋势等。  相似文献   
46.
 A significant proportion of stream sediment yield in North America comes from stream channel and bank erosion. One method used for stream stabilization is the bank installation of timber and stone fish-shelter structures, but there is little evidence for their potential effectiveness. Nine to nineteen years of precise survey data from Coon Creek, Wisconsin, however, show that fish structures enhance sediment deposition along the stream and may retard lateral migration of channels. Such structures have greater utility for sediment control when streams are eroding away a high bank and replacing it with a lower bank. Received: 18 October 1996 · Accepted: 4 February 1997  相似文献   
47.
A nonparametric resampling technique for generating daily weather variables at a site is presented. The method samples the original data with replacement while smoothing the empirical conditional distribution function. The technique can be thought of as a smoothed conditional Bootstrap and is equivalent to simulation from a kernel density estimate of the multivariate conditional probability density function. This improves on the classical Bootstrap technique by generating values that have not occurred exactly in the original sample and by alleviating the reproduction of fine spurious details in the data. Precipitation is generated from the nonparametric wet/dry spell model as described in Lall et al. [1995]. A vector of other variables (solar radiation, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average dew point temperature, and average wind speed) is then simulated by conditioning on the vector of these variables on the preceding day and the precipitation amount on the day of interest. An application of the resampling scheme with 30 years of daily weather data at Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, is provided.  相似文献   
48.
During bedload movement by saltation, streamwise momentum is transferred from the ?ow to the saltating grains. When the grains collide with other grains on the bed or in the ?ow, streamwise momentum is reduced, and there is a decrease in streamwise ?ow velocity and an increase in ?ow resistance, herein termed bedload transport resistance fbt. Based on experiments in two ?umes with ?xed and mobile plane beds and previously published data, an equation is developed that may be used to predict fbt for both capacity and non‐capacity ?ows. The variables in this equation are identi?ed by dimensional analysis and the coef?cients are determined by non‐linear regression. This equation applies to rough turbulent open‐channel ?ows, where the relative submergence is between 1 and 20 and the entire sediment load moves by saltation. An investigation of the relative magnitudes of fbt and grain resistance fc suggests that where dimensionless shear stress θ is less than 1 and saltation is the dominant mode of bedload transport, fbt/fc increases with θ but never exceeds 1. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
49.
A comparison has been made between the hydraulic geometry of sand‐ and gravel‐bed rivers, based on data from alluvial rivers around the world. The results indicate a signi?cant difference in hydraulic geometry among sand‐ and gravel‐bed rivers with different channel patterns. On this basis, some diagrams for discrimination of meandering and braided channel patterns have been established. The relationships between channel width and water discharge, between channel depth and water discharge, between width–depth ratio and water discharge and between channel slope and water discharge can all be used for channel pattern discrimination. The relationship between channel width and channel depth can also be used for channel pattern discrimination. However, the accuracy of these relationships for channel pattern discrimination varies, and the depth–discharge relationship is a better discriminator of pattern type than the classic slope–discharge function. The cause for this difference has been explained qualitatively. To predict the development of channel patterns under different natural conditions, the pattern discriminator should be searched on the basis of independent or at least semi‐independent variables. The relationship between stream power and bed material grain size can be used to discriminate channel patterns, which shows a better result than the discriminator using the slope–discharge relationship. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
50.
The closure of third stage diversion channel for the Three Gorges Dam is characterized by large closure discharge, large drop in water surface, and high gap velocity. 1D and 2D flow mathematical models were used in this paper to simulate the hydraulic conditions during the closure. The variation of discharge in the diversion channel and the drops in water surface shared by the upstream and downstream cofferdams were computed using the ID model, and the detailed hydraulic patterns in the diversion channel were simulated using the 2D model. The computed results indicate that the designed closure scheme for discharge of 9,010 m^3/s was feasible for construction, while the designed closure scheme for discharge of 12,200 m^3/s was inapplicable.  相似文献   
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