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Flavia Burger Alvaro Ayala David Farias Thomas E. Shaw Shelley MacDonell Ben Brock James McPhee Francesca Pellicciotti 《水文研究》2019,33(2):214-229
We present a field‐data rich modelling analysis to reconstruct the climatic forcing, glacier response, and runoff generation from a high‐elevation catchment in central Chile over the period 2000–2015 to provide insights into the differing contributions of debris‐covered and debris‐free glaciers under current and future changing climatic conditions. Model simulations with the physically based glacio‐hydrological model TOPKAPI‐ETH reveal a period of neutral or slightly positive mass balance between 2000 and 2010, followed by a transition to increasingly large annual mass losses, associated with a recent mega drought. Mass losses commence earlier, and are more severe, for a heavily debris‐covered glacier, most likely due to its strong dependence on snow avalanche accumulation, which has declined in recent years. Catchment runoff shows a marked decreasing trend over the study period, but with high interannual variability directly linked to winter snow accumulation, and high contribution from ice melt in dry periods and drought conditions. The study demonstrates the importance of incorporating local‐scale processes such as snow avalanche accumulation and spatially variable debris thickness, in understanding the responses of different glacier types to climate change. We highlight the increased dependency of runoff from high Andean catchments on the diminishing resource of glacier ice during dry years. 相似文献
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Continuous subglacial measurements of turbidity and electrical conductivity — two indicators of basal water quality — can be used to help characterize subglacial drainage systems. These indicators of water quality yield information that complements that provided by water pressure measurements. Quantitative attributes of subglacial drainage systems, such as water velocity and subglacial residence time, as well as qualitative behaviour — for example, spatial and temporal variations in system morphology — can be deduced using water quality measurements. Interpretation is complicated by the many potential influences on turbidity and electrical conductivity, but when these complications are appreciated a richer interpretation results. To demonstrate the utility of basal water quality measurements, observations from Trapridge Glacier, Yukon Territory, Canada were examined. The data reveal complex behaviour of the drainage system, but constraints imposed by basal water quality measurements help to clarify the nature of the subglacial flow system. The measurement and interpretation methods described and demonstrated are applicable to other glaciers. As such, they should prove useful for characterizing different subglacial drainage configurations and behaviours, thereby improving our general understanding of the hydrology and dynamics of wet-based glaciers. 相似文献
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Coupled groundwater flow and heat transport simulation for estimating transient aquifer–stream exchange at the lowland River Spree (Germany) 下载免费PDF全文
Subsurface flow and heat transport near Freienbrink, NE Germany, was simulated in order to study groundwater–surface water exchange between a floodplains aquifer and a section of the lowland River Spree and an adjacent oxbow. Groundwater exfiltration was the dominant process, and only fast surface water level rises resulted in temporary infiltration into the aquifer. The main groundwater flow paths are identified based on a 3D groundwater flow model. To estimate mass fluxes across the aquifer–surface water interfaces, a 2D flow and heat transport modelling approach along a transect of 12 piezometers was performed. Results of steady‐state and transient water level simulations show an overall high accuracy with a Spearman coefficient ρ = 0.9996 and root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.008 m. Based on small groundwater flow velocities of about 10?7 to 10?6 ms?1, mean groundwater exfiltration rates of 233 l m?2 d?1 are calculated. Short periods of surface water infiltration into the aquifer do not exceed 10 days, and the infiltration rates are in the same range. The heat transport was modelled with slightly less accuracy (ρ = 0.8359 and RMSE = 0.34 °C). In contrast to the predominant groundwater exfiltration, surface water temperatures determine the calculated temperatures in the upper aquifer below both surface water bodies down to 10 m during the whole simulation period. These findings emphasize prevailing of heat conduction over advection in the upper aquifer zones, which seems to be typical for lowland streams with sandy aquifer materials and low hydraulic gradients. Moreover, this study shows the potential of coupled numerical flow and heat transport modelling to understand groundwater–surface water exchange processes in detail. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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利用1960~1999年全国600个站月平均降水资料,对黄河三门峡水库—小浪底水库间的夏季降水总量年际变化进行了统计分析,并应用功率谱诊断方法提取了夏季各月降水的振荡周期。在此基础上,选取了黄河三门峡水库—小浪底水库间降水量多与少的年份,利用NCEP再分析资料研究了其上空的水汽变化以及水汽输送量变化。结果表明,黄河三门峡水库—小浪底水库间降水量多的年份,其上空为较为明显的水汽辐合;降水量比较少的年份,其上空为明显的水汽辐散。选取多雨年(1982年)及少雨年(1997年),结合NCEP再分析资料以及TBB资料,进一步验证了上述结论。 相似文献
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地下石油储备库于近海处建立,可降低石油运输成本,同时有较强的军事意义。但是临近海岸线,海水易入侵库区,导致库区内金属结构腐蚀,使储备库的使用年限降低。以某近海地下石油储备库工程为背景,构建了综合断层、节理密集带、导水通道等15种地质结构的精细化三维水文地质模型,研究了库区自然状态下和运行期的地下水渗流场及溶质运移场,模拟海水入侵风险。研究表明:(1)自然状态下地下石油储备库无海水入侵。(2)运行期只在洞库顶部以上25 m处设置四周超出洞室50 m、水幕孔间距为10 m、孔径0.11 m的水平水幕时,不能有效防治海水入侵。(3)洞库运行9 a时,3#洞室东南侧Cl−物质的量浓度超过7 mol/m3,海水开始入侵洞室群;运行22~23 a时,海水入侵速率最快;运行41 a 时,3#洞室东南侧Cl−物质的量浓度超过143 mol/m3,海水入侵达到对钢筋的强腐蚀程度;运行50 a时,除1#洞室外其余所有洞室均受到海水入侵,3#、4#洞室有部分区域达到强腐蚀程度,海水入侵最严重。建议增设垂直水幕等设施,以增强对海水入侵的防治。研究成果可为近海地区地下石油储备库抑制海水入侵提供借鉴。 相似文献
128.
在对油水接触面形态和油水过渡带厚度的分布规律进行定量分析的基础上,以苏北盆地花17断块为例,结合油井生产动态特征分析了构造-岩性油藏中油水分布规律,并探讨了其影响因素.结果表明,在实际油藏中油水接触面是一个呈波状起伏的面,其在自由水面以上的高度随残余油饱和度下的毛管压力增大而抬高;油水过渡带厚度仅与束缚水饱和度和残余油... 相似文献
129.
川西坳陷新场构造带须家河组超压演化与流体的关系 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
沉积盆地超压体系是油气勘探与开发过程中一个不容忽视的问题,不仅影响了地质流体的运移和聚集,更为勘探带来安全隐患。以实测地压和油田水化学数据为基础,对川西坳陷新场构造带须四段和须二段现今地层水矿化度与现今压力系数关系进行比较,结合地层水特征系数和阴阳离子关系,综合前人研究结果,对须四段和须二段压力演化史与地层水演化过程进行分析,考察川西坳陷须家河组超压系统演化与地层水演化的耦合关系。结果表明,须家河组超压发育与地层水具有密切的联系:(1)须家河组储层段压力分布范围较广,在弱超压至超强压之间,须二段属于中超压而须四段属于超高压,平面分布中须二段探测井中矿化度随压力系数增加而减少,须四段则相反;(2)在压实过程中,由于流体排驱受阻导致"欠压实"超压的产生,随着超压的不断积聚,局部出现裂缝,导致地层水更加强烈的混合作用和运移;(3)生烃作用导致自生压力增大,地层水离子水岩作用强烈,造成流体包裹体与现今地层水离子成分分异;(4)构造挤压抬升过程中,须四段裂缝不发育,压力进一步升高,须二段则产生泄压,出现了凝析水和水侵现象,造成须四段和须二段现今地层水特征的差异。 相似文献
130.