基于水热平衡原理的塔里木河下游绿洲适宜规模分析

结合近40 a水文气象资料,基于水热平衡原理,构建模型,分析和讨论了20世纪70、80、90年代以及2000年以来塔里木河下游绿洲适宜规模与耕地面积,并结合相应不同时期的遥感影像,对各时期实际绿洲规模进行了比较。结果表明：近40 a来,塔里木河下游绿洲适宜规模和耕地规模趋于收缩,但2000年以后有所扩大;20世纪80年代的绿洲耕地面积与计算得出的适宜耕地规模基本平衡,之后严重超出绿洲承载能力,2009年超出幅度达1.22×10⁴ hm²;耕地面积过大已导致塔里木河下游绿洲进入了不稳定状态,当前应采取措施适度缩小绿洲规模,并及时有效地控制耕地面积。     

A SUSPENDED SEDIMENT BUDGET OF THE YICHANG-WUHAN REACH OF THE YANGTZE RIVER, CHINA

The amount of the sediment deposition in the Yichan-Wuhan reach of the middle Yangtze River (also known as Changjiang River) has been determined using the concept of sediment budget at the channel-reach scale. The fill-scour processes of the middle Yangtze River were studied during the period 1956–1997 in response to the variation in sediment load and flow inputs. The results show that 13.3% of the net input of sediment was deposited in the studied river reach. Since 1956, the output sediment load of the studied reach increased with time to 1981, followed by a decline. The increase in output before 1981 can be related to the man-made bend neck-cutoff which caused a decrease in the sediment load diverted through the 'three outfalls' (i.e. the three distributaries from the Yangtze main stem to the Dongting Lake) and increased the sediment-carrying capacity of the river. Thereby, the river could transport more sediment to the outlet of the studied river reach. The decrease in the sediment load output after 1984 was directly due to the decreased sediment load at Yichang station. Multiple regression equations have been established to assess the contributions of influencing factors to the variation in sediment deposition amount in the studied river reach.     

青海玉树隆宝高寒湿地近地面能量收支状况研究

基于青海玉树隆宝湿地2011年10月-2012年9月气象观测数据, 利用组合法计算其近地面的感热通量和潜热通量, 进而分析近地面能量收支状况. 结果表明: 隆宝湿地太阳辐射资源充足, 达6 770.8 MJ·m^-2, 受积雪影响, 冬季日反射率最高可达0.93; 11月和12月地面吸收的90%以上短波能量以辐射形式传给大气, 而6月份则不到30%. 地面全年以净辐射和土壤热通量吸收能量, 其中, 77%以潜热形式支出, 23%以感热形式支出, 但各月能量收支特征与之有所不同.     

北京连续降水水汽输送差异的同位素示踪

为了探讨连续降水过程中水汽输送的变化,应用NCEP/NCAR资料、HYSPLIT后向轨迹模拟及降水稳定同位素资料对北京22场连续降水的水汽输送差异进行了研究。结果表明:连续降水的水汽输送可分为西向水汽输送、远洋水汽输送、近海水汽输送、远源大陆水汽输送和局地大陆水汽输送5种类型,并以近海水汽输送和西向水汽输送为主（降水量占比60.8%）。不同水汽输送类型下降水δ18O的差异主要受水汽源区同位素富集程度及水汽输送途中降水过程的影响,降水氘盈余的变化反映出二次蒸发的影响及水汽源区大气相对湿度的差异。14场连续降水的水汽输送类型发生了变化,且降水δ18O值的变化能够较好地指示水汽输送类型的变化。该结果说明降水同位素特征能够为识别水汽输送类型提供有效信息。     

天顶对流层延迟计算方法研究

依据精密单点定位（PPP）原理编写天顶对流层延迟估计程序,分别利用所编程序和GAMIT软件进行实测数据解算,将所得数据与IGS网站提供数据进行对比分析,结果显示PPP与双差法估计对流层延迟都有较高精度;但在双差法解算过程中发现,无远距离测站参与解算会影响对流层延迟估计的精度。     

梭梭幼苗死亡与土壤和大气干旱的关系研究

以古尔班通古特沙漠南缘沙漠中的一年生梭梭幼苗为研究对象,对环境气象因子、土壤含水率、幼苗根系垂直伸展状况、幼苗死亡动态进行了全生长期的连续监测研究。结果表明,尽管梭梭幼苗根系伸展迅速,当年可达1.5 m,幼苗死亡率动态变化仍然与土壤表层含水率显著相关,而与根区或深层含水率不显著相关。但统计分析结果显示,土壤表层含水率并不总是梭梭幼苗死亡率波动的主导因素。当土壤含水率低至0.82%时,无论大气干旱程度如何,幼苗死亡率都急剧升高;而当土壤含水率高于1.25%时,幼苗可以耐受大气干旱,幼苗死亡只与土壤表层含水率显著相关;当土壤含水率在0.82~1.25%之间时,幼苗死亡率与大气干旱程度（空气饱和差）显著相关。据此我们推测,当土壤表层含水率低于1.25%时,大气干旱主导死亡率的变化;反之,则土壤水分主导。     

The spatial and temporal variability of groundwater recharge in a forested basin in northern Wisconsin

Recharge varies spatially and temporally as it depends on a wide variety of factors (e.g. vegetation, precipitation, climate, topography, geology, and soil type), making it one of the most difficult, complex, and uncertain hydrologic parameters to quantify. Despite its inherent variability, groundwater modellers, planners, and policy makers often ignore recharge variability and assume a single average recharge value for an entire watershed. Relatively few attempts have been made to quantify or incorporate spatial and temporal recharge variability into water resource planning or groundwater modelling efforts. In this study, a simple, daily soil–water balance model was developed and used to estimate the spatial and temporal distribution of groundwater recharge of the Trout Lake basin of northern Wisconsin for 1996–2000 as a means to quantify recharge variability. For the 5 years of study, annual recharge varied spatially by as much as 18 cm across the basin; vegetation was the predominant control on this variability. Recharge also varied temporally with a threefold annual difference over the 5‐year period. Intra‐annually, recharge was limited to a few isolated events each year and exhibited a distinct seasonal pattern. The results suggest that ignoring recharge variability may not only be inappropriate, but also, depending on the application, may invalidate model results and predictions for regional and local water budget calculations, water resource management, nutrient cycling, and contaminant transport studies. Recharge is spatially and temporally variable, and should be modelled as such. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

长江源区高寒退化湿地地表蒸散特征研究

青藏高原作为“亚洲水塔”,对东亚乃至全球大气水分循环都有非常显著的影响.高寒退化湿地是高原上生态多样性的保证,也是水汽循环和地表径流的重要源地,其地气之间水分交换不但可以反映气候变化,而且也对生态环境保护具有重要意义.以长江源区隆宝滩湿地连续一年、每10分钟一次的观测资料为基础,利用FAO Penman-Monteith方法分析了长江源区高寒退化湿地蒸散量的变化特征及其与环境因子之间的关系.结果表明：1）牧草生长期,潜在蒸散量日、月变化特征显著;实际蒸散量整体表现为冬小、夏大,夏季蒸散贡献最大.2）观测期间,蒸散量远大于降水量,水分亏损严重,局地蒸散对降水的贡献较高.3）土壤温度对蒸散发过程影响显著,尤其是表层5 cm地温与蒸散发相关性较好,土壤湿度变化表明其为蒸散发过程提供了充足的水分.4）全年变化中,气温是影响蒸散的主要因素.晴天中,高寒退化湿地实际蒸散量与辐射具有几乎相同的变化趋势,气温对蒸散量影响较小,蒸散量与相对湿度呈现显著的反相关.     

区域碳收支能力估算的面向对象遥感分类方法

全球气候变暖问题是人类面临的最艰巨的挑战之一,通过先进的面向对象分类方法可以提高碳排放与碳汇能力的研究水平,对于控制区域气候变化具有推动作用。本文利用面向对象分类方法,以广西百色市右江区为研究区域,选取Landsat 8 OLI和Google Earth影像数据提取区域地物信息,并针对研究区地势复杂的特点,采用设置多种尺度参数的方法,选取最优尺度进行影像分割。同时,引入隶属度函数法、最邻近分类法和CART决策树分类器3种方法,基于影像光谱差异、几何形状、对象纹理等特征,逐层逐级地实施面向对象分类,随后加以针对性的精度评价分析并检验分类结果。通过总结分析前人的地物碳系数转换关系并结合高精度面向对象分类结果,构建了基于土地覆被类型的碳收支能力估算模型,并根据已有的基于CASA模型的碳收支能力估算方法加以精度校验,最终估算出右江区碳收支能力为-399.64万t。此外,本文结合右江区行政区划、人口分布、DEM等相关数据对区域碳收支能力进行了专题性剖析。结果表明,面向对象分类方法是研究小区域碳收支能力的有效途径,在区域碳循环评估中具有更好的准确性和预见性,有效促进碳收支平衡研究领域的发展。     

对流层模型评估及其在GNSS精密单点定位中的应用

以水汽辐射计（WVR）精确测定的天顶方向延迟值作为参考,评估Saastamoinen、GPT2、EGNOS、UNB3M四种常用对流层模型在上海地区的改正精度;并将WVR观测值及以上4种对流层模型计算的对流层延迟值作为真值应用到GNSS精密单点定位（PPP）中,评估其对定位精度的影响。比较发现,GPT2模型的对流层改正精度比其余3种要好,其天顶干延迟（ZHD）的偏差均值与中误差分别为-0.11 cm、±0.75 cm,天顶湿延迟（ZWD）的平均偏差与中误差分别为-2.34 cm、±7.67 cm;和传统的PPP结果相比,采用WVR对流层观测值的定位精度提高了16%。