NUMERICAL SIMULATION STUDY OF THE INNER-CORE STRUCTURES AND THE MECHANISM FOR INSHORE STRENGTHENING OF SOUTH CHINA SEA TYPHOON VONGFONG (0214) DURING LANDFALL

An explicit simulation with a fine mesh at intervals of 6 km is used to explore the inner-core structures of Vongfong (0214). The dynamic mechanism for the inshore strengthening of Vongfong is examined. It is found as follows. (1) The radius of maximum wind of the axisymmetric structures of the typhoon decreased with height during its mature stage. When Vongfong was inshore, the strongest low-layer inflow located in front of it and the outflow was to the rear of it, which was just reversed from the Atlantic hurricanes and other Pacific typhoons. (2) The dynamic and thermodynamic fields were highly asymmetric in structure. Convection was stronger in the northwest quadrant of the typhoon than in the southeast; the strongest convective cloud bands were consistent with the maximum wind region. During its strengthening stage, it was cold west of and warm east of the eye in the lower layer but warm in the west and cold in the east of the mid-upper layer. During its mature stage, a warm-core structure was evident in the lower and middle-upper layer. (3) The interactions between a mid-latitude cold low in the middle-upper troposphere and the typhoon were responsible for the latter to strengthen inshore. Firstly, the outer circulation of the cold low entered the typhoon from the middle troposphere when an outer cold airflow from the cold low flowed into the northwest quadrant of the typhoon so that geopotentially instable energy increased and convection developed. Secondly, the downdraft in the cold low was just the corresponding branch of the secondary circulation of the typhoon system; when the cold low weakened while moving south, the typhoon strengthened inshore. Due to the CISK mechanism, these two phenomena might be realized.     

A lesson from cyclone Larry: An untold story of the success of good coastal planning

When tropical cyclone Larry crossed the Queensland coast on 20 March 2006, commercial, recreational and naval vessels in the port of Cairns, 60 km north of the eye of the cyclone and others closer to the eye, were protected from the destructive winds by sheltering in deep mangrove creeks in Trinity Inlet and off other coastal rivers. The Trinity Inlet mangroves are protected under the comprehensive multi-use Trinity Inlet Management Plan, agreed by the local and state government agencies (Cairns City Council, the Cairns Port Authority and the Queensland Government). Using this Australian example and one from the town of Palompon in Leyte province, central Philippines, we show how long-term mangrove habitat protection resulting from well-conceived coastal planning can deliver important economic and infrastructure benefits.     

东亚盛夏北上转向台风年代际变化及与PDO的关系

利用1951—2008年台风及海温资料,分析了东亚盛夏(7—8月)北上转向台风个数的年代际变化特征及其与PDO的关系。结果表明东亚盛夏北上转向台风个数存在明显年代际变化特征,并在1978年前后发生突变。东亚盛夏北上转向台风个数与PDO关系密切,两者呈反位相关系。PDO位相转变后影响北上台风的海温关键区由赤道中东太平洋和西风漂流带区域变为黑潮区域,并且北上台风个数与各海温关键区存在时滞相关。在PDO不同位相的年代际背景下,西太副高位置的变化是北上台风个数年代际变化的原因之一。      

THE APPLICATION OF CONDITIONAL NONLINEAR OPTIMAL PERTURBATION TO THE BINARY TYPHOONS INTERACTION —FENGSHEN AND FUNG-WONG

The interaction between the typhoons Fengshen and Fung-wong over the Western Pacific in 2002 is studied with the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation (CNOP) method. The study discovered that the CNOP method reveals the process of one-way interaction between Fengshen and Fung-wong. Moreover, if the region of Fung-wong was selected for verification, the sensitivity area was mainly located in the region of Fengshen and presented a half-ring structure; if the region of Fengshen was selected for verification, most of the sensitivity areas were located in the region between the Fengshen and the subtropical high, far away from Fung-wong. This indicated that Fung-wong is mainly steered by Fengshen, but Fengshen is mainly affected by the subtropical high. The sensitivity experiment showed that the initial errors in the CNOP-identified sensitive areas have larger impacts on the verification-area prediction than those near the typhoon center and their developments take a large proportion in the whole domain. This suggests that the CNOP-identified sensitive areas do have large influence on the verification-area prediction.     

双台风“天秤”和“布拉万”相互作用诊断分析

利用常规观测资料和FNL资料,对1214号台风"天秤"和1215号台风"布拉万"的相互作用进行了诊断分析,结果表明:"天秤"的路径复杂多变,"布拉万"路径比较稳定,在"天秤"的回旋打转过程中,通过引入兰金涡理论模型,对"藤原效应"引起的双台风互旋角速度进行量化分析,可以看出,"天秤"和"布拉万"之间的"藤原效应"对"天秤"的转向起了决定性的作用,环境场的引导作用较小。通过对台风进行受力分析,可以发现总压力对"天秤"的回旋打转影响较小,而对"布拉万"的移动路径影响显著。"布拉万"强度更强、个头更大,是双台风发生"藤原效应"的主要因素。     

辽东半岛“达维”（1210）台风暴雨的诊断分析

利用热带气旋年鉴、FY 2E卫星的云顶亮温（TBB）、大连地区逐时自动气象站降雨量资料、常规观测资料和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,对北上引发辽东半岛强降水过程的1210号台风达维（Damrey）和1209号台风苏拉（Saola）的环流背景和中尺度特征进行分析。结果表明：（1）副热带高压位置偏北且稳定为此次降水提供了有利的大尺度背景,双台风与副热带高压之间所形成的东南风低空急流为辽东半岛强降水提供了水汽和能量供应。台风“达维”东部和副热带高压西侧低空急流带上由β或γ中尺度雨团发展的中尺度对流复合体（MCC）是造成降水的直接系统。（2）“达维”与其南部台风苏拉环流的长时间相连,一方面有利于“达维”获得源源不断的水汽供应,加强其中尺度对流系统,另一方面有利于水汽在辽东半岛地区形成水汽辐合,使暴雨持续产生。（3）“达维”影响辽东半岛期间,其东北部的冷空气逆时针卷入,在半岛南部出现局地垂直次级环流,触发对流不稳定,有利于中尺度暴雨云团的发展。     

Climatic Characteristics of Binary Tropical Cyclones in the Northwest Pacific Ocean

Based on typhoon best track data of China Meteorological Administration and NCEP global reanalysis data, this study analyzed the characteristics of binary tropical cyclones (TC) in the Northwest Pacific Ocean during 1951 to 2014 by using the objective determine standard. When the distance between the two TCs d≤ 1 800 km, they are defined as binary tropical cyclones or binary typhoons. And binary typhoons are divided into two different types which are typical binary typhoons and atypical binary typhoons. The climatic characteristics of binary tropical cyclones are as follows: There were 699 pairs of binary typhoons in Northwest Pacific Ocean during 1951 to 2014. In these cases, there were 446 pairs of typical binary typhoons and 253 pairs of atypical cases, occupying 63.8% and 36.2%, respectively. The proportion of typical cases increased with the shortest distance decreasing, while the proportion of atypical cases decreased with the shortest distance decreasing. When the speed of typical binary typhoons moving towards each other reached the peak, binary typhoons mainly showed the east to west direction. At this time, typhoons were controlled by easterly stream of the southern edge of the subtropical high. In this situation, the east typhoon moved toward the west typhoon quickly. When the anticlockwise angular velocity of typical binary typhoons reached the peak, binary cases distributed northeast to southwest or east-northeast to west-southwest, appearing in west and southwest edge of the subtropical high and mainly being controlled by southeasterly stream, thus benefiting the anticlockwise rotation between the typical binary typhoons.     

海南岛东北部海滩侵蚀与恢复对连续台风的复杂响应

在连续台风作用下海滩的侵蚀与恢复是一个复杂的过程。基于海南岛东北部木兰-抱虎湾海滩的现场调查,对比分析台风"威马逊"和"海鸥"登陆前后海滩剖面和后滨沉积物的动态响应。结果表明,超强台风"威马逊"引起海滩的严重侵蚀和强烈的泥沙输移,在木兰湾海滩主要表现出由北向南沿岸海滩的差异性变化,在抱虎湾各海滩变化较为相近;后继登陆台风"海鸥"引起海滩显著堆积,对海滩主要起恢复作用,木兰湾海滩恢复效果明显,海滩后滨沉积物趋于恢复至台风前的状态,由于抱虎湾水下珊瑚礁及近岸岩礁地貌减缓了台风对该处海滩的侵蚀和堆积作用,抱虎湾海滩表现出与台风前较大差异性。两处海湾海滩的不同走向及台风的风向变化也是造成海滩不同响应的重要原因。研究将有助于更好地理解海滩对连续台风作用的复杂响应。     

海南东部小海潟湖沉积物地球化学特征及对古台风活动的指示

为探讨海南东部历史时期的气候环境变化,2015年于海南岛东海岸小海潟湖中采集了一根长73 cm的柱状样(XH15-02),在年代学(210Pb和AMS14C)测试的基础上,开展了多环境代用指标(总有机碳(TOC)、总氮(TN)、有机碳稳定同位素、干密度等)的测试和分析.结果表明,XH15-02柱状样TOC与TN含量有很好的相关性,C/N比值在10.41～23.33之间变化,有机碳稳定同位素(δ13Corg)值在-25.14‰～-23.29‰之间.通过对多气候环境代用指标的分析,以及与历史文献资料和其他自然代用指标的综合比对,认为XH15-02孔岩芯沉积记录了研究区过去1100多年来较为丰富的气候环境、台风活动以及人类活动影响等信息.近千年来,小海潟湖沉积有机物主要以陆源输入为主,据估算该岩芯有机碳陆生来源约占47.00%～73.43%,但在不同时期变化幅度较大,该陆源有机碳含量变化可能主要反映了历史时期海南东部地区的干湿变化历史;自1850年以来,XH15-02孔岩芯沉积通量的显著增加与当地人口的快速增长历史一致,反映了研究区近二百年来可能受到的人类对自然界的开发活动影响强烈;多个具有显著偏正δ13Corg记录的时期同史料记载以及周边区域地质记录中的"大风"、"海溢"、"风暴"等事件发生时间较为相近,可能揭示了历史时期的台风或高海平面事件,进而认为小海潟湖沉积在重建历史时期海南地区台风活动等方面具有很大潜力.     

西太平洋台风最大风速与闪电活动特征

利用全球闪电定位网（World WideLightning Location Network,WWWLLN）获取的闪电定位资料和中国气象局上海台风所提供的台风路径数据,统计分析了2005--2010年在西太平洋洋面上发生的55次台风过程中闪电活动特征及闪电频数与最大风速的相关性。结果表明,在西太平洋地区台风系统中发生的闪电大致有3个高发区,分别位于距台风中心20—40km的云墙区、280～340km与440～580km的外云带中。台风中心出现最大风速的时刻往往滞后于闪电频数峰值出现时刻,滞后时间一般在0～24h内,平均滞后时间为26．6h。因此,台风中闪电活动的频繁程度对24h内的台风强度发展具有一定的指示意义。