“区域-时间-长度算法”用于甘肃及邻近地区中强地震预测的回溯性检验

应用蒋海昆等改进后的"区域-时间-长度算法"研究了甘肃及邻近地区的中强震地震活动前兆特征。结果表明,该方法在地震预测回溯性检验中效果较好,可作为检测本区的地震活动性异常的一种手段。36次M_s≥5.0中强以上地震震例中,检测出RTL值异常的地震达24次,占研究总数的66.7%,出现异常的时间距离主震的时间间隔集中在10~37个月。     

基于Matlab的断裂带温泉水地球化学特征及地震活动性研究

基于Matlab开发出地下流体分析软件,对比分析了甘肃西秦岭北缘的武山、街子和清水温泉水化学组分特征;初步分析了温泉水水质类型、补给来源、水-岩平衡状态以及循环深度,并讨论了温泉水深循环对地震活动性的影响.研究表明温泉水均为大气降水成因,其水化特征受围岩的控制作用;清水温泉水的成熟度没有武山和街子温泉水高.地下水循环深度较浅的武山温泉和街子温泉水化类型属于Na-HCO3·SO4·Cl,所处断裂的地震活动频繁;地下水循环深度较深的清水温泉水化类型属于Na-SO4·Cl,所处断裂的地震活动性弱.     

青藏高原东北缘M_s≥6.0强震活动特征及未来形势研究

2013年7月22日甘肃岷县漳县6.6级地震打破了青藏高原东北缘地区自2003年以来近十年的6级平静,该地震的意义及该区未来震情发展受到了地震学家的关注.本文运用Morlet小波变换分析了1875-2013年青藏高原东北缘MS≥6.0强震活动的周期特征,结果表明该区强震存在2～3年、8～10年、25～30年等尺度的显著周期;1977年以来青藏高原东北缘地区强震活动频度虽然正常但活动强度处于一个相对较低的阶段.在讨论了岷县漳县6.6级地震的发震背景基础上,认为该地震在青藏高原东北缘强震活动长时间较弱的背景下发生,可能是该区强震活动强弱的一个拐点,未来该区强震活动的频度与强度有增加的趋势.研究结果对该区震情跟踪工作有一定的参考价值.     

利用Terra和Aqua卫星地表温度探索汶川地震同震热响应

如何从卫星热红外遥感影像中提取出可靠的、能够验证的、与构造活动有关的热信息,是利用热红外信息研究构造现今活动亟待完善的问题之一.从信息提取的角度看,地震前后所对应的物理变化最为强烈,同震热响应可能是利用热信息探索现今构造活动潜在的突破点.本文以MODIS/Terra和MODIS/Aqua两颗卫星的地表温度为基础,探索汶川地震同震热响应.首先,去除了由地形等静态因素和太阳年周期组成的稳定背景;其次,去除大气环流的影响,获得由本地因素产生的原地温度场.最后,在原地温度场中,发现了汶川地震的同震温度响应.经过检验,上述温度响应的空间展布形态与发震断层的活动方式产生的力学效应吻合.从应力变化与温度响应的关系看,本文相当于借助热信息获得了汶川地震同震拉张或卸载区的空间展布情况.     

Decreasing trend of sediment transfer function of the Upper Yellow River,China, in response to human activity and climate change

Abstract

An index (F_s) for sediment transfer function is introduced, based on the sediment budget at the channel scale. The purpose of this study is two-fold: to gain a deeper insight into how F_s is influenced by natural and human factors, and to provide some new knowledge for decision making in the management of the Upper Yellow River, China. Since 1960, the F_s of the Lanzhou to Toudaoguai reach of the Upper Yellow River shows a decreasing trend. At the drainage basin level, the decreased F_s can be explained by changes in precipitation and air temperature, as well as by a number of variables describing human activity, such as reservoir regulation, water diversion, and soil and water conservation. The higher temperature reduces the transfer function, while the larger runoff coefficient increases it. At the channel level, the decreased F_s can be explained by a number of variables of flow and sediment input. Three countermeasures for restoration of the F_s are suggested.

Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz     

夏垫断裂带深部构造特征与第四纪活动性讨论

利用重力、浅层地震和高密度电阻率法物探工作成果,由深及浅垂向上“接力拼接”的方式,结合钻探等手段,把夏垫断裂带分解为基岩断裂带和第四纪断裂带2个部分进行研究,结果表明:1)夏垫断裂带的基岩断裂带由主干断裂和次级断裂构成.其北段(马坊-西集一带)较窄,由2条主干断裂构成.其南段(西集-凤河营一带)较宽,由3条主干断裂构成.2)第四纪断裂带是基岩断裂带向上延伸的部分,是断裂带最新活动的直观表现,并受控于基岩断裂带.夏垫第四纪断裂带同样由主干和次级断裂构成,北段(马坊-西集一带)由2条主干断裂和分布于北端尾部次级断裂构成,与基岩断裂带一一对应关系较好.2条主干断裂产状差异较大,最新活动时间均为全新世.而南段(西集-凤河营一带)断裂分布不连续,很难分清主次断裂,同基岩断裂带的对应关系较差,推测为基岩断裂中夏垫断裂的活动.这些主、次级断裂产状均较为陡立,最新活动时间为晚更新世晚期-全新世早期.3)夏垫断裂带内上、下两盘全新世沉积底界垂向累积位错量为1.7 ～4.8m,晚、中、早更新世以来则分别为6 ～ 26m、26 ～ 167m和44 ～ 330m,其中最大累积位错量位于夏垫地区,向南、北逐渐减小.4)以张家湾断裂为界把夏垫断裂带划分为南、北2段.北段第四纪活动性强,中强震及微小地震时有发生,而南段第四纪活动性弱,仅发生微小地震.     

华北中部重力场的动态变化及其强震危险含义

基于绝对和相对重力观测获得的区域重力场时、空动态变化,结合区域GPS测量资料与活动构造分析,本文研究了华北中部地区2009-2011年的重力场变化特征,讨论了该区域重力场动态变化的强震危险含义.结果主要表明:(1)华北中部的活动地块边界及部分重要活动断裂带两侧存在较大差异的重力场空间变化;其中,以山西断陷带北东段所在的晋冀蒙交界地区为中心,形成较大面积的重力负值变化区,且沿该区西北缘的NE向岱海-黄旗海断裂带以及东南缘的NNE向太行山山前断裂带附近分别形成重力变化的高梯度带,可能反映这些部位近年的构造或断裂活动显著.(2)不同时段的重力场差分动态演化图像可能反映了近年山西断陷带北东段(京西北盆-岭构造区)及其附近的重力场整体经历了"准均匀→非均匀→断陷带北段侧向显著变化→局部"硬化"的演化过程.(3)研究区重力场的时间累积变化图像可用"区域应力场增强→区域断裂与断块差异运动及变形增强→局部运动受阻"的过程进行解释.(4)研究区的一些重力异常部位存在中-长期强震危险背景.     

Graphics processing unit-based dynamic volume rendering for typhoons on a virtual globe

Typhoons are usually accompanied by strong winds, heavy rain, storm surges and other disastrous events, and they are the most severe weather phenomena in the western part of the North Pacific Ocean. Visualisation is a key technology for analysing and presenting climate simulations and observations together with related social and ecological data. Virtual globes are a logical platform for visualising such geospatial data via the Internet. To implement interactive visualisation of typhoon data within virtual globes, this study provides a 3D texture-mapping algorithm to render volume textures on a globe. In addition, a systematic framework is proposed in which a hierarchical octree-based multiresolution data structure is implemented to organise the large volume dataset, and a graphics processing unit-based dynamic interpolation approach is proposed to obtain a smooth effect. Finally, the structure is combined with a level of detail strategy to enable the rendering of dynamic volumetric data at an acceptable interactive frame rate. To demonstrate the capabilities of this framework, data for a simulated typhoon event were rendered in World Wind, an open-source virtual globe. The experimental results demonstrate that the application of the proposed strategies can result in an interactive visualisation performance that renders typhoon data on virtual globes.     

A geocomputational analysis of Twitter activity around different world cities

The penetration and use of social media services differs from city to city. This paper is aimed to provide a comparison of the use of Twitter between different cities of the world. We present a temporal analysis of activity on Twitter in 15 cities. Our study consists of two parts: First, we created temporal graphs of the activity in the 15 cities, through which hours of high and low activity could be identified. Second, we created heat map visualizations of the Twitter activities during the period of 19 September 2012–25 September 2013. The heat map visualizations make the periods of intense and sparse activity apparent and provide a snapshot of the activity during the whole year.     

海带褐藻多酚对绿烂海带表面分离的一株细菌的抑菌效果研究

海带苗绿烂病暴发严重威胁海带养殖生产,给海带养殖业造成巨大经济损失.研究发现,海带中的多酚化合物可以抵御海带病害初期病原体侵入.为研究多酚对绿烂海带表面附生菌的抑菌效果,在病烂部位分离出一株细菌,通过16s rRNA基因测序的方法,证实该细菌为小孔芽孢杆菌(Bacillus foraminis).进一步以健康海带为原料...