2005年6月东亚夏季风活动异常及其影响机制初步分析

应用欧洲中心（ECMWF）N日08时客观分析资料、中国测站降水资料、OLR资料和NCEP2再分析资料以及国家气象中心提供的1976～2006年的逐日西太平洋副热带高压脊线位置，利用合成分析、小波分析和带通滤波等方法，初步分析了2005年东亚夏季风的活动特征和影响机制。结果发现2005年6月东亚夏季风活动出现明显异常，其中31～32候季风前沿异常停留在南海-菲律宾一带以及华南西部，33～35候季风前沿停滞在华南地区，较常年明显偏南，造成了我国华南洪涝；36候季风前沿跳至黄淮地区，导致长江空梅、黄淮地区多雨。进一步研究发现西太平洋副热带高压和中高纬槽脊活动异常及热带和中高纬度低频振荡是导致2005年6月东亚夏季风异常的主要原因。     

主汛期(6～8月)副高各指数与中国160站降雨的关系

利用1951～2001年共51年6～8月副高5个指数与同期中国160站降雨建立标准化的多元回归方程,通过分析副高5个指数的偏回归系数及各方程复相关系数在时间和地域上的分布和变化,研究了副高各指数所反映的位置、形状、面积、强度等特征对我国主汛期降雨的综合影响以及这种影响在季节和地域上的差异,结果表明副高北界位置指数和脊线位置指数主要影响雨带位置的变化,西伸脊点指数与我国大部地区雨量的丰欠有关,面积和强度指数则由于采用的方法而表现出对降雨的影响呈相反的特性.从副高对我国主汛期降雨的拟合能力上看,7月拟合能力比6月和8月好,对东部地区和华南地区的拟合能力分别比西部地区和华北地区好.     

Vineyard site suitability analysis by use of multicriteria approach applied on geo-spatial data

Abstract

In this research, multicriteria decision analysis with pairwise comparison weighting method was utilized to determine the suitable locations for vineyard plantation in Sarkoy region of Turkey. Soil maps, meteorological measurements, slope, aspect and elevation maps were used as input to conduct spatial analysis. Different methods were compared and pairwise comparison method was identified as the most appropriate method of weighting for this spatial analysis. Current vineyard areas were determined using Worldview-2 imagery and their spatial distribution compared with the resulting suitability map to determine the current suitability. Comparisons showed current vineyards were mostly established in locations where suitability map expresses low capability. Further inspection unveiled that, these low capability lands are closer to the transportation networks and city/county centres that tend to be in sea level elevations as opposed to vine grapes thriving in higher altitudes. Results also enabled providing suggestions on alternative sites for new vineyard plantation.     

Relationship between canopy height and the reference value of surface conductance for closed coniferous stands

When estimating the dry‐canopy evaporation rate of coniferous stands using the Penman–Monteith equation, it is crucial to determine the reference value of surface conductance G_s. This paper examines the relationship between canopy height and the reference value of G_s based on the maximum value of G_s with a vapour pressure deficit ≥ 1·0 kPa, ?_{s max}. There is a clear correlation between canopy height and ?_{s max} when the projected leaf area index ≥3·0. This suggests that using this relationship will enable more accurate determination of the reference value of G_s for closed stands. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Variation in runoff with age of Chinese fir plantations in Central South China

To determine the influence of forest structures on runoff characteristics, the hydrological effects of Chinese fir plantations were studied by analysing runoff patterns at different growth and development stages (stand age classes I to V) from 1984 to 2004 at the Huitong Ecosystem Research Station, Central South University of Forestry and Technology, Hunan Province, Central South China. Results for two small experimental Chinese fir watersheds showed different peak values for surface runoff amount and coefficients at different ages, with lowest values in age classes I and V and highest values in age classes II and III. However, both underground and total runoff coefficients decreased with increasing age class. Total runoff coefficient was about twice as high in age class I (30·8%) as that in age class V (15·8%). Higher underground and total runoff coefficients were found in young forests. This was mainly attributed to soil disturbance due to human management practices such as site ploughing. Results indicate that Chinese fir plantations play a significant role in regulating water distribution in the watershed. Useful information is provided on the effects of forest management practices on hydrological processes in forest plantations. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Effects on catchment water balance from the management of Pinus plantations on the coastal lowlands of south‐east Queensland,Australia

A paired catchment study was conducted over a 10‐year period on the hydrology of an exotic Pinus plantation in the coastal lowlands of south‐east Queensland, Australia. Each catchment was instrumented with a stream monitoring station, tipping bucket rain gauge, and a network of piezometers to monitor the shallow perched water table. After a 6‐year calibration period a harvest treatment was imposed on one catchment (Review): clearfelling approximately 90% of the catchment area, which contained a mature (44‐year‐old) Pinus elliottii plantation. This subsequently was re‐established with a second rotation plantation of a hybrid of P.elliottii × P.caribaea var. hondurensis. The control catchment (Crayfish) contained a P. elliottii plantation similar to that clearfelled at Review. The post‐harvest period was monitored for a further 4 years. Evapotranspiration was found to be the major output flux, with stream flow only a minor component of the study catchments' water budget. Areas with gleyed podzolic soils were found to remain waterlogged for periods up to 7 months following the seasonally high summer rainfall period, with other soils having water logging periods of only a few months. Little change was observed in waterlogging characteristics following harvesting, in contrast to stream flow which increased for 3 years but with evidence of a decline after 5 years. The perched‐watertable piezometric surface indicated that its lateral drainage differs from that of surface flows; the perched‐watertable drainage fluxes from the study catchments seem minor and off‐site movement of solutes (e.g. nutrients and contaminants) via them would be limited. It was identified that the interaction between the perched and deep aquifers was poorly understood, as well as the relative importance of the soil moisture storage of the aquitard clay layer between them. It was concluded that there is a need to undertake more detailed analysis using modelling, and to obtain additional field data on soil‐layer properties and piezometric levels of the deep aquifer. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Dynamical role of the Rocky Mountain controlled by East Asian topographies in modulating the tropospheric westerly jet in northern winter

本文通过数值模拟,研究了有无东亚地形存在时,落基山地形作用对冬季北半球副热带西风急流的影响,分析了东亚大地形对落基山地形的调制作用。结果表明,东亚地形的存在能够完全抑制落基山地形对太平洋副热带急流的加强作用,使得落基山地形作用仅能加强其下游的大西洋副热带急流。主要原因是东亚大地形可抑制落基山地形北侧反气旋环流的发展,进而抑制中纬度太平洋地区经向温度梯度的加强。该结果有助于我们进一步理解北半球大地形强迫作用,及其相互调制作用对对流层天气和环流结构的影响。     

全球变暖背景下西太平洋副热带高压变化的探讨

为去除全球变暖等压面抬升的影响、客观地反映西太平洋副热带高压的真实变化,本研究使用了1951~2017年NCEP/NCAR的月平均500hPa高度场再分析资料以及国家气候中心提供6~8月的大气环流指数,基于去除全球变暖影响的西太平洋副热带高压表征线,研究探讨了全球变暖背景下西太平洋副热带高压的变化。研究表明,去除全球变暖影响前(后)西太平洋副热带高压有面积指数增大(减小)、强度指数增强(减弱)和西伸脊点指数西伸(东退)的演变特征。可见,全球变暖可能是西太平洋副热带高压面积、强度和东西位置发生变化的原因之一。     

2018年5月佛山市持续性高温天气成因初探

利用NCEP再分析、Micaps高空资料和地面气象观测站资料对2018年5月18—31日发生在佛山的持续性高温天气过程进行分析,结果表明:西太平洋副热带高压稳定西伸是对流层整层高压系统的表现,其长时间的稳定维持是造成该次持续性高温天气过程的主要原因;副高中心的下沉增温配合低相对湿度和长日照时数可出现37℃以上的灾害性炎热天气;对于少数高温日除副高作用外,"焚风效应"也有一定的贡献;当低云量≤6成时,10:00的气温≥30℃并且10:00的2 min平均风速≤2级时,可作为5月高温预警信号发布指标。     

Intra-seasonal Features of an Extreme High Temperature Event in 2011 in Eastern China and Its Atmospheric Circulation

Based on the daily maximum air temperature data from the China Meteorological Data Network and the NCEP/DOE reanalysis data, the intra-seasonal circulation and evolution of an extreme high temperature event (EHTE) in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River (MYR) from August 9-21, 2011 were explored, as well as the influence of diabatic heating on the position variation of the Western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). Results show that the daily Tmax in the MYR exhibits a vigorous intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) of 10-25 days in the extended summer of 1980-2018. The main factors affecting the EHTE in the summer of 2011 are the low-frequency wave train propagating southeastward in the mid-latitude of the upper troposphere and the low-frequency anticyclone moving northwestward in the low- latitude of the mid-lower troposphere. The diagnosis of 925hPa thermodynamic equation indicates that the ISO features of the Tmax in the core region is determined by the intra-seasonal variation of the adiabatic variation. In addition, the variations of the WPSH correspond well to the distribution of apparent heat source. In the early stage of the high temperature process, the apparent heat source in the north of the Bay of Bengal is a certain indicator for the westward extension of the WPSH.