基于机器学习的格点气温预报订正方法

使用2017年9月至2021年3月国家级业务化运行的智能网格实况分析产品和欧洲中期天气预报中心全球模式(EC)产品,根据湖北省的地理分布特征构建6个分区,采用基于LightGBM机器学习算法建立的气温预报方法,生成湖北省0.05°×0.05°格点气温预报产品。利用2021年4—9月的预报产品和格点实况资料进行检验,结果表明:基于机器学习的气温预报方法(MLT)取得了较好的预报效果,其在0～72 h时效内优于中央气象台下发的气温精细化指导预报(SCMOC)和EC产品;MLT在山区的误差较平原大,但山区的订正幅度大于平原,日最高气温的订正幅度大于日最低气温的订正幅度;4—9月MLT、SCMOC、EC产品的平均绝对误差(MAE)日变化都呈现了白天偏高、夜间偏低、午后凸起的单峰特征,MLT的MAE值较SCMOC和EC产品的更低,并且在转折性天气中仍具有优势;站点检验与格点检验结论一致,基于格点建模的气温预报产品对站点预报同样得到了订正。机器学习在格点气温的模式订正方面可以作为一个行之有效的手段。     

鹿井铀矿床成矿流体演化的地球化学模拟

借助水文地球化学研究中水－岩相互作用地球化学模拟的思路和NETPATH2.0反向地球化学模拟软件,以华南鹿井铀矿床不同成矿阶段矿物包裹体分析资料为基础,对该矿床成矿流体的地球化学演化进行了初步的模拟。结果表明,NETPATH2.0所产生的溶液描述模型提供了比流体包裹体丰富得多的资料和信息,而溶液分配模型则计算出了每种元素（尤其是成矿元素）的若干种存在形式及每种形式的相对重要性。模拟所得到的地球化学模型揭示了矿床内主要相态在成矿流体不同演化阶段的质量迁移情况,为全面理解矿床的形成机制和动力学过程提供了新的途径。     

工程地震勘探数值模拟研究

用傅氏变换法求解波动方程,对工程地震勘探进行了数值模拟计算,并研究了该算法的频散特性及其稳定性。     

Object and Pixel-Based Reservoir Modeling of a Braided Fluvial Reservoir

To assess differences between object and pixel-based reservoir modeling techniques, ten realizations of a UK Continental Shelf braided fluvial reservoir were produced using Boolean Simulation (BS) and Sequential Indicator Simulation (SIS). Various sensitivities associated with geological input data as well as with technique-specific modeling parameters were analyzed for both techniques. The resulting realizations from the object-based and pixel-based modeling efforts were assessed by visual inspection and by evaluation of the values and ranges of the single-phase effective permeability tensors, obtained through upscaling. The BS method performed well for the modeling of two types of fluvial channels, yielding well-confined channels, but failed to represent the complex interaction of these with sheetflood and other deposits present in the reservoir. SIS gave less confined channels and had great difficulty in representing the large-scale geometries of one type of channel while maintaining its appropriate proportions. Adding an SIS background to the Boolean channels, as opposed to a Boolean background, resulted in an improved distribution of sheetflood bodies. The permeability results indicated that the SIS method yielded models with much higher horizontal permeability values (20–100%) and lower horizontal anisotropy than the BS versions. By widening the channel distribution and increasing the range of azimuths, however, the BS-produced models gave results approaching the SIS behavior. For this reservoir, we chose to combine the two methods by using object-based channels and a pixel-based heterogeneous background, resulting in moderate permeability and anisotropy levels.     

Physics of Atoll Groundwater Flow

Large-scale steady-state groundwater flow in atoll carbonate platforms results from temperature and salinity-induced density gradients. Atolls are built on top of a basaltic substrate that provides geothermal heating from beneath. Moreover, they are immersed in the tropical ocean where temperature decreases rapidly with depth. Groundwater circulation in these platforms has long been associated with the geothermal heat flux because it is capable of generating inward and upward flow of oceanic origin water by buoyancy effects. This study shows that hydraulic circulation occurs even in the absence of a geothermal flux because the combination of the cold subsurface ocean waters with the warm surface conditions is sufficient to maintain a convection cell within the carbonate platform. Using a one-dimensional analytical model, validated by more sophisticated two-dimensional simulations, we can investigate the interaction between these two driving forces. The flow rate inside the platform is, in fact, a function of the ratio of the geothermal flux to the temperature gradient in the ocean. It increases with the geothermal flux but decreases with the oceanic temperature gradient. This one-dimensional model also shows that taking salinity effects on density into account increases the flow rates transiting through the platform by a third.     

相山铀矿田成矿作用的地球化学模拟

相山铀矿田是我国最大的火山岩型热液铀矿田，在地质地球化学和高温高压实研究的基础上，利用地球化学模式程序ＥＱ３／６模拟了成矿热水溶液的形成过程和减压排泄区铀成矿作用。计算机模拟结果表明，通过大气降水与碎斑熔岩相互作用，可以形成富含Ｆ和ＳｉＯ２等矿化剂的含铀热水溶液；由于铀以ＵＯ２Ｆ＾３和ＵＯ２（ＣＯ３（＾２－３等配合形式存在，非常稳定，即使在深部强还原环境中仍能能够迁移；酸性和碱性环境，尤其是强酸性     

叠前正演模拟与偏移的网络并行计算

在叠前深度偏移和非零炮检距声波方程正演计算过程中包含了大量的可并行计算的成分。作者在本文中提出叠前正演模拟与偏移的网络并行计算算法，并基于TCP／IP协议，将该算法设计成网络并行处理程序，极大地提高了计算效率。实际运算结果证明，本文提出的并行算法和技术路线是切实可行的。     

基于COMSOL MULTIPHYSICS的直流电法正演模拟

以点电源和线电源为例,叙述了基于COMSOL MULTIPHYSICS的直流电法正演模拟过程。通过对COMSOL MULTIPHYSICS正演模拟解与理论值的对比分析,验证了应用COMSOL MULTIPHYSICS进行直流电法正演模拟的正确性与可行性。鉴于COMSOL MULTIPHYSICS强大的剖分求解功能及丰富的后处理操作,可以快速、准确实现正演模拟,其在地球物理正演模拟中的应用的研究意义重大。     

Interpretation of cosmogenic nuclides in meteorites on the basis of accelerator experiments and physical model calculations

Cosmogenic nuclides in extraterrestrial matter provide a wealth of information on the exposure and collision histories of small objects in space and on the history of the solar and galactic cosmic radiation. The interpretation of the observed abundances of cosmogenic nuclides requires detailed and accurate knowledge of their production rates. Accelerator experiments provide a quantitative basis and the ground truth for modeling cosmogenic nuclide production by measurements of the relevant cross sections and by realistic simulations of the interaction of galactic protons with meteoroids under completely controlled conditions, respectively. We review the establishment of physical model calculations of cosmogenic nuclide production in extraterrestrial matter on the basis of such accelerator experiments and exemplify this approach by presenting new experimental and theoretical results for the cosmogenic nuclide⁴⁴Ti. The model calculations describe all aspects of cosmogenic nuclide production and allow the determination of long-term solar and galactic cosmic ray spectra and a consistent interpretation of cosmogenic nuclides in extraterrestrial matter.     

随机介质理论在深基坑稳定性分析中的应用

使用矿业工程中广为应用的随机介质理论和方法,计算深基坑开挖引起的地表及土体变形,并据此探讨深基坑边坡的稳定性。