北部湾6.1,6.2级地震序列的环境应力场

应用Ｐ波初动半周期直接测定环境剪应力值的方法,测定了北部湾６．１,６．２级地震前后中小地震的环境剪应力值τ０,由此分析了北部湾地震过程的环境应力场特征。结果表明,北部湾６．１级地震后平均剪应力值较高,达１８ＭＰａ左右;６．２级地震及两次５级余震后剪应力值下降很快,降至目前的６ＭＰａ左右。在此基础上对北部湾地震活动趋势作了初步分析。     

PHENOMENA AND CONTROLLING FACTORS IN DRAWDOWN FLUSHING PROCESSES

IINTRODUCTIONByutilizingthenatUralpowerofflow,hydraulicflushingisaneconomicaltechniquetoremovethedepositedsedimentineitherasettlingbasinorareservoir.Inmanyreservoirsaroundtheworld,hydraulicflushinghasbeenprovenasaneffectivemethodtosustainthereservoirstoragecapacity.Hydraulicflushingprocessesmayinvolveboththeprocessesofscouringpreviousdepositsandpassingincomingsediment-ladenflow,suchasgravitycurrent,throughareservoirtobereleased.Inthisarticle,onlytheformercaseisdiscussed.Thekeythinginthef…     

Theoretical discussion and Monte-Carlo simulations for a Negative Binomial process paradox

The idea of an over-threshold sampling is to retain all the events of a time-series exceeding a given threshold. The probabilistic analysis implies estimating two statistical models, one describing the occurrence of the events (date of the events), the other describing their magnitude (value of the local maximum). These two models are then combined to obtain the distribution of the annual maxima. A well-known result of a Poisson process is that waiting time, defined as the duration between two successive events exceeding the threshold, is exponentially distributed. The assertion that the waiting time of a Negative Binomial process is also exponentially distributed seems to be in obvious contradiction with the Poisson process properties. A theoretical discussion and Monte-Carlo simulations are presented to solve this apparent paradox.     

A simulation system of seismogeny, occurrence and development of earthquakes

A personal computer processing system for simulation of earthquake seismogeny, occurrence and development is given in this paper. It can automatically process the discontinuous events such as earthquake occurrence during computation. The program can be paused when you want to display the computation results. After you analyze these graphical results the simulation process can be continued.     

Rupture process of the M_L=4.1 earthquake in Huailai Basin on July 20, 1995

IntroductionIntheanalogrecordingera,onlyarrivaltimePwaveonsetandmaximumamplitudeofrecordingswereusedtocalculatetheparametersofearthquakefool.Sincelate1970s,withtheincreasingnumberofdigitalseismicnetworkcomingintooperation,itispossibletodofurtherresearchesinfocalphysics.Toinvertmoredetailedparameterssuchastempo-spatialprocessesofearthquakefoolusingdigitalseismicdataisanimportantfieldindigitalseismology.Sourcetimefunction(STF)isoneofkeyparametersaboutruptureprocessesofearthquakefocuses.Spontan…     

青藏高原北部地区强震演化过程研究

研究了青藏高原北部地区≥ 7级地震时空分布特征、孕育演化过程,并探讨了物理解释。结果表明,本地区≥ 7级地震空间上受区内主要活动断裂控制,发震间隔时间具有一定的规律性;同时,本地区≥ 7级地震的孕震演化过程具有共性行为,表现为孕震构造10年尺度的大范围中强震平静,研究区2～ 5年尺度的中强震频发,末次中强震的时空任意性等特征,对区域地震分析预报具有实用价值。     

Prediction of weather parameters on a very short time scale by an Auto Regressive process for aviation flight planning

Forecasting weather parameters such as temperature and pressure with a reasonable degree of accuracy three hours ahead of the scheduled departure of an aircraft helps economic and efficient planning of aircraft operations. However, these two parameters exhibit a high degree of persistency and have nonstationary mean and variance at sub-periods (i.e. at 0000, 0300, 0600,…, 2100UTC). Hence these series have been standardised (to have mean 0 and variance 1) and thereafter seasonal differenced (lag 8) to achieve almost near stationarity. An attempt has been made to fit the standardised and seasonal differenced series of Chennai (a coastal station) and Trichy (an inland station) airport into an Auto Regressive (AR) process. The model coefficients have been estimated based on adaptive filter algorithm which uses the method of convergence by the steepest descent. The models were tested with an independent data set and diagnostic checks were made on the residual error series. An independent estimation of fractal dimension has also been made in this study to conform the number parameters used in the AR processes. The models contemplated in this study are parsimonious and can be used to forecast surface temperature and pressure.     

莆田地区11月份暴雨成因初析

本文讨论１９６１￣１９９６年１１月份福建省莆田地区出现暴雨过程的成因,分析表明暴雨的发生与南海东部沿海热带气旋（或低压）的例槽和北方冷空气共同影响密切相关,并讨论其形势特点、分析其物理量特征,同时进行对比分析。     

Experimental study on strain field evolution around a simulated thrust fault

Earthquakes result from continuous geodynamic processes. A topic of significant interest for the scientific community is to elaborate on the phenomena governing the faulting and fracturing of crustal rocks. Therefore, in this study, uniaxial compressive shear failure experiments were conducted on Fangshan marble rock samples with a prefabricated slot to simulate thrust faulting. The center of each marble plate (105 mm × 80 mm × 5 mm) was engraved with a 30-mm long double-sided nonpenetrating slot (depth: 2 mm, width: 0.5 mm). The deformation and destruction processes of the rock surface were recorded using a high-speed camera. The digital image correlation method was used to calculate the displacement and strain distribution and variation at different loading stages. The accumulative and incremental displacement fields u and v , strain field e_x and e_y, and shear strain e_xy were analyzed. When the loading level reached its ultimate value, the strain field was concentrated around the prefabricated slot. The concentration reached a maximum at the ends of the prefabricated slot. The magnitude of shear strain reached 0.1. This experiment contributes to our understanding of the dynamic process of active faulting.     

The Utilization and Modeling of Photo-Fenton Process as a Single Unit in Textile Wastewater Treatment

Studies on the direct application of the photo-Fenton process (PFOP) to disinfect and decontaminate textile wastewater are rare. The output of the artificial neural network (ANN) models applied to the wastewater of a textile factory producing woven fabrics, which is used to assess the efficiency of the PFOP process, are investigated and compared with each other in this study. The highest PFOP efficiency is obtained at a pH of 3. Chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended solids (SS) and color removal rates are 94%, 90%, and 96%, respectively. The data are modeled with ANNs and nonlinear external input autoregressive ANNs (NARX-ANN) using the MATLAB R2020a software program. Both Levenberg–Marquardt (trainlm) and scaled conjugate gradient (trainscg) algorithms are employed in the ANN and NARX-ANN models, whereas hyperbolic tangent sigmoid (Tansig) and logistic sigmoid (Logsig) functions are superimposed on the hidden layer in the ANN model, and Tansig functions are superimposed on the NARX-ANN model. It is determined that the developed ANN models are more effective in estimating the PFOP efficiency. The mean squared error is 0.000 953, and the coefficient of determination (R²) is 0.96 661.