对应分析的原理和数据预处理

本文对多元统计分析中目前应用的对应分析方法的原理公式作了重新推导,提出 z_(ij)=(p_(ij)/p_(i.)p_(.j))-1的数据变换公式;并对原始数据作了严格的预处理。最后应用一个实例计算和作图,与简单的因子分析及原用的对应分析成果作了比较。理论和算例都说明本文介绍的对应分析的数据预处理和分析方法较原用方法原理上更正确,应用上更合理,并克服了变量中对各种数据原有的局限性。     

Isofactorial models for granulodensimetric data

Existing isofactorial models developed for disjunctive kriging using a cutoff grade on one variable are extended to the bivariate case which arises when dealing with granulo-densimetric data, such as are obtained from coal washing or mineral processing.     

平面滑动标准化法在区域水化资料整理中的应用

平面滑动标准化法是应用电子计算机处理(以下简体电算)大量区域水化资料的一种方法。它能够较好地反映水中各种元素的区域分布和圈定高背景区,准确地确定各类水异常的规模、强度和空间展布,有效地检出大量数据中的微弱信息,比传统整理方法具有显著的优越性。本文以65地区的应用效果加以说明。     

Multispectral remote sensing of biomass burning in West Africa

Remote sensing measurements provide a vauable means of determining the extent of burning areas and of estimating the overall distribution of pollutant sources (identified from experimental studies) in time and space. This distribution has to be taken into account in the boundary conditions of chemistry atmospheric models.Recent methods developed for the remote sensing of active fires in tropical or temperated forest zones, have been found to be completely inadequate for fire detection on West African savannas. In order to accurately estimate the active fire distribution in the function of different sorts of West African savannas (Sahelian, Sudanian and Guinean) and forests, a multispectral methodology has been developed based on NOAA/11-AVHRR satellite data, with the purpose of eliminating as much as possible the problems related to large surface heterogeneity, confusion and bias, produced by clouds, smoke, haze, background emissivities, etc.Unlike other methods, the results show that the multispectral method, in spite of its selectivity, provides realistic results, and does not under- or over-estimate the number of fires that can be sensed by the satellite. Consequently, this methodology is more appropriate than the simplest ones for a systematic sensing of this phenomenon.     

完整资料的地震危险性参数估计及敏感性分析

应用考虑震级不确定笥和资料完整性估计地震危险性参数的极大似然法，分别采用１９４０年和１０７０年至１９９３年完整的地震资料，计算了汾渭地震带及陕南地区的地震危险性参数。结果表明：利用近几十年来的完整地震资料结合研究区历史上发生的最大地震，可以得到较为可靠的地震危险性参数；参数敏感性分析表明，完整震级不确定性对β的影响较小；随震级不确定性的增大地震年发生率减小；在资料完整的前提下，震级下限在一定范围内     

中国地震历史资料的信息开发与利用

本文对全国历史地震资料的有用信息作了进一步的开发和利用，按统一方法处理了大量有感以上地震的文字记载，确字每个独立地震的时间与地点；分区求得地震的有感区长半径与震级的关系式；确定了历史有感地震的最低震级为４；取得了８０００余次有感地震垢基本参数；用等震线测定了巨大地震的参数；将有感强震目录统编成全国与几个大区Ｍ≥４．０地震目录，按《地震学地震预报实用程序系统》（ＥＰＳＥＩＳ）的格式要求建库；同时编制     

地震前兆资料的灰关联综合分析方法

本文应用灰色系统理论的关联分析方法，从系统的整体观点出发，对唐山地震的前兆资料进行综合处理。结果表明，震前前兆综合映震场与临震场的关联度随震源应力场的加剧而逐步趋升且逼近1，这一特征可作为临震状态的标志。该方法对于地震预报具有一定的实用价值。     

乌鲁木齐重力潮汐研究与震兆异常

利用Ｖｅｎｅｄｉｋｏｖ调和分析法分析了乌鲁木齐ＧＳ－１５－２１６重力仪１９９０～１９９３年的潮汐记录，得到了该地区的重力潮汐参量：δｏ１＝１．１５８２６±０．０００４９，Δｏ１＝０．１５±０．０２，δＭ２＝１．１６１０８±０．０００２２，ΔＭ２＝－０．３２±０．０１。主波Ｍ２和Ｏ１的结果与１９８０年中比协作时ＧＥＯ－０８４的观测结果一致，与Ｍｏｌｏｄｅｎｓｋｙ模型１值符合很好。不同时段得到的δ值和Δ值内符合精度高，表明乌鲁木齐地区重力场稳定，重力仪性能稳定，观测资料可用于检验地球模型、研究地球深部构造以及震源物理场。分析了和静东北两次５．２级地震前δＭ２值的短期前兆异常，确认从目前的重力潮汐观测中可以分辨出变化量大于１％的δ因子震兆异常．     

Exploratory spectral analysis of hydrological times series

Current methods of estimation of the univariate spectral density are reviewed and some improvements are made. It is suggested that spectral analysis may perhaps be best thought of as another exploratory data analysis (EDA) tool which complements, rather than competes with, the popular ARMA model building approach. A new diagnostic check for ARMA model adequacy based on the nonparametric spectral density is introduced. Additionally, two new algorithms for fast computation of the autoregressive spectral density function are presented. For improving interpretation of results, a new style of plotting the spectral density function is suggested. Exploratory spectral analyses of a number of hydrological time series are performed and some interesting periodicities are suggested for further investigation. The application of spectral analysis to determine the possible existence of long memory in natural time series is discussed with respect to long riverflow, treering and mud varve series. Moreover, a comparison of the estimated spectral densities suggests the ARMA models fitted previously to these datasets adequately describe the low frequency component. Finally, the software and data used in this paper are available by anonymous ftp from fisher.stats.uwo.ca.     

裂隙各向异性介质波场VSP多分量记录的数值模拟

从各向异性介质中最为普遍的裂隙各向异性介质出发，推导了同零井源距ＶＳＰ三分量观测方式相一致的一维三分量波动方程．为了更符合实际观测，引入了坐标旋转，可以模拟井中任意方位的多层各向异性介质的波场响应．用有限元方法进行了波场数值模拟，重点突出了获得凡Ｒ_３×３矩阵剖面的方法，同时对Ｒ_３×３，矩阵剖面进行了一般性的分析解释，事实证明，Ｒ_３×３矩阵剖面含有介质丰富的各向异性信息．