A simplified hindcast method for the estimation of extreme storm surge events in semi-enclosed basins

Human presence, coastal erosion, and tourism activities are increasing the attention to coastal flooding risk. To perform risk assessments, long time series of observed or hindcast wave parameters and tide levels are then necessary. In some cases, only a few years of observation are available, so that observed extreme data are not always representative and reliable. A hindcast system aimed to reconstruct long time series of total tide levels may be of great help to perform robust extreme events analysis and then to protect human life, activities as well as to counteract coastal erosion by means of risk assessments. This work aims to propose a simplified method to hindcast storm surge levels time series in semi-enclosed basins with low computational costs. The method is an extension of a previous work of some of the authors and consists of a mixed approach in which the estimation of storm surge obtained by using the theory of linear dynamic system is corrected by using a statistical method. Both steps are characterized by low computational costs. Nevertheless, the results may be considered reliable enough also in view of the simplicity of the approach. The proposed method has been applied to the Manfredonia case study, a small village located in the Southern Adriatic Italian coast and often prone to coastal flooding events. The comparison of extreme events estimated on the basis of hindcast levels time series is satisfactorily similar to those estimated on the basis of observed tide series.     

Past,present and future vegetation-cloud feedbacks in the Amazon Basin

To begin exploring the underlying mechanisms that couple vegetation to cloud formation processes, we derive the lifting condensation level (LCL) to estimate cumulus cloud base height. Using a fully coupled land–ocean–atmosphere general circulation model (HadCM3LC), we investigate Amazonian forest feedbacks on cloud formation over three geological periods; modern-day (a.d. 1970–1990), the last glacial maximum (LGM; 21 kya), and under a future climate scenario (IS92a; a.d. 2070–2090). Results indicate that for both past and future climate scenarios, LCL is higher relative to modern-day. Statistical analyses indicate that the 800 m increase in LCL during the LGM is related primarily to the drier atmosphere promoted by lower tropical sea surface temperatures. In contrast, the predicted 1,000 m increase in LCL in the future scenario is the result of a large increase in surface temperature and reduced vegetation cover.     

地球重力场模型在GPS高程测量中的应用

介绍了地球重力场模型（EGM2008）及其精度,对利用EGM2008模型进行GPS高程测量这一方法进行了探讨。在试验区内采用多种方案进行数据处理,结合试验区内的已有GPS水准点资料的情况进行了分析,通过对多种方案进行比较分析,得出了利用EGM2008模型进行GPS高程测量的精度与采用水准点的大致关系,为GPS高程测量提供一种新思路。     

黑龙江流域洪峰水位特征分析

黑龙江流域地跨中、俄、蒙三国,沿岸地区洪水灾害频繁,在一定程度上制约了当地国民经济的发展。因此,有必要对流域的洪峰水位变化特征进行分析,为流域水资源管理提供可靠依据。结合SPSS对相邻两站的洪峰水位进行相关分析,相邻两水位站的相关系数均较大,成极显著相关,且有非常显著的统计学意义。经回归分析得出相邻两站间洪峰水位均成线性关系,且不包含常数项。降水量对洪峰水位影响分析表明,最大洪峰雨量的影响最为显著,其次是汛期雨量,相关关系最不显著的是年降水量。     

川东地区碳酸盐岩超压与天然气富集关系研究

地层流体超压的形成、演化及分布与油气成藏的主要石油地质过程有着千丝万缕地联系。由于碳酸盐岩本身的复杂性，其超压的成因及研究方法不能简单地借用“欠压实”的原理。本文从对比砂泥岩和碳酸盐岩在成压机理上的差异性入手，详细探讨了川东地区碳酸盐岩成压的各种机理，指出成烃作用是造成区域性超压的最主要因素；并结合该区超压平面上的分区性及纵向上的分带性，论述了各区、带超压与气藏分布的内在联系，总结出该区超压与天然气富集的关系。     

空间信息元数据互操作技术框架研究与实现

从空间信息语义层中的元数据互操作角度出发,讨论适用于空间信息元数据互操作的理论和方法,并提出基于扩展的元数据互操作协议的空间信息元数据互操作理论应用技术框架。     

北极海冰变化特征分析

本文利用NASA的海冰密集度资料(时间为1978年10月～2002年9月,分辨率为1.0×0.25),计算并分析了1978～2002年的北极海冰面积、范围的时间变化趋势以及变化的空间分布。     

深海液压主从式机械手控制器

深海主从式机械手控制器是一个比较复杂的系统,可靠性要求高.分析了美国Schilling机械手的特点,介绍了研制的一台6自由度的机械手控制器的硬件电路和软件算法.该控制器运行稳定.机械手动作精度、速度满足使用要求.     

月面形貌的3维可视化算法

基于大范围地形可视化算法研究的基础上,对平面geometry clipmaps算法进行改进,利用GPU的顶点着色器实现平面地形向球面地形的投影变换,并综合利用球面视域裁剪、球面视点控制等技术,使geometry clipmaps算法适用于球面海量地形数据的3维可视化;收集处理月球全球影像和形貌高程数据,对算法进行验证,实现月球表面形貌的实时动态3维可视化.试验表明:绘制算法可不受数据量大小的限制、绘制效率高、效果逼真,但存在两极变形较大的缺点.

Abstract：

Based on the study of visualization arithmetic of large area terrain, plane geometry clipmaps algorithm is improved. Projection transformation from plane landform to sphere landform was realized by using GPU vertex shader. In that improved algorithm, methods such as sphere vision field culling and sphere viewpoint control are used.That makes geometry clipmops algorithm more effective in 3D visualization of massive sphere terrain data. The whole moon image and DEM data are collected and disposed, which are used to verify the capability of that algorithm, realizing dynamic and real time 3D visualization of moon surface. The experiments show that the graphic algorithm isn't limited by data quantity, which is of high efficiency and reality simulation, but the two-pole distortion is serious.     

大气重力信号的理论计算及其检测

基于标准大气定律和大气圆柱体分布模型,本文引进了大气重力格林函数,用离散格积方法求得了大气对重力场观测的影响,对台站高程、周围地形和地表温度变化等因素的影响问题进行了讨论．结果说明台站近区气压变化是大气重力信号的主要贡献者,考虑大气质量负荷引起的弹性地球形变效应后,对距台站0．5°的区域积分获得的大气重力导纳值为-0．3603μGal／hPa,占全球大气变化引起的总信号的90％以上,这一理论模型结果与超导重力仪实测结果相吻合,并能较有效地用于消除重力观测中的气压干扰成分．