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11.
2003年西北太平洋热带气旋活动特征分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文综述了2003年西北太平洋上热带气旋活动特征,并对西北太平洋副热带高压特征量及赤道东太平洋海温与常年进行比较和相关分析,从而找出2003年西北太平洋热带气旋活动特征的成因。 相似文献
12.
本文分析了影响我国近海的温带气旋气候特征及其影响因素。分析得出:3-7月是温带气旋的盛季,4月份是全年中温带气旋最多的月份。赤道东太平洋海温异常增暖的年份,温带气旋增多。 相似文献
13.
近58a来影响和登陆浙江的热带气旋统计特征分析 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
本文利用1949-2006年热带气旋资料,对58a来影响和登陆浙江热带气旋的登陆位置、登陆时间的年际、月际和日变化、登陆后的移速及路径变化与降水中心分布的关系、登陆后维持和衰减情况等进行了统计分析.统计结果表明:影响和登陆浙江的热带气旋有较明显的年际、月际和日变化特征;登陆浙江的热带气旋陆上维持时间与登陆时的强度正相关,登陆后12h内热带气旋衰减较快;登陆后移向偏北分量大的或移速加快的热带气旋,主要降水区出现在路径右侧的可能性大. 相似文献
14.
本文根据1949~1989年热带气旋历史资料,对影响东海的热带气旋进行了统计分析,结果表明,热带气旋在东海的活动相当频繁,特别是7、8、9三个月;热带气旋逐年出现个数有明显的年际波动和季节性变化;进入东海的热带气旋大致分为七类路径,不同路径的热带气旋对东海沿岸地区造成不同程度的危害,其灾情以具体实例作了阐述。 相似文献
15.
The evolution of an explosive cyclone off the East Asia coast in March 1979 is described.A shortwave trough in the southern branch of upper-level westerlies initiated the incipient cyclone.Later,a polar trough in the north amplified and became in phase with the southern shortwave to form a major trough.This major trough was responsible for the rapid intensification of the surface cyclone.In the early development stage,warm and moist air was transported northward to the developing area by a strong low-level jet.The ageostrophic wind associated with the low-level jet contributed to the frontogenesis,creating a favorable low-level environment for the rapid deepening.A low-level positive potential vorticity anomaly was created prior to the onset of rapid deepening.It was a result of frontal cloud condensation.The cyclone intensified rapidly when stratospheric air with high potential vorticity penetrated to the mid-troposphere.The rapid deepening took place at a location under the left-exit region of an amplifying jet streak behind the major trough and the right-entrance region of another anticyclonically-curved subtropical jet streak in a quasi-stationary ridge overJapan.Due to the blocking effect of the Tibetan Plateau,two shortwave disturbances were observed in the upper-level westerlies on the north and south sides of the Plateau.The southern disturbance initiated the incipient surface cyclone,while the amplifying northern disturbance was responsible for the rapid deepening.Thus,the evolution of the explosive cyclone in this case can be regarded as consecutive Petterssen's "type-B" cyclogenesis in two separate stages. 相似文献
16.
Neetu Agnihotri P. Chittibabu Indu Jain P. C. Sinha A. D. Rao S. K. Dube 《Natural Hazards》2006,39(1):83-101
The paper describes a two-dimensional bay–river coupled numerical model for storm surges along the Andhra coast of India.
The effect of the Krishna and Godavari rivers on the surge development is analysed. A comparative study of the surge generated
by a tropical cyclone with and without the inclusion of rivers is done in detail. Three cyclones that struck the Andhra coast
in November 1977, May 1990 and November 1996 were used for the simulation studies. It is found that the idealized model without
a river overestimates the sea-level elevation as compared to a more realistic bay–river coupled model. The temporal variation
of surge values at the mouth of the rivers is also studied for all three cyclone cases. It is found that the effect of the
presence of rivers depends on the strength of the cyclone, its point of landfall and the location of the rivers with respect
to the landfall point. 相似文献
17.
利用由美国NOAA系列卫星观测的OLR资料研究了影响华东地区热带气旋年频数(记为ATC)与热带对流场的关系,结果表明两者存在密切的联系:(1)当华东地区热带气旋年频数ATC为异常偏多(少)时,ITCZ位置累积距平为正(负)值,即ITCZ位置异常偏北(南);(2)利用OLR设计了Walker综合指数WI,该指数的强弱可以反映ATC的异常情况,即当ATC为异常偏多(少)时,walker环流圈异常强(弱);(3)OLR距平累积量场能较好的表征ATC异常年份所对应的低纬度及中高纬地区大气环流的配置,其可以作为预测影响华东地区热带气旋年频数的强信号。 相似文献
18.
19.
The present study is carried out to examine the performance of a regional atmospheric model in forecasting tropical cyclones
over the Bay of Bengal and its sensitivity to horizontal resolution. Two cyclones, which formed over the Bay of Bengal during
the years 1995 and 1997, are simulated using a regional weather prediction model with two horizontal resolutions of 165 km
and 55 km. The model is found to perform reasonably well towards simulation of the storms. The structure, intensity and track
of the cyclones are found to be better simulated by finer resolution of the model as compared to the coarse resolution. Rainfall
amount and its distribution are also found to be sensitive to the model horizontal resolution. Other important fields, viz.,
vertical velocity, horizontal divergence and horizontal moisture flux are also found to be sensitive to model horizontal resolution
and are better simulated by the model with finer horizontal grids. 相似文献
20.