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91.
92.
A multidisciplinary multi-scale framework for assessing vulnerabilities to global change 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Marc J. Metzger Rik Leemans Dagmar Schrter 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2005,7(4):253-267
Terrestrial ecosystems provide a number of vital services for people and society, such as food, fibre, water resources, carbon sequestration, and recreation. The future capability of ecosystems to provide these services is determined by changes in socio-economic factors, land use, atmospheric composition, and climate. Most impact assessments do not quantify the vulnerability of ecosystems and ecosystem services under such environmental change. They cannot answer important policy-relevant questions such as 'Which are the main regions or sectors that are most vulnerable to global change?’ 'How do the vulnerabilities of two regions compare?’ 'Which scenario is the least harmful for a sector?’This paper describes a new approach to vulnerability assessment developed by the Advanced Terrestrial Ecosystem Analysis and Modelling (ATEAM) project. Different ecosystem models, covering biodiversity, agriculture, forestry, hydrology, and carbon sequestration are fed with the same Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios based on the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). Each model gives insights into specific ecosystems, as in traditional impact assessments. Moreover, by integrating the results in a vulnerability assessment, the policy-relevant questions listed above can also be addressed. A statistically derived European environmental stratification forms a key element in the vulnerability assessment. By linking it to other quantitative environmental stratifications, comparisons can be made using data from different assessments and spatial scales. 相似文献
93.
相对湿度对静电收集型连续测氡仪检定结果的影响 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
NR-667A(Ⅲ)型快速连续测氧仪是目前环境氡测量时间响应最短的一种仪器。该仪器在核工业第六研究所标准氡室进行检定时发现,环境相对相对度对仪器检定结果有很大影响。在相对湿度为80%-99%的标准氡室内分别对仪器进行检定,结果在相对湿度为80%时仪器检定合格,而在相对湿度为99%时仪器检定不合格。本从仪器工作原理对检定结果进行。并提出有效的解决方法,当相对湿度太大时,可在仪器进气口安装干燥器对进气进行除湿。 相似文献
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96.
I. Alberico L. Lirer P. Petrosino R. Scandone 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2002,116(1-2)
The volcanological history of Campi Flegrei suggests that the most frequent eruptions are characterized by the emplacement of pyroclastic flow and surge deposits erupted from different vents scattered over a 150-km2 caldera. The evaluation of volcanic risk in volcanic fields is complex because of the lack of a central vent. To approach this problem, we subdivided the entire area of Campi Flegrei into a regular grid and evaluated the relative spatial probability of opening of vents based on geological, geophysical and geochemical data. We evaluated the volcanic risk caused by pyroclastic flows based on the formula proposed by UNESCO (1972), R=H×V×Va, where H is the hazard, V is the vulnerability and Va is the value of the elements at risk. The product H×V was obtained by performing simulations of type eruptions centered in each cell of the grid. The simulation is based on the energy cone scheme proposed by Sheridan and Malin [J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 17 (1983) 187–202], hypothesizing a column collapse height of 100 m for eruptions of VEI=3 and 300 m for eruptions of VEI=4 with a slope angle of 6°. Each simulation has been given the relative probability value associated with the corresponding cell. We made use of the GIS software ArcView 3.2 to evaluate the intersection between the energy cone and the topography. The superposition of the areas invaded by pyroclastic flows (124 simulations for VEI=3 and 37 for VEI=4) was used to obtain the relative hazard map of the area. The relative volcanic risk map is obtained by superimposing the urbanization maps. 相似文献
97.
Jean‐Jacques Macaire Saïda Bellemlih Christian Di‐Giovanni Patrick De Luca Lionel Visset Jacques Bernard 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2002,27(9):991-1009
In the Négron River catchment area (162 km2), surface‐sediment stores are composed of periglacial calcareous ‘grèze’ (5 × 106 t) and loess (21 × 106 t), and Holocene alluvium (12·6 × 106 t), peat (0·6 × 106 t) and colluvium (18·5 × 106 t). Seventy‐five per cent of the Holocene sediments is stored along the thalwegs. Present net sediment yield, calculated from solid discharge at the Négron outlet, is low (0·6 t km?2 a?1) due to the dominance of carbonate rocks in the catchment. Mean sediment yield during the Holocene period is 7·0 t km?2 a?1 from alluvium stores and 7·6 t km?2 a?1 from colluvium stores. Thus, the gross sediment yield during the Holocene period is about 18·7 t km?2 a?1 and the sediment delivery ratio 3 per cent. The yield considerably varies from one sub‐basin to another (3·9 to 24·5 t km?2 a?1) according to lithology: about 25 per cent and 50 per cent of initial stores of periglacial grèze and loess respectively were reworked during the Holocene period. Sediment yield has increased by a factor of 6 in the last 1000 years, due to the development of agriculture. The very high rate of sediment storage on the slope during that period (88 per cent of the yield) can be accounted for by the formation of cultivation steps (‘rideaux’). It is predicted that the current destruction of these steps will result in a sediment wave reaching the valley floors in the coming decades. Subboreal and Subatlantic sediments and pollen assemblages in the Taligny marsh, where one‐third of the alluvium is stored, show the predominant influence of human activity during these periods in the Négron catchment. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
98.
Masao Komazawa Hitoshi Morikawa Kajuro Nakamura Junpei Akamatsu Keiichi Nishimura Sumio Sawada Ayfer Erken Akin Onalp 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2002,22(9-12):829-836
The 1999 Kocaeli earthquake brought serious damage to downtown of Adapazari. To study why strong motions were generated at the town, a bedrock structure was investigated on the basis of Bouguer gravity anomaly, and SPAC and H/V analyses of microseisms. It was revealed that, the basin consists of three narrow depressions of bedrock with very steep edges, extending in E–W or NE–SW directions along the North Anatolia faults, and the depth to bedrock reaches 1000 m or more. Downtown of Adapazari is located 1–2 km apart from the basin-edge. It is considered that, the specific configuration of bedrock amplifies ground motions at the downtown area by focusing of seismic waves and/or interference between incident S-waves and surface-waves secondarily generated at the basin-edge. Studying 3D bedrock structure is an urgent issue for microzoning an urban area in a sedimentary basin. 相似文献
99.
桥梁限位器抗震设计方法研究 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
本文建立了两跨简支梁桥和五跨多跨刚架桥两结构模型,针对限位器的种类、刚度、强度、安装位置,输入地震动等进行了大量工况下的数值模拟研究。研究表明限位器与柱(框架)的刚度比在0.5-2之间较优。将现有的限位器设计方法应用于两算例结构,对现有限位器设计方法进行了比较研究。 相似文献
100.
南京地区新近沉积土的动剪切模量和阻尼比的初步研究 总被引:9,自引:1,他引:9
本文通过对南京地区两个工程场地漫滩相成因的砂土和淤泥质粉粘土与粉砂互层土的自振动柱试验结果进行分析,探讨了围压对剪切模量G及阻力比λ的影响,通过与Seed和Idriss建议的砂土G/Gmax-γ和λ-γ曲线变化范围的对比,认为不能简单地把淤泥质粉质粘土与粉砂层土当作砂土或粉质粘土对待。 相似文献