The success rate and precision of GPS ambiguities

 An application of a theorem on the optimality of integer least-squares (LS) is described. This theorem states that the integer LS estimator maximizes the ambiguity success rate within the class of admissible integer estimators. This theorem is used to show how the probability of correct integer estimation depends on changes in the second moment of the ambiguity `float' solution. The distribution of the `float' solution is considered to be a member of the broad family of elliptically contoured distributions. Eigenvalue-based bounds for the ambiguity success rate are obtained. Received: 11 January 1999 / Accepted: 2 November 1999     

Climatology of Lightning Activity over the Indian Seas

The climatology of lightning activity over the Indian seas (Arabian Sea (AS) and Bay of Bengal (BoB)) has been studied using monthly satellite-based lightning flash count grid (0.5°?×?0.5°) data from 1998 to 2007. These data have been used to investigate the annual and seasonal variations in lightning activity over the Indian seas. It was found that annual variations in flash rate density and sea surface temperature (SST) show a bimodal pattern with the first peak occurring in May and the second in October. The correlation coefficients between flash rate density and SSTs are 0.76 and 0.65 for the AS and BoB, respectively. Further, the relationship between flash rate density and a low pressure system (LPS) over the BoB shows that the formation of severe tropical cyclonic storms starts during April with the maximum number of storms forming during August. The performance of monsoon on a seasonal and monthly basis depends on the total number of lows, the formation of a depression in the monsoon trough, and the number of days with an LPS. Secular decreases in the number of lows and monsoon depressions were observed in 2000, 2002, and 2004. Overall, results indicate that the peaks in SST during April and September/October over the AS and the BoB may be responsible for advancing the onset of the southwest and northeast monsoon by 30–40 days.     

三峡工程岩体破坏分析中面连通率研究

介绍了面连通率在岩体破坏研究中的表述方法。连通率的大小可反映破坏概率的大小。选择可能滑动面进行连通率计算方法有：多个结构面组成的折面;单个结构面的扩展面。两种面连通率均反映了在空间平面上结构面的发育程度,揭露更多隐藏的破坏性信息,有利于定量、定位分析岩体稳定性。     

Late-Quaternary Slip Rate and Seismic Activity of the Xianshuihe Fault Zone in Southwest China

The Xianshuihe fault zone is a seismo-genetic fault zone of left-lateral slip in Southwest China. Since 1725, a total of 59 Ms ≥ 5.0 earthquakes have occurred along this fault zone, including 18 Ms 6.0–6.9 and eight Ms ≥ 7.0 earthquakes. The seismic risk of the Xianshuihe fault zone is a large and realistic threat to the western Sichuan economic corridor. Based on previous studies, we carried out field geological survey and remote sensing interpretation in the fault zone. In addition, geophysical surveys, trenching and age-dating were conducted in the key parts to better understand the geometry, spatial distribution and activity of the fault zone. We infer to divide the fault zone into two parts: the northwest part and the southeast part, with total eight segments. Their Late Quaternary slip rates vary in a range of 11.5 mm/a –(3±1) mm/a. The seismic activities of the Xianshuihe fault zone are frequent and strong, periodical, and reoccurred. Combining the spatial and temporal distribution of the historical earthquakes, the seismic hazard of the Xianshuihe fault zone has been predicted by using the relationship between magnitude and frequency of earthquakes caused by different fault segments. The prediction results show that the segment between Daofu and Qianning has a possibility of Ms ≥ 7.0 earthquakes, while the segment between Shimian and Luding is likely to have earthquakes of about Ms 7.0. It is suggested to establish a GPS or In SAR-based real-time monitoring network of surface displacement to cover the Xianshuihe fault zone, and an early warning system of earthquakes and post seismic geohazards to cover the major residential areas.     

Observational Test of an Accretion Model of Star Formation in Galactic Clusters

Theoretical predictions of an accretion model of star formation in galactic clusters, published quite long ago, which is found to have some relevance with the current picture of star formation have been tested with observation of seven clusters of young and intermediate ages. It is found that the agreement between the theory and observation is very good.     

茶卡盐湖溶洞水平均上渗速率的计算─箱状模型的应用

应用箱状模型的理论，建立了茶卡盐湖及其外围水系的箱状模型，在测定茶卡盐湖丰水季节和枯水季节卤水的水量及流入湖区河水、泉水的流量的基础上，计算了茶卡盐湖溶洞水上渗补给湖水的平均速率，得到了满意的结果。     

基于GeoDa的爱丁堡市犯罪行为与位置关系分析

近年来,犯罪和暴力问题已经成为人们重点关注的社会热点问题,其严重影响社会和谐以及人民日常生活质量.暴力犯罪行为可能由于多种原因引起,其中之一就是就业情况.公众普遍认为,高失业率将引发高犯罪率,因此检测就业情况与犯罪行为之间的关系就显得尤为重要.本文将主要针对不同类型犯罪行为以及总犯罪率与失业率之间的关系进行分析,以便分析其中的关系和联系.在GeoDa软件的帮助下,可以形成一系列图表来帮助得到需要的结果.暴力犯罪、毒品犯罪和入室犯罪将作为典型犯罪类型进行单独分析.从1980年开始,苏格兰政府开始进行了一系列的统计,其主要目的是检测苏格兰地区的所有基本参数以便为苏格兰研究机构提供帮助.本文基于苏格兰政府SIMD统计参数,并主要针对爱丁堡这一苏格兰政治经济中心同时也是苏格兰首府进行分析.     

FTIR studies of reactions between the nitrate radical and haloethenes

Products and mechanisms for the gas-phase reactions of NO₃ radicals with CH₂=CHCl, CH₂=CCl₂, CHCl=CCl₂,cis-CHCl=CHCl andtrans-CHCl=CHCl in air have been studied. The experiments were carried out at 295±2 K and 740±5 Torr in a 480-L Teflon-coated reaction chamber and at 295±2 K and 760±5 Torr in a 250-L stainless steel reactor. NO₃ was generated by the thermal dissociation of N₂O₅. Experiments with¹⁵NO₃ and CD₂CDCl have also been performed. The initially formed nitrate peroxynitrates decay into carbonyl compounds, nitrates, HCl and ClNO₂. In adidtion, there are indications of nitrooxy acid chlorides being produced. The reactions with CH₂=CCl₂ and CHCl=CCl₂ are more complex due to release of chlorine atoms which eventually lead to formation of chloroacid chlorides.A general reaction mechanism is proposed and the observed concentration-time profiles of reactants and products are simulated for each compound. The rate constants for the initial step of NO₃ addition to the chloroethenes are determined as: (2.6±0.5, 9.4±0.9, 2.0±0.4 and 1.4±0.4) × 10^–16 cm³ molecule^–1 s^–1 for CH₂=CHCl, CH₂=CCl₂, CHCl=CCl₂ andcis-CHCl=CHCl, respectively.     

Improvement and Application of the Similarity Saltation Model: Wind-Tunnel Experimental Investigation and Numerical Simulation of the Vertical Sand Mass Flux Distribution in the Saltation Layer

Based upon comparisons between published experimental data and simulated results on the vertical sand flux distribution in the saltation layer, Shao’s similarity saltation model has been greatly improved by correcting the average vertical particle lift-off velocity and using a more suitable universal roughness length. By the improved model, the vertical sand flux profile over the bare, dry and loose uniform sandy surface, which is quite representative of real desert surfaces, can be reproduced very well. Meanwhile, the surface transport rate and the characteristic and average saltation heights have been simulated and analyzed in detail, disclosing their relationships with friction velocity, particle size and roughness length, and the possible underlying mechanisms. Besides, the average particle lift-off velocity and the average mean vertical aerodynamic action upon the ascending particle, which determine the saltation process, are explicitly expressed by parameters involved in the similarity model, and their relationships with friction velocity, particle size and roughness length are also described concisely. The corrected average particle lift-off velocity makes it possible to investigate the characteristic particle trajectory, whose initial velocity equals the average lift-off velocity, so as to estimate the average particle against surface impacting velocity and the average aerodynamic action upon the saltation process.     

水稻低温敏不育系培矮64s“冷灌繁种”适用技术研究

通过对低温敏不育系水稻培矮６４ｓ育性敏感期间冷水灌溉处理后的农田微气象要素和自交结实率的平行观测，分析研究了供试不育系的适宜灌水时段、灌水深度以及灌溉用水量等的“冷灌繁种”适用技术。