Cross-site analysis of perceived ecosystem service benefits in multifunctional landscapes

Rural development policies in many Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries promote sustainable landscape management with the intention of providing multiple ecosystem services (ES). Yet, it remains unclear which ES benefits are perceived in different landscapes and by different people. We present an assessment of ES benefits perceived and mapped by residents (n = 2,301) across 13 multifunctional (deep rural to peri-urban) landscapes in Europe. We identify the most intensively perceived ES benefits, their spatial patterns, and the respondent and landscape characteristics that determine ES benefit perception. We find outdoor recreation, aesthetic values and social interactions are the key ES benefits at local scales. Settlement areas are ES benefit hotspots but many benefits are also related to forests, waters and mosaic landscapes. We find some ES benefits (e.g. culture and heritage values) are spatially clustered, while many others (e.g. aesthetic values) are dispersed. ES benefit perception is linked to people’s relationship with and accessibility to a landscape. Our study discusses how a local perspective can contribute to the development of contextualized and socially acceptable policies for sustainable ES management. We also address conceptual confusion in ES framework and present argumentation regarding the links from services to benefits, and from benefits to different types of values.     

基于WRF模式的风电场短期风速集成预报方法研究

风能始源于大气的运动,具有很大的随机性和间歇性。风速预测是风电场风功率预测的基础,其准确性具有重要的意义。对于复杂地形条件下,风速的预报一直是各国研究的难点和重点。为了提高风电场短期风速预报的准确性,本研究采用多种边界层参数化方案来集成预报风速,将各单一边界层参数化方案预报的风速及相应的实测风速数据,应用随机森林算法建立集成预报模型,对风电场的短期风速进行集成预报研究。试验结果表明,采用集成预报风速方法,预报的风速误差相比于单一边界层参数化方案预报的风速误差明显减小,对研究区域的风速、风向等气象要素有着较好的模拟效果,能够有效提高风速预报的准确率。     

THE THEORY OF RESPONSE ANALYSIS OF FUZZY STOCHASTIC DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS WITH A SINGLE DEGREE OF FREEDOM

Most real-life structural/mechanical systems have complex geometrical and material properties and operate under complex fuzzy environmental conditions. These systems are certainly subjected to fuzzy random excitations induced by the environment. For an analytical treatment of such a system subjected to fuzzy random excitations, it becomes necessary to establish the general theory of dynamic response of a system to fuzzy random excitations. In this paper, the theory of response, fuzzy mean response and fuzzy covariance response of a single-degree-of-freedom (sdf) system to fuzzy random excitations in the time domain and frequency domain is put forward. The theory of response analysis of an sdf system to both stationary and non-stationary fuzzy random excitations in the time domain and frequency domain is established. Two examples are considered in order to demonstrate the rationality and validity of the theory, and the models of stationary filtered white noise and non-stationary filtered white noise fuzzy stochastic processes of the earthquake ground motion are set up. Methods of analysis for fuzzy random seismic response of sdf systems are put forward using the principles of response analysis of an sdf fuzzy random dynamic system.     

四川自一里水电站气垫式调压室围岩渗透性评价

结合自一里水电工程气垫式调压室设计厂房区岩体渗透性研究,提出了从定性分析到定量计算与评价,系统刻画岩体渗透性与分区评价,以满足气垫式调压室设计要求的实用方法.该方法以基础地质与水文地质研究为背景,从系统全面的裂隙测量与统计分析中,获取岩体裂隙空间发育规律和裂隙方向、隙宽、迹长、间距和裂隙率等统计特征值,运用裂隙岩体渗透张量理论,得出分布式岩体渗透主值和综合渗透系数;在此基础上,进行岩体渗透性分区与评价.评价得出:花岗岩夹变质砂岩透镜体的厂区岩体渗透性总体随深度变化,受接触带影响局部渗透性呈强弱交替变化;区内裂隙岩体的渗透性分3级,近地表浅层岩体渗透性较强,综合渗透系数为n×100m/d～n×10-1m/d,调压室区为中等～弱渗透性岩体,渗透系数为n×10-2m/d～n×10-4m/d.     

基于随机振动理论确定桥梁地震碰撞的临界间隙

确定梁桥邻跨间避免地震碰撞的最小间隙,对于梁桥地震碰撞危险性预测及防地震碰撞措施的设计有着显著意义。本文基于随机振动理论建立梁桥地震碰撞邻跨临界间隙的计算方法,分析模型采用跨径不等的两跨简支梁桥,且考虑隔震支座非线性恢复力的影响。文中首先建立了系统的非线性运动方程;随后运用随机等效线性化理论将其线性化;最后在复模态空间推导了临界碰撞间隙的均值与方差的计算方法。人工地震动的非线性时程分析结果验证了本文算法的正确性。参数分析表明,临界间隙随邻跨长度比增大而增大,随支座屈服力与上部结构重量比值减小而增大,随隔震支座屈服位移增大而增大,随桥墩振动周期增大而增大。隔震支座屈服前后刚度比值对临界间隙大小影响很小。     

理想点法在矿床工业价值评价中的应用

应用理想点法的基本原理,建立了一个矿床工业价值评价的数学模型,以我国贵州省兴义市雄武地区铀矿床为实例,构造评价函数得出最优解,结果表明:理想点法能够正确评价出矿床工业价值的大小,为矿石的最优开采提供有价值的参考。     

地震荷载下土层变形等级预测方法研究

以计算结果可靠的土层反应结果为基础数据,基于随机森林算法(Random Forest,简称"RF"),建立地震动、场地土层参数特征量与土层变形特征的关系,提出一种依据常规地震动和场地土层参数为特征量的地震荷载下土层变形等级预测新方法,给出了典型场地土体发生大应变的地震动阈值.结果表明:基于RF模型对土体的变形程度预测结...     

石煤钒矿成分分析标准物质的研制

石煤钒矿资源的开发和合理利用需要对其成分进行准确的分析测试和质量控制.目前,国内外尚未有石煤钒矿成分分析的标准物质,现有钒成分分析标准物质无论是其五氧化二钒含量,还是定值成分都无法满足我国对石煤钒矿勘查、开发和研究需要.本文对采自湖北省崇阳县小源冲钒矿、湖南省芷江县牛牯坪钒矿、湖南省古丈县岩头寨钒矿和湖南省凤凰县黑冲钒...     

基于MATLAB的基本矩阵随机采样鲁棒估计

基本矩阵的估算可以分为线性算法、非线性优化迭代算法、鲁棒估计算法三大类,而以鲁棒估计效率、效果最为突出,但是实现比较复杂。本文通过数码相机获取的两张未标定照片,采样互相关系数法和RANSAC算法,在MATLAB中实现了基本矩阵的自动拟合,实验表明拟合精度较高、速度快,为下一步三维场景的自动重建和量测奠定了基础。     

GPS变形监测动态数据处理中卡尔曼滤波的应用

介绍了卡尔曼滤波的基本原理,针对常规GPS变形监测数据处理中存在着不连续、非实时的缺点,结合卡尔曼滤波的特点,运用三峡实测数据对GPS变形监测动态数据处理中卡尔曼滤波的应用进行研究。并采用各点点位位移速度图对所建立的函数模型进行验证,同时对状态方程的建立及初始值的选取进行分析总结。