连云港海域海水温度近40年来的变化及突变分析

利用2种突变检测方法对连云港海域近40a海水温度的变化特征及突变特征进行了综合分析。结果表明:连云港海域近40a海水温度变化的阶段性特征明显,海水温度的冷暖交替具有突变特征,突变点为1994年。     

1998年区域性水汽输送及对流活动与副高活动变异的相关特征

根据1998年NCEP逐日资料和TBB逐日资料,探讨了低纬度对流活动和副高周边水汽输送及其对流活动对夏季西太平洋副热带高压季节性北跳、南撤的影响效应.研究表明:低纬热带对流加强,且110°-150°E地区的南北向垂直经圈环流下沉区北移,夏季西太平洋副热带高压有北跳现象.另外,诊断结果亦表明西太平洋副高周边纬向水汽输送的显著减弱亦预示将出现副高的北跳,而西太平洋地区低纬经向水汽输送减少一候之后,副高南撤.研究结果表明西太平洋副高北跳、南撤与低纬度的对流潜热释放、中纬西太平洋副高周边的水汽输送及其对流活动存在密切的关系.数值模拟结果进一步证实上述副高活动变异与前期水汽输送及其对流特征的相关关系.     

地震前地温突升现象研究

地温观测,特别是80 cm以下浅层和深井地温观测已基本上摆脱了外界等自然因素的干扰,是获取地热信息的一种比较直观、简便的度量.临震前出现的地温突升现象被认为是探测地震活动的有效手段,已越来越引起人们的普遍关注.文中对地震前浅层地温突升变化特征、浅层地温突升一些观测事实研究、深井地温突升的一些观测事实的研究以及地温突升现象的成因,分别进行了阐述.     

Atmospheric circulation characteristics associated with the onset of Asian summer monsoon

The onset of the Asian summer monsoon has been a focus in the monsoon study for many years. In this paper, we study the variability and predictability of the Asian summer monsoon onset and demonstrate that this onset is associated with specific atmospheric circulation characteristics. The outbreak of the Asian summer monsoon is found to occur first over the southwestern part of the South China Sea (SCS) and the Malay Peninsula region, and the monsoon onset is closely related to intra-seasonal oscillations in the lower atmosphere. These intra-seasonal oscillations consist of two low-frequency vortex pairs, one located to the east of the Philippines and the other over the tropical eastern Indian Ocean. Prior to the Asian summer monsoon onset, a strong low-frequency westerly emerges over the equatorial Indian Ocean and the low-frequency vortex pair develops symmetrically along the equator. The formation and evolution of these low-frequency vortices are important and serve as a good indicator for the Asian summer monsoon onset. The relationship between the northward jumps of the westerly jet over East Asia and the Asian summer monsoon onset over SCS is investigated. It is shown that the northward jump of the westerly jet occurs twice during the transition from winter to summer and these jumps are closely related to the summer monsoon development. The first northward jump (from 25–28N to around 30N) occurs on 8 May on average, about 7 days ahead of the summer monsoon onset over the SCS. It is found that the reverse of meridional temperature gradient in the upper-middle troposphere (500–200 hPa) and the enhancement and northward movement of the subtropical jet in the Southern Hemispheric subtropics are responsible for the first northward jump of the westerly jet.     

一种新的气候跃变分析方法及其应用

在探讨目前气候跃变方法的基础上，针对其存在的缺陷，引入费希尔（Fisher）最优分割法，并与原方法的统计检验相结合，得到一种新的研究气候跃变的方法。运用该方法对西北地区东部的西安、宝鸡、汉中3地的旱涝等级序列进行气候跃变研究，可知西北地区东部旱涝气候跃变存在局地性和非局地性的特征。     

全球、中国及云南近百年气温变化的层次结构和突变特征

用文献［１］建立的自适应多分辨数据波滤器进行了全球、中国及云南近百年气温变化的层次结构和突变特征分析。结果表明：（１）全球近百年来的气温变化对于较大时间尺度的演化来说主要特征是变暖,并为３个层次：即１９１９年以前的偏冷期;１９２０－１９７８年偏暖期和１９７９年以后的更暖期。对应于这种较大时间尺度的层次演变,全球的气温变化表现出十分明显的突变特征,两上最明显增暖的突变点分别发生在１９２０年和１９７９     

宁夏近百年来的气候变化及突变分析

以宁夏北部地区近百年来的降水量、气温距平资料以及全区各季有仪器观测以来的温度降水资料为基础，利用Mann-Kendall突变检验法和滑动t检验法，分析了宁夏近百年来气候变化的阶段性和突变特点。结果表明：近百年来宁夏气候大概经历了五个主要阶段；80年代中期年平均气温及秋冬季平均气温发生改变；60年代左右年降水量发生突变；70年代中后期全区秋季降水量出现突变。     

A universal vertical stellar density distribution law for the Galaxy

This article applies nonstandard analysis to derive jump conditions for one-dimensional, diverging, magnetogasdynamic shock waves emerging on the surface of a star. It is assumed that the shock thickness occurs on an infinitesimal interval and the jump functions for the flow parameters occur smoothly across this interval. Predistributions of the Heaviside function and the Dirac delta measure are used to model the flow variables across a shock wave. The equations of motion expressed in nonconservative form are then applied to derive unambiguous relationships between the jump functions for the flow parameters. It is shown here that the equations modeling a family of magnetogasdynamic shock waves yield products of generalized functions that may be analyzed consistently using nonstandard predistributions.     

Flow patterns, sedimentation and deposit architecture under a hydraulic jump on a non-eroding bed: defining hydraulic-jump unit bars

This paper presents results from two flume runs of an ongoing series examining flow structure, sediment transport and deposition in hydraulic jumps. It concludes in the presentation of a model for the development of sedimentary architecture, considered characteristic of a hydraulic jump over a non-eroding bed. In Run 1, a hydraulic jump was formed in sediment-free water over the solid plane sloping flume floor. Ultrasonic Doppler velocity profilers recorded the flow structure within the hydraulic jump in fine detail. Run 2 had identical initial flow conditions and a near-steady addition of sand, which formed beds with two distinct characteristics: a laterally extensive, basal, wedge-shaped massive sand bed overlain by cross-laminated sand beds. Each cross-laminated bed recorded the initiation and growth of a single surface feature, here defined as a hydraulic-jump unit bar . A small massive sand mound formed on the flume floor and grew upstream and downstream without migrating to form a unit bar. In the upstream portion of the unit bar, sand finer than the bulk load formed a set of laminae dipping upstream. This set passed downstream through the small volume of massive sand into a foreset, which was initially relatively coarse-grained and became finer-grained downstream. This downstream-fining coincided with cessation of the growth of the upstream-dipping cross-set. At intervals, a new bed feature developed above and upstream of the preceding hydraulic-jump unit bar and grew in the same way, with the foreset climbing the older unit bar. The composite architecture of the superimposed unit bars formed a fanning, climbing coset above the massive wedge, defined as one unit: a hydraulic-jump bar complex .     

南海东部海盆扩张过程的数值模拟

南海的形成演化一直是国内外关注的热点之一,南海的扩张发生在早渐新世-早中新世,并且在南海的扩张中至少包括一次洋脊跃迁.本文采用上升离散地幔流和热对流耦合模型模拟了南海东部海盆扩张、洋中脊跃迁和扩张停止后岩石圈的热结构演化和岩浆熔融过程.数值模拟结果表明,洋中脊跃迁是南海扩张中的一个重要的过程,由于洋脊跃迁使得在两洋脊之...